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Monthly Archives: September 2013

The Election Fraud Quiz II

The Election Fraud Quiz II

Richard Charnin
Sept. 23, 2013

1 The exit poll margin of error is not a function of
a) sample-size, b) 2-party poll share, c) national population size

2 In the 1988-2008 presidential elections, the Democrats won the recorded vote 48-46%. They won both the average unadjusted state and national exit polls by
a) 50-46%, b) 51-45%, c) 52-41%

3 In 2004 the percentage of living Bush 2000 voters required to match the recorded vote was
a) 96%, b) 98%, c) 110%

4 In 2000 the approximate number of uncounted votes was
a) 2, b) 4, c) 6 million

5 In 2008, Obama won by 52.9-45.6%. He led the unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents) by
a) 53-45%, b) 58-40%, c) 61-37%

6 In 1988 Bush beat Dukakis by 7 million votes (53.4-45.6%). Dukakis won the National Exit Poll by
a) 49.9-49.1%, b) 50.7-48.3%, c) 51.0-48.0%

7 In 1988 the approximate number of uncounted votes was
a) 6, b) 9, c) 11 million

8 Of 274 state exit polls from 1988-2008, 135 exceeded the margin of error (14 expected). How many moved in favor of the GOP?
a) 85, b) 105, c) 131

9 Gore won the popular vote in 2000. In 2004, returning Nader voters were 5-1 for Kerry, new voters 3-2 for Kerry. In order for Bush to win, he must have won
a) 30% of returning Gore voters, b) 90% of returning Bush voters, c) both (a) and (b).

10 In 2008 Obama won 58% of the state exit poll aggregate. Given it was his True Vote, he had how many Electoral Votes?
a) 365, b) 395, c) 420

11 What is the probability that 131 of 274 state exit polls from 1988-2008 would red-shift to the GOP beyond the margin of error?
a) 1 in 1 million, b) 1 in 1 trillion, c) 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion (E-116)

12 In 2000 12 states flipped from Gore in the exit polls to Bush in the recorded vote. Gore would have won the election if he had won
a) 1, b) 2, c) 3 of the 12 states

13 In 1988 24 states had exit polls (2/3 of the total recorded vote). Dukakis won the state polls by
a) 50-49%, b) 51-48%, c) 52-47%

14 Exit polls are always adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure and
a) reported by the corporate media, b) noted by academia, c) statistical proof of election fraud

15 Bush had 50.5 million votes in 2000. Approximately 2.5 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore, there could not have been more than 47 million returning Bush 2000 voters. But the 2004 National Exit Poll indicated 52.6 million returning Bush voters. This is proof that
a) Bush stole the 2004 election, b) it was a clerical error, c) 6 million Bush votes were not recorded in 2000.

16 In 2000 Gore won the popular vote by 540,000 votes (48.4-47.9%). He won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 50.8-44.4% and the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 48.5-46.3%, indicating that
a) the state exit poll aggregate was outside the margin of error, b) the National poll was within the margin of error, c) the election was stolen, d) all

17 Corporate media websites show that Bush won the 2004 National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) by 51-48%, matching the recorded vote. But the unadjusted National Exit Poll indicates that Kerry won by 51.0-47.6% (7064-6414 respondents). The discrepancy is proof that
a) the poll was adjusted to match the recorded vote, b) Bush stole the election, c) both, d) neither

18 The pervasive difference between the exit polls and the recorded vote in every election is due to
a) inexperienced pollsters, b) Republican reluctance to be polled, c) systemic election fraud

19 In 1992 Clinton defeated Bush by 43-37.5% (Perot had 19.5%). Clinton won the unadjusted National exit poll by 48-32-20%. Bush needed 119% turnout of returning 1988 Bush voters to match the recorded vote. These anomalies were due to
a) bad polling, b) Bush voters refused to be polled, c) Bush tried but failed to steal the election.

20 Sensitivity analysis is a useful tool for gauging the effects of
a) various turnout assumptions, b) various vote share assumptions, c) both, d) neither

21 Monte Carlo simulation is a useful tool for
a) predicting the recorded vote, b) electoral vote, c) probability of winning the electoral vote.

22 The expected electoral vote is based on
a) state win probabilities, b) state electoral votes, c) both, d) neither

23 To match the recorded vote, which exit poll crosstab weights and shares are adjusted?
a) when decided, b) how voted in prior election, c) party ID, d) gender, e) education, f) income, g) all

24 In 2004 Bush’s final pre-election approval rating was 48%, but it was 53% in the adjusted National Exit Poll. The discrepancy was due to
a) late change in approval, b) different polls, c) forcing the exit poll to match the recorded vote

25 The True Vote Model is designed to calculate the fraud-free vote. The TVM utilizes final exit poll shares but estimates returning voters based on the prior election
a) recorded vote, b) votes cast, c) unadjusted exit poll, d) true vote, e) all

https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/category/true-vote-models/

1c 2c 3c 4c 5c 6a 7c 8c 9c 10c 11c 12a 13c 14c 15a 16c 17c 18c 19c 20c 21c 22c 23g 24c 25e

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The JFK Witness Death Quiz

The JFK Witness Death Quiz

Richard Charnin
Sept.30, 2013
Updated:March 23,2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

1- The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination does not include
a) suspects, b) victims, c) law enforcement officials, d) witnesses, e) athletes, f) investigators

2- The total number of witnesses who testified or gave depositions to the Warren Commission was
a) 286, b) 418, c) 552

3- Which of the following unnatural death categories has the lowest mortality rate?
a) homicide, b) suicide, c) accident

4- The London Sunday Times engaged an actuary to calculate the odds of JFK witness deaths. The actuary calculated the odds of 18 deaths (13 unnatural) within three years of the assassination as
a) 1 in 100,000, b) 1 in 100,000 million, c) 1 in 100,000 trillion

5- Which is not a factor in calculating the probability of unnatural JFK witness deaths?
a) Number in group, b) number of deaths, c) cause of death, d) time period, e) motive

6- The HSCA statistician claimed the number of relevant JFK witnesses was unknown, therefore the probability of  deaths could not be calculated. The HSCA reported on just 21 suspicious deaths. It failed to consider the number  of witnesses who
a) testified or gave depositions at the Warren Commission,
b) were sought to testify in four JFK-related investigations,
c) were material witnesses,
d) all of the above

7- Assuming 1400 JFK-related witnesses,  expected unnatural deaths from 1964-78 was
a) 12, b) 17, c) 27

8- The JFK Calc database includes 122 suspicious deaths from 1964-78, of which 78 were ruled unnatural. Approximately how many were actually unnatural?
a) 81, b) 91, c) 99

9- Nationally, homicides were 10% of unnatural deaths in 1964-78. There were 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths among JFK material witnesses. How many were ruled homicides?
a) 34, b) 47, c) 57

10- The Poisson distribution calculates witness death probabilities in a given time period and requires
a) the actual number of unnatural deaths, b) the expected number of unnatural deaths, c) both

11- The expected number of unnatural deaths among N individuals in T years given mortality rate R is
a) N*T*R, b) N*R/T, c) N*T/R

12- How many top FBI officials died within a 6 month period in 1977 prior to their scheduled testimony at the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA)?
a) 2, b) 3, c) 7

13- The 1964-78 average annual unnatural mortality rate was .000825. Given 552 Warren Commission witnesses, approximately 7 unnatural deaths were expected. There were
a) 7, b) 10, c) 20

14- In 1964-78, approximately 1100 witnesses were called or sought in four JFK-related investigations (Warren, Garrison, Church_Committee, HSCA). Fourteen unnatural deaths would normally have been expected. How many were there?
a) 12, b) 24, c) 46

15- The probability of 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths among 1400 JFK witnesses from 1964-1978 is so low that it must be expressed in scientific notation: P= E-63. To put this number in context, there are an estimated E24 (one trillion trillion) stars in the universe. P= E-63 is equivalent to 1 in
a) 10 million trillion, b) 100 trillion trillion, c) 1 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion

16- The Paradigm Shift in the analysis of witness deaths refers to
a) quantitative factors only, b) motivation for elimination, c) connection to the assassination

17- The mathematical technique to determine a set of outcomes (probabilities) over a range of input variables (witnesses, unnatural deaths) is called
a) sensitivity analysis,
b) matrix analysis,
c) simulation analysis

18- As the ratio of actual to expected unnatural deaths in a group increases, the probabilities
a) increase, b) decrease

19- To calculate the probability that 7 FBI officials called to testify at HSCA would die in a six month period prior to their scheduled testimony, we need to know the
a) cause of death, b) number of FBI called to testify, c) a and b, d) connection to the assassination

20- The probability analysis of unnatural deaths for various JFK witness groupings is
a) not proof of a conspiracy, b) mathematical proof of a conspiracy, c) just a theoretical exercise

21- Of the 122 JFK-related deaths, how many occurred in the Dallas area?
a) 9, b) 29, c) 51

22- Warren Commission apologists claim witness deaths occurred in high crime locations, invalidating the E-31 probability of 34  ruled homicides. If the JFK witness homicide rate was triple the national rate, the probability is
a) E-6 (1 in 1 million), b) E-9 (1 in 1 billion), c) E-17 (1 in 1000 trillion)

23- According to Vince Bugliosi, the witness death probability calculation should be based on the 2479 names listed in the index to the Warren Commission Report (which includes George Washington and Abe Lincoln, among other non-witnesses). Assuming 2479 witnesses, the probability of 34 officially ruled homicides is
a) 1 in 9 million, b) 1 in 77 billion, c) 1 in 90 billion trillion

24- Naysayers cite the FBI claim of conducting 25,000 interviews, without considering the number of re-interviews or how many were material. There were approximately 1400 JFK-related material witnesses. Even assuming the grossly inflated 25,000 figure, the probability of 84 homicides from 1964-78 is
a) 1 in 15,000, b) 1 in 250 million, c) 1 in 100 trillion

25- At least 70 of approximately 122 JFK Calc witnesses who died from unnatural and natural causes in 1964-78 testified or were sought in four investigations.  The probability of 46 unnatural deaths is
a) 1 in 1 billion, 2) 1 in 1 trillion, c) 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion

26- There are 656 JFK-related individuals in the Simkin JFK Index. In the index, there were 70 suspicious deaths, including 44 unnatural (22 homicides, 11 accidents, 11 suicides). The probability of 22 homicides among the 656 from 1964-1978 is
a) 1 in a billion, b) 1 in a trillion, c) 1 in a trillion trillion

Answers
1f 2c 3a 4c 5e 6d 7b 8c 9a 10c 11a 12c 13c 14c 15c
16a 17a 18b 19c 20b 21c 22c 23c 24c 25c 26c

 
2 Comments

Posted by on September 20, 2013 in JFK

 

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JFK Witness Unnatural Deaths: A Statistical Summary

JFK Witness Unnatural Deaths: A Statistical Summary

Richard Charnin
Sept. 30, 2013
Updated: April 26,2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

This is a summary overview of JFK-related witness death statistics and probabilities. The focus is on unnatural deaths (homicides, accidents, suicides, unknown), but many suspicious (natural) deaths may have been homicides. Witness categories include FBI, CIA, Dallas police, anti-Castro Cubans, Mafia, Ruby and Oswald associates, reporters and eyewitnesses.

The JFK Calc spreadsheet is updated frequently. There were 122 suspicious deaths among approximately 1400+ JFK-related witnesses from 1964-1978. At least 78 deaths (including 34 homicides) were officially ruled unnatural. But approximately 25 accidents and suicides were likely homicides. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1

These graphs and tables are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

Warren Commission apologists have claimed that the witnesses were self-selected. That is not true. All were material and related to the assassination. At least 67 were sought to testify in one or more investigations; the others were highly relevant (see the selected list below).

Given that there were approximately 1400 individuals related to the assassination, why would at least 78 die unnaturally when just 18 would be expected? The probability of 78 unnatural deaths is 2.76E-62 or less than 1 in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion!!!

Therefore the probability threshold of beyond a reasonable doubt is met by just 6 official homicides!

Witness Deaths
Cause: Expected Official (mortality rate)

Heart attack.. 8.7 25 (0.004913)
Cancer........ 3.5 5 (0.001991)
Other......... 4.6 14 (0.002480)
Accident...... 1.0 24 (0.000594)
Suicide....... 0.23 16 (0.000130)
Homicide...... 0.15 34 (0.000084)
Unknown........0.03 4 (0.000014)

TOTAL..........18 122 (0.010207)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=39
Who’s Who in the JFK assassination by Michael Benson, is a comprehensive encyclopedia of 1400+ JFK related witnesses. JFK Calc includes 97 of the 126 suspicious deaths listed in JFK Calc.

Crossfire by Jim Marrs is a comprehensive study of the assassination that lists 103 “convenient deaths”.

Hit List by Richard Belzer and David Wayne, is a detailed study of 50 mysterious witness deaths (42 homicides, 1 suicide, 7 heart attacks). All are included in the JFK Calc database.

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

Four investigations
In 1964-78, approximately 1100 witnesses were sought to testify in four JFK-related investigations, 552 testified at the Warren Commission and the rest were sought at the Garrison-Shaw trial, Church Committee and HSCA. Sixty-seven (67) are included in JFK Calc. At least 39 of the 63 were unnatural deaths (including 28 homicides). The others were suspiciously timed heart attacks and illnesses.

Paradigm Shift
The 67 witnesses in JFK Calc who were called to testify in the four investigations were obviously relevant. But their relationship to the assassination is a moot point; motive and connections are not parameters in the probability calculations. These are: a) number of witnesses (N), b) the number who died unnaturally (n), c) the cause of death, d) relevant time period (T), e) the average unnatural mortality rate (R). That is all the information that we need to calculate the probability of n unnatural deaths among a group of N people over a period of T years. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=25

Distribution of unnatural deaths in JFK Calc vs. National Average
JFK-related homicides comprised 34 of 78 (44%) unnatural deaths, far exceeding the 10% National share. This anomaly lowered the unnatural mortality rate from the National average (0.000822) to the JFK-weighted average (0.000247). In any case, 78 JFK-related unnatural deaths among 1400 material witnesses from 1964-1978 is statistically impossible and proves a conspiracy.

FBI officials scheduled to testify at HSCA
Seven (7) died within a 6 month period in 1977: 2 unnaturally (gunshot, fall) and 5 from “heart attacks”. If 8 FBI were called to testify, the probability of 7 deaths in 6 MONTHS is almost equal to the London Sunday Times actuary’s probability (wrongly declared “invalid” by the HSCA statistician) of 18 material witness deaths in 3 years. Using the spreadsheet probability function:

P = Poisson(7,0.01,false)
P= 1 in 114,000 TRILLION (8.7E-18)

If an impossible 100 FBI were called, the probability is 1 in 2.7 BILLION (3.6E-10). Assuming all 7 deaths were HOMICIDES, applying the 1977 HOMICIDE RATE (0.000092), the probability is 1 in 100 MILLION TRILLION (8.6E-21)!

This is a table of probabilities for 1) 7 heart attacks, 2) 5 heart attacks; 2 accidents, 3) 7 homicides for a range of FBI called to testify.

FBI 7 heart, 5/2 mix, 7 homicides
8.. 6.63E-17; 8.72E-18; 1.81E-28
20. 3.95E-14; 5.23E-15; 1.11E-25
30. 6.61E-13; 8.79E-14; 1.89E-24
100 2.61E-09; 3.61E-10; 8.61E-21

JFK-weighted average unnatural rate
The JFK-weighted rate R is the product sum:
R= 0.000247 =(0.000084*34 + 0.000594*24 + 0.00013*`16 + 0.000014*4)/78

Probability calculations
– National unnatural mortality rate- conservative, does not reflect actual JFK witness data
– JFK-weighted mortality rate – accounts for distribution of JFK witnesses cause of death
– Homicide rate – probability of homicides
Note: the applicable probability is the lower of the JFK-weighted and Homicide rates. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=0

Poisson distribution
Calculates the probability of unlikely events. It requires the actual and expected number. We have the actual number (n) of unnatural deaths. The expected number is N*T*R, where N is number in group, T is time period in years, R is annual unnatural mortality rate.

CONFIRMATION OF LONDON TIMES ACTUARY
The actuary calculated the probability of 18 witness deaths within three years of the assassination as 1 in 100,000 trillion. Thirteen (13) of the 18 deaths were unnatural: 8 homicides, 3 accidents, 2 suicides. The calculation is confirmed assuming 454 witnesses: https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/
Given:
N witnesses: 454
n unnatural deaths: 13
T years: 3
R mortality rate: 0.000209
a = R*N*T=expected deaths = 0.28
The probability of n unnatural deaths: P(n) = a^n * exp (-a) / n! = 9.83E-18

Using the Poisson spreadsheet function:
P = POISSON(13, 0.28, false) = 9.83E-18
P = 1 in 101,774,317,639,149,952

To appreciate the magnitude of the probabilities, consider that there are an estimated 10^23 stars in the universe and 10^20 grains of sand on the earth.

Sensitivity Analysis
Calculates probabilities over a range of n deaths and N group size: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=40

Selected JFK-related convenient deaths of witnesses not called to testify
Robert F. Kennedy-Message to Moscow emissary: “We know it was a high-level domestic political conspiracy”.
Lee Oswald-FBI informant, CIA connected, shot by Jack Ruby; “just a patsy”; no interrogation notes.
J.D. Tippit-Dallas cop. WC said he was shot at 1:16 pm. Roger Craig said he heard news at 1:06.
Mac Wallace-Texas assassin, close to LBJ; suspected shooter; fingerprint found in TSBD.
Dorothy Kilgallen-Columnist, interviewed Ruby; to “break the case wide open”; notes/manuscript disappeared.

Dorothy Hunt-Wife of E. Howard Hunt (CIA/ Watergate) who believed she was murdered in plane crash.
John D. Sullivan-Former FBI, worked under Banister and for Senator Eastland’s committee.
C.D. Jackson-Life Mag Sr VP; bought Zapruder film; Oswald rifle photo; Bilderberg /intel connections.
Tom Howard-Ruby’s lawyer. Tried to sell photo of JFK murder to LIFE.
James Chaney-Dallas motorcycle officer; “struck in the face” with bullet

Ralph Yates-Gave ride to Oswald on Nov.20 (claimed he had curtain rods).
Winston Scott-CIA officer; to discuss book on 4/30/71 with CIA Dir Helms; died April 4; manuscript stolen
Manuel Rodriguez-Pres. of Alpha 66; Military coordinator; anti-Castro group; worked with Guy Banister
Jim Koethe-Reporter in Ruby’s apartment on 11/24/63.
Florence Smith-Friend of Kilgallen, JFK, died ONE day after Kilgallen; copies of DK’s notes disappeared.

Marilyn Walle-Ruby dancer. Working on a book on the assassination.
Bill Hunter-Reporter in Ruby’s apartment on 11/24/63.
Roscoe White-Dallas policeman. In diary claimed he shot JFK with 7.65 Mauser and killed Tippit.
Nancy Tyler-Worked for Bobby Baker. Told him that JFK would replace LBJ.
John Crawford-Close friend of Ruby and Wesley Frazier, who drove Oswald to work on 11/22/63.

William Pitzer-Autopsy radiologist/photographer; planned to expose autopsy.
Mary  Meyer-JFK “special” friend. Called WC a “whitewash”; would reveal all in book; diary taken by CIA.
Jack Zangretti-Mobster predicted: 3 JFK shooters, Ruby to kill Oswald, Sinatra child kidnapped 12/63.
Gary Underhill-CIA agent, claimed Agency was involved; predicted he would be killed.
Hank Killam-Husband of Ruby employee, claimed knowledge of assassination. FBI/CIA documents withheld.

Mary Sherman-Ferrie associate on covert cancer research; killed same day WC came to New Orleans.
Paul Dyer-New Orleans Police Lt.; first to question Ferrie about Oswald. Sudden cancer death in 28 days.
Charles Cabell-CIA deputy director connected to anti-Castro Cubans, brother of Dallas mayor.
Lisa Howard-Journalist/TV news (ABC). Worked on JFK/Castro negotiations; hosted party for Che Guevara
Grant Stockdale-Close friend of JFK, told attorney “people are trying to get me” day before “suicide”.

 
1 Comment

Posted by on September 18, 2013 in JFK

 

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To believe that Oswald killed JFK, you must believe that…

Richard Charnin
Sept.15, 2013
Updated: Oct.23, 2015

Look inside the books: 
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy 
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

To believe that Oswald killed JFK, you must also believe …

1- The single–bullet theory (SBT):
a) Kennedy leaned much further forward than shown in photographs or films,
b) his jacket bunched up much more than shown in a photograph taken less than half a second before he was visible from the sixth–floor window,
c) his shirt bunched up far more than could reasonably have been expected,
d) the bullet’s downward trajectory entered JFK’s back 5.5 inches below the collar,
e) the bullet then changed direction upward and exited JFK’s throat,
f) the bullet proceeded to cause all five of Connally’s wounds,
g) the bullet emerged in pristine condition on a Parkland hospital stretcher.

2- The Warren Commission did not “fudge the evidence” when it changed its original finding that three shots hit JFK to 1) a single bullet struck JFK in the back, exited his throat and caused five additional wounds in Connally, 2) the second shot missed, hit a curb and bystander James Tague on the cheek, and 3) the final shot hit JFK high on the back of the skull.

3- The 90+ eyewitnesses who claimed to have heard gunshots, saw smoke or smelled gunpowder coming from the grassy knoll must have all been mistaken.

4- The 22 Parkland Hospital doctors who claimed there was an entrance wound in President Kennedy’s throat must have all been mistaken.

5- The 44 Doctors and witnesses at Parkland and the autopsy who saw a large exit wound located at the right-rear of Kennedy’s head must have all been mistaken.

6- The Warren Commission said Tippit was shot at 1:16, which was also the time he was declared dead at the hospital The 10+ witnesses who saw or heard shots fired no later than 1:06 must have all been mistaken.

7- The autopsy photograph of a bullet hole in Kennedy’s five inches lower than described in the Warren Report must have been a misprint.

8- Dr Charles Carrico viewed Kennedy’s throat wound before the president’s shirt and tie were removed and said it was located above the shirt. He must have been mistaken.

9- John Connally sat in front of Kennedy and has consistently maintained that he and Kennedy were hit by separate bullets. He must have been mistaken.

10- Nellie Connally sat on her husband’s left and confirmed that they were hit by separate bullets. She must have been mistaken.

11- The fingerprint expert who identified the prints found on the 6th floor of the TSBD to be an exact match of LBJ hit man Mac Wallace must have been mistaken.

12- The Army and FBI experts who claimed that the Mannlicher-Carcano rifle was incapable of accomplishing the shooting must have been mistaken.

13 – Oswald shot JFK from the 6th floor of the TSBD, hid the rifle and ran down to the 2nd floor in a little over a minute where DPD Marion Baker and TSBD manager Truly saw him holding a coke and breathing normally.

14- The witnesses who walked down the stairs immediately after the shooting and did not see or hear anyone must have been mistaken.

15- The large wound in the president’s head displayed all the signs of a soft–nosed bullet. But it must have been caused by a very unusual solid, metal–jacketed bullet.

16- Two witnesses who claimed they saw Oswald carrying a bag that was too small to contain a rifle into the Texas School Book Depository the morning of the assassination must have been mistaken.

17- Connally could hold his hat seconds after being hit by the magic bullet that exited Kennedy’s throat.

18- JFK would fall back and to the left after being hit from behind.

19- Paraffin tests on Oswald’s hands and cheek which indicated he did not fire a rifle on 11/22 must have been incompetently administered.

20- Four police officers who identified the rifle found on the 6th floor of the TSBD as a saw “7.65 Mauser” must have all been mistaken.

21- It was just a macabre coincidence that seven top FBI officials due to testify at HSCA would die within a 6 month period in 1977.

22- Bullets recovered at Dealey Plaza that did not match the Mannlicher-Carcano must have been from a previous shooting incident.

23- It was just a coincidence that Jack Ruby would die from sudden cancer within 29 days of being diagnosed and granted a new trial.

24- Oswald made two of three shots in under six seconds (a feat that expert marksmen could not duplicate) although there was a tree in front of the target, he barely passed his Marine marksmanship test and used an inferior, bolt action rifle with a misaligned scope.

25- Julia Ann Mercer, a witness who claimed in a deposition that she saw a man walking up the grassy knoll carrying a rifle one hour before the assassination, must have been mistaken. She told Jim Garrison that the man waiting in a car looked like Jack Ruby and that her deposition was altered and signature forged. She was not called by the Warren Commission.

26- Although the probability is E-62 (one in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion) that 78 of 1400+ material witnesses would die unnaturally in 1964-78, it does not prove a conspiracy.

27- The fact that Fritz’s notes of his interrogation of Oswald did not surface until 1993 was due to incompetence. Oswald said he was “out front with Bill Shelley”.

28- The fact that Oswald was a $200/mo FBI informer and CIA asset and his tax forms were never released is of no consequence.

29- The fact that Gerald Ford of the WC admitted that he moved JFK’s back wound up 5 inches to conform with the Single Bullet Theory does not indicate that he was distorting the record.

30- FBI agents Sibert and O’Neill attended the autopsy and claimed a) that JFK was struck in the back 5 inches below the collar and the bullet did not exit and b) that Gerald Ford committed a crime in moving the back wound up 5 inches. They must have been mistaken.

31- Although over 50 of 122 suspicious JFK deaths were in the Dallas area, it does not indicate that they had a connection to the assassination and must have been a coincidence.

Note: Assuming that the Dallas homicide rate was triple the 1964-78 average National 0.000084 rate, then the probability of 34 ruled homicides among 1400 JFK-related witnesses in 1964-78 is P = 7.60e-17, or 1 in 13,000 trillion. This is conservative. Based on the expected cause of death, approximately 40 of the 88 deaths officially ruled as accidents, suicides, heart attacks, sudden cancers and natural were likely homicides

Take the JFK Assassination Quiz. https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/08/14/the-jfk-assassination-quiz/

These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

 
13 Comments

Posted by on September 15, 2013 in JFK

 

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JFK: “Parkland”, the Charles Crenshaw Interview, and “Executive Action”

JFK: “Parkland”, the Charles Crenshaw Interview and “Executive Action”

Richard Charnin
Sept. 7, 2013
Updated: Oct.5, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

The new film Parkland is just another perpetuation of the 50-year JFK coverup. It fails to cover the most critical fact of all: the Parkland doctors said in press conferences that the shots came from the front. Tom Hanks will forever regret his involvement in promoting a film full of factual omissions – as will its fine actors. Why did they agree to do it? Were they unaware of the facts at Parkland? As professionals, they should have done their homework and voiced their objections to the glaring omissions.

Before Burt Lancaster and Robert Ryan decided to make Executive Action in 1973, they first needed to convince themselves that there was in fact a conspiracy. They did so by familiarizing themselves with the evidence. THEY WERE NOT INTIMIDATED. THEY FELT THAT THE FILM HAD TO BE MADE. That was forty years ago. The evidence was overwhelming then; it is even more so now.

These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

Dr. Charles Crenshaw
Parkland doctor Charles Crenshaw was there, trying to save JFK. He was interviewed by ABC years back. But how many Americans are aware of it? It was indeed a Conspiracy of Silence, the title of Crenshaw’s book. The YouTube video must go viral. If it does, the debate will be over. Take 10 minutes to learn the truth. This interview says it all. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GXZ87gOlKkM

The Single Bullet Theory
The Warren Commission claimed that the throat wound was an exit wound. A single bullet hit Kennedy in the back, exited the front of his neck, and then changed direction to hit Governor John Connally (sitting in front of Kennedy) in the back, wrist and leg. WC member Rep. Gerald Ford (R-MI) changed the position of JFK’s back wound to conform to the single-bullet theory.

In July 1997, pages from the original draft of the Warren Report were released, describing the path of the famous single—or magic—bullet. The memo stated: “A bullet had entered his back at a point slightly above the shoulder to the right of the spine.” In pen, Ford changed the report to read, “A bullet had entered the back of his neck at a point slightly to the right of the spine,” thus making the single-bullet theory plausible. http://www.jfklancer.com/Ford-Rankin.html

The Gaping Exit Wound
Parkland surgeon, Robert McClelland, MD. described JFK’s skull exit wound in a drawing first published in the book, “Six Seconds in Dallas” by Josiah Thompson. The image, reprinted from “High Treason” by authors Robert Groden and Harrison Livingstone, includes a letter from Parkland professor Paul Peters, MD, corroborating the location Dr. McClelland gave for JFK’s gaping skull wound. It was reproduced in ARRB Medical Document #264. http://www.history-matters.com/essays/jfkmed/How5Investigations/How5InvestigationsGotItWrong_tabfig.htm

The Small Throat Wound
The throat wound was made by the first of the two (or possibly more) bullets that struck Kennedy. It was not the fatal wound. The physicians who performed the autopsy did not see this wound in its original state, because it was obliterated by one of the Parkland doctors, Dr. Malcolm Perry, when he made a surgical incision over it in order to perform a tracheotomy. Therefore, only the doctors and nurses at Parkland hospital had a view of this wound in its original state. All of the Parkland doctors and the nurse who offered an opinion on the throat wound characterized it as an entrance wound: http://911blogger.com/node/20745

On November 22, 1963, millions of Americans heard radio and TV networks report that Dr. Malcolm Perry, a Dallas Physician who was with the President in the emergency room when he died, said there was a bullet entrance wound situated on the front of Kennedy’s neck. He said “there was an entrance wound below the Adam’s apple.”

Tom Wicker with the New York Times: Dr. Malcolm Perry, an attending surgeon, and Dr. Kemp Clark, chief of neurosurgery at Parkland Hospital, gave more details. Mr. Kennedy was hit by a bullet in the throat, just below the Adam’s apple, they said. This wound had the appearance of a bullet’s entry…

Dallas News reporter John Geddie: Dr. Perry said, “in the lower portion of Kennedy’s neck, right in the front, there was a small puncture”.

Dr. Ronald Jones in his Warren Commission deposition explained why the doctors considered the throat wound to be an entrance wound: “The hole was very small and relatively clean-cut as you would see in a bullet that is entering rather than exiting from a patient”.

