JFK Witnesses: A closer look at the HSCA list of 21 Deaths
Dec. 31, 2013
Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.
In the late 1960s, an actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated a 1 in 100,000 trillion probability of 18 material JFK witness deaths in the three years following the assassination (8 homicides, 3 accidents, 2 suicides, 3 heart attacks and 2 natural causes).
In 1978, the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) statistician claimed that the actuary’s calculation was invalid because the number of witnesses was unknowable. But this was incorrect since 418 witnesses testified at the Warren Commission and 134 gave depositions or affidavits (552 total). In addition, an estimated 500-600 witnesses were sought in three other investigations.
The actuary’s calculation has been confirmed for 459 witnesses and 0.000207 weighted average unnatural mortality rate.
Suspicious Deaths Ignored by the HSCA
The HSCA reported on 21 witness deaths: 15 were unnatural (8 homicides, 5 accidents, 2 suicides), 4 heart attacks, and 2 natural causes. The HSCA group of 21 was similar to the actuary’s 18 material witnesses. Of the 21, 10 were Warren Commission witnesses and 8 were Ruby associates.
But there were at least 25 additional unnatural or suspicious deaths from 1964-66 – and at least 75 more from 1967-78. All were obviously very relevant in calculating the overall probability of a “cleanup” operation – and proof of a conspiracy.
Jacqueline Hess was the HSCA statistician designated to investigate suspicious deaths related to the JFK assassination. Note that the HSCA documented 21 deaths, but not one was in the CIA, FBI, Dallas police, anti-Castro Cubans. Several names cited by Hess in her testimony were conveniently missing from the list of 21: mobsters Sam Giancana, Johnny Roselli and CIA figure George De Morenschildt, a close friend of Oswald. He supposedly committed suicide the day he was to be interviewed by HSCA.
Consider the suspicious deaths ignored by the HSCA in 1964-1966. The most obvious was Lee Harvey Oswald, who was shot by Ruby before he had a chance to retain a lawyer and prove he was “just a patsy”. Jack Ruby died from sudden cancer just 29 days after being injected for a cold and granted a new trial. David Ferrie left a suicide note (an aneurysm from a karate chop?) just days after being released from protective custody and named as a witness in the Garrison/Shaw trial. Ferrie’s anti-Castro associate Eladio del Valle was struck in the head with an ax the same day Ferrie died.
Other JFK-related individuals died mysteriously: Ex-FBI Guy Banister had Oswald hand out pro-Castro flyers in New Orleans. He died from a supposed “heart attack” – but a bullet hole was seen. Cancer researcher Mary Sherman worked with Ferrie and Oswald. She died in a fire, the day the Warren Commission came to New Orleans. Autopsy photographer William Pitzer supposedly shot himself days before his retirement from the Navy. Life Magazine editor Gary Underhill supposedly shot himself after predicting a rogue CIA group was going to kill JFK and him. JFK mistress Mary Pinchot Meyer was murdered; Grant Stockdale fell from an office building. Lisa Howard, an ABC reporter who worked on JFK/Castro negotiations, died from a drug overdose while on vacation. Dallas police officers Paul Dyer and Frank Martin both died from sudden cancers. Rose Cheramie, a former Jack Ruby employee, found thrown from a car traveling to Dallas, predicted from her hospital bed that JFK would be killed in Dallas. She was shot to death.
The HSCA chose to ignore 100 of 120 highly suspicious deaths. In 1977, seven top FBI officials scheduled to testify at HSCA died in a six month period.
Unnatural Death Probabilities (1964-66)
HSCA: 15 of 1400 JFK-related witnesses: 1.47E-12 (1 in 700 billion)
HSCA: 8 of 418 Warren Commission witnesses: 3.20E-08 (1 in 30 million)
ACTUARY: 13 of 459 material witnesses: 9.96E-18 (1 in 100,000 trillion)
Assume the universe of 1400 JFK-related witnesses in “Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination”, of which 122 are in the JFK Calc database of unnatural and suspicious deaths. Officially, from 1964-78, there were 78 ruled unnatural deaths: 34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides, 4 unknown. Of the other 44 suspicious “natural” deaths, 25 were heart attacks, 6 were cancers and 13 other causes. Actually, there were 90-100 homicides. But let’s assume the official numbers.
High Crime Locations
Given the National average homicide rate (0.000084) for the 15 year period, the probability of 34 homicides is 1.6E-31 (1 in 6 million trillion trillion). Let’s TRIPLE the national rate to satisfy the WC apologists who claimed the deaths occurred in high crime areas. The probability rises to 7.6E-17 (1 in 13 thousand trillion). I won’t bother to do the calculation for the estimated 90 actual homicides (the probabilities are already ZERO, why rub it in?). https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/12/28/jfk-witness-deaths-responding-to-warren-commission-apologists/
Ruby Associates Suspicious Deaths
In 1967, the Dallas population was 700,000. There were 130 murders (a 0.00019 homicide rate). Therefore there were approximately 400 Dallas murders in the period 1964-66. The Dallas homicide rate was triple the national rate (0.000059). At least 15 Ruby associates were murdered in 1964-66. If 7.5% of Dallas residents were murdered, that would extrapolate to 50,000 murders. Assuming 200 Ruby contacts, they were 400 times (0.075/0.00019) more likely to be murdered than the general Dallas population. Assuming 1000 contacts, they were 80 times more likely.
Using the Dallas rate, these are the probabilities of 15 Ruby contact deaths:
4.9E-27 for 200 contacts (1 in 200 trillion trillion);
9.4E-17 for 1000 contacts (1 in 10,000 trillion).
HSCA JFK-related deaths (1964-1966)
W: Testified at Warren Commission; G: Sought by Garrison
Cause: (M)urder, (A)ccident, (S)uicide, (H)eart attack, (U)nknown
Date of Death, Name, W/G, Category, Official Cause of Death
1 6402 Eddie Benavides, W, Brother of WITNESS Domingo, M
2 6602 ALBERT BOGARD, W, WITNESS, S
3 7201 HALE BOGGS, W, WARREN COMMISSION, A
4 6608 LEE BOWERS, W, WITNESS, A
5 6403 BILL CHESHER, LHO RUBY, H
6 6805 Nicholas Chetta, G, FERRIE, H
7 6503 TOM HOWARD, RUBY, H
8 6404 BILL HUNTER, MEDIA RUBY, M
9 6907 Clyde Johnson, G, OSWALD SHAW, M
10 6511 DOROTHY KILGALLEN, MEDIA RUBY, A
11 6403 HANK KILLAM, RUBY, M
12 6409 JIM KOETHE, MEDIA RUBY, M
13 6402 BETTY MACDONALD, RUBY, S
14 6601 KAREN CARLIN (Teresa Norton), W, RUBY, M
15 6601 Earlene Roberts W, WITNESS, H
16 6507 HAROLD RUSSELL W, WITNESS, M
17 6609 MARILYN WALLE, RUBY, M
18 6512 WILLIAM WHALEY, W, WITNESS, A
19 6611 JAMES WORRELL, W, WITNESS, A
20 65XX David Goldstein, W, WITNESS, U (not in JFK Calc)
21 6611 Jimmy Levens, RUBY, U (not in JFK Calc)
Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).