July 25, 2020
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A great analysis of COV-19
Meryl Nass, M.D.
“The number of weekly deaths from Covid and other causes of pneumonia has dropped from 27% of all deaths to 5.5%, less than the number of weekly deaths seen during an AVERAGE FLU SEASON. There appear to be no more deaths in the US at this time of year than occurred in 2018 and 2019!
Furthermore, we have learned that the vast majority of deaths in the United States are in the elderly. In the US, according to the CDC, 80% of COVID deaths have occurred in those over 65, and 92% of all deaths in those over 55.
Yet only a total of seven US children aged 1-5 have died from COVID since the start of the pandemic.
I now believe the current threat of COVID-19 is being exaggerated by the media and public figures, to our detriment. Here’s why.
Back in March-April, the virus ran like wildfire through many congregate living facilities. Guidance on what to do, and the means for protecting staff and residents (training, masks and other PPE) were NOT provided to nursing homes. Emergency regulations issued by a number of states, including New York, which required nursing homes to take infectious COVID patients back from hospitals, virtually guaranteed new outbreaks.
Now that testing is widely available, of course we are finding many new cases, who are on average 15 years younger than before, and in general become much less ill.
I believe that the SARS-CoV-2 virus was created in a lab, using multiple techniques and genetic fragments that were already known and had been designed in multiple labs. …..
Assuming SARS-CoV-2 was a lab creation, and first encountered lots of humans last fall, then it is likely that during its subsequent adaptations to the human species, it would develop less virulence.
We know that crude death rates (Covid deaths divided by known Covid case numbers) have been dropping dramatically worldwide since the onset of the pandemic.
Partly this is due to improved care of patients, partly to identifying less severe infections due to increased availability of testing, possibly also due to false positives on testing.
But my analysis of the number of patients currently hospitalized and current deaths, despite increased total cases, tells me the infection is just not making people as sick. Deaths rates are now less than 1/4 what they were at the peak of illness in the US….”
My daily spreadsheet: