The Gallup Battleground Poll: an 8% Discrepancy from the State polls
Oct. 16, 2012
The corporate media has been very busy today claiming that the Gallup poll shows Romney winning the battleground states by 4%. But according to the latest state polls, it’s exactly the opposite.
The latest state polls are in the 2012 Presidential True Vote/ Election Fraud Forecast Model.
Obama leads by 49.3-46.3% in 13 (131 EV) of 17 (198 EV) Battleground state polls weighted by state voting population.
View the numbers in this sheet (scroll down to row 119).
The Monte Carlo simulation gives Obama a 98.2% win probability if the election were held today. He has 306 expected electoral votes.