JFK Calc: A Spreadsheet Database of Mysterious Witness Deaths

JFK Calc: A Spreadsheet Database of Mysterious Witness Deaths

Richard Charnin
Aug.30, 2013
Updated: June 6, 2014

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JFK Calc is an online spreadsheet database of witnesses, probability calculations, graphs and links to other data sources. It has all of the information required for a robust analysis: a) known witness universe, b) official cause of death, c) average unnatural mortality rates and d) relevant time period (1964-1978).

There were at least 122 suspicious deaths from 1964-78 among an estimated 1400 JFK material witnesses. At least 78 were officially ruled unnatural: 34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides, 4 unknown. Given the 1964-1978 national average unnatural mortality rate (0.000822), only 17 unnatural deaths would be expected. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths is E-31 (ZERO). It’s even lower (E-62) using the JFK-weighted rate. Assuming that some of the “accidents”, “suicides” and “heart attacks” were actually homicides, the probabilities would be even lower. But it’s a moot point since they are virtually ABSOLUTE ZERO given the official cause of death.

These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination describes approximately 1400 individuals who were related in any way to the assassination; 95 are included in JFK Calc . But the 27 witnesses in JFK Calc that are not included in Who’s Who are very relevant.

It is important to note that the 1964-78 average homicide rate (1 in 12,000) was much lower than accidental deaths (1 in 1,700) and suicides (1 in 7,700). An analysis comparing unnatural JFK witness deaths to the expected number is not nearly as dramatic as comparing homicides. Nationally, homicides comprised 10% of unnatural deaths. But there were 34 ruled homicides (44%) among the 78 JFK unnatural deaths. If the analysis was restricted to homicides, the mathematical proof would be simpler and more powerful.

Unnatural JFK Deaths; National Average Rates (1964-78)
Homicide (34): 0.000084 (1 in 12,000)
Accident (24): 0.000594 (1 in 1,700)
Suicide (16): 0.000130 (1 in 7,700)
Unknown (4): 0.000010 (1 in 100,000)
Total (78): 0.000818 (1 in 1,200)

LONDON TIMES ACTUARY
At least 13 unnatural deaths among 454 witnesses
Normally, 7 unnatural deaths would be expected from 1964-78.
Using the 0.000209 weighted WC witness rate, the probability of at least 18 deaths is ZERO:
P = E-17 = 1- POISSON (13, 0.29, false)
P = 1 in 100,000 trillion

WARREN COMMISSION
At least 20 unnatural deaths among 552 witnesses
Normally, 7 unnatural deaths would be expected from 1964-78.
Using the 0.000257 weighted WC witness rate, the probability is ZERO:
P = 1.8E-18= POISSON (20, 1.14 false)
P = 1 in 500,000 trillion

1400 MATERIAL WITNESSES (Who's Who in the JFK Assassination)
1964-78: at least 78 ruled unnatural deaths
Normally, 17 would be expected.
Using the 0.000822 unweighted national rate, the probability is ZERO:
P = E-27 = POISSON (78, 17.27, false)
P = 1 in 100 trillion trillion
Using the JFK-weighted rate (0.000247), the probability is even lower:
P = E-62 = POISSON (78, 5.18, false)

1964-78: at least 34 ruled homicides
Normally, 2 would be expected.
Using the 0.000084 average national homicide rate, the probability is ZERO:
P = E-31 = POISSON (34, 1.77, false)
P = 1 in 6 million trillion trillion


Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).