Dr. Paul Peters testified at the Warren Commission Hearings: “We saw the wound of entry in the throat and noted the large occipital wound, and it is a known fact that high velocity missiles often have a small wound of entrance and a large wound of exit…”

Dr. Charles Baxter noted that such a wound (to have been an exit wound) would be “unusual… ordinarily there would have been a rather large wound of exit.”

Dr. Charles Carrico: On the afternoon of November 22, Dr. Carrico described the throat wound in his medical report as “a small penetrating wound of the ant. (front) neck in the lower 1/3”.

Nurse Margaret Henchliffe testified to the Warren Commission: “It was just a little hole in the middle of his neck… about as big around as the end of my little finger… that looked like an entrance bullet hole…”

Dr. Robert McClelland told the Post-Dispatch: “It certainly did look like an entrance wound.” He explained that a bullet from a low velocity rifle, like the one thought to have been used, characteristically makes a small entrance wound, sets up shock waves inside the body, and tears a big opening when it passes out the other side.

Dr. McClelland conceded that it was possible that the throat wound marked the exit of a bullet fired into the back of the President’s neck… “but we are familiar with bullet wounds,” he said. “We see them every day – sometimes several a day. This did appear to be an entrance wound.”

McClelland noted in the same interview, having been informed that Lee Harvey Oswald had shot the President from behind: “We postulated that if it was a wound of entry, as we thought it was… he would have to have been looking almost completely to the rear”.

McClelland testified to the Warren Commission: “At the moment… it was our impression before we had any other information… that this was one bullet, that perhaps had entered through the front of the neck and then in some peculiar fashion which we really had… to strain to explain to ourselves, had coursed up the front of the vertebra and into the base of the skull and out the rear of the skull”.

Dr. Robert Shaw said that the doctors were “a little baffled” by the throat wound:“The assassin was behind him, yet the bullet entered at the front of his neck. Mr. Kennedy must have turned to his left to talk to Mrs. Kennedy or to wave to someone”.

“Doctor, describe the entrance wound. You think from the front in the throat?”
DR. PERRY — “The wound appeared to be an entrance wound in the front of the throat; yes, that is correct. The exit wound, I don’t know. It could have been the head or there could have been a second wound of the head. There was not time to determine this at the particular instant.”

Three Great JFK Films
Executive Action: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9f96oieNA8
JFK is the Oliver Stone classic starring Kevin Costner as Jim Garrison: http://ffilms.org/jfk-1991/
Thirteen Days shows how JFK handled during the Cuban Missile Crisis: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tho5ZYLiuoc

Conspiracy Mathematical Proof
An actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated 100,000 trillion to one odds against 18 material witness dying within three years of the assassination (thirteen died unnaturally by homicide, accident and suicide, 3 by heart attacks, 2 by natural causes). The calculation has been confirmed. https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/

The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination contains summaries of 1400+ material witnesses. Based on the national average total mortality rate (0.010193), approximately 214 would be expected to die in the 15 years from 1964-8. Given the national average unnatural mortality rate (0.000822), only 17 unnatural deaths would be expected, but there were 78 officially ruled unntural deaths (the actual number is probably close to 100). The probability of 78 unnatural deaths in a randomly-selected group is E-27 (ZERO). It’s even lower (E-62) using the JFK-weighted witness rate (0.000247).

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

JFK Calc is a spreadsheet/database of 122 suspicious deaths from 1964-78. At least 78 were unnatural (34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides, 4 unknown). Of the 122, 95 are included in Who’s Who. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1

These deaths, categorized as homicides in the database, were officially ruled as suicides (Stockdale, Ferrie, Pitzer, De Morenshildt, Craig, Underhill, Surrey); sudden cancers (Ruby, Martin, Artime, Dyer); illnesses (Smith, Carter); accident (Sherman).

These deaths were officially ruled as accidents (Sullivan, Sherman, Kilgallen, Bowers); heart attacks (Regis Kennedy, Howard) There were many others. But they may very well have been homicides.

If any of the official “accidents”, “suicides” and “heart attacks” were actually homicides, the probabilities would be lower still. But it’s a moot point since the probability is ZERO given the official cause of death. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=0

It is important to note that the 1964-78 average homicide rate was much lower than accidental deaths and suicides, therefore comparing unnatural deaths to the expected number is not nearly as dramatic as comparing homicides. Nationally, homicides comprised 10% of unnatural deaths, but 34 of 78 officially ruled JFK-related unnatural deaths (44%) were homicides.

 
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