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2016 Presidential Election: Will voter turnout overwhelm the built-in fraud factor?

16 Jul

Richard Charnin
July 16, 2015

Charnin Website
Look inside the book: Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Look inside the book:Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy

2016 Presidential Election: Will voter turnout overwhelm the built-in fraud factor?

Assumptions:
Obama won the 2012 True Vote by 55-43%
In 2016, the Democrat wins
91% of returning Obama voters,
6% of Romney voters and
50% of New voters.

To win the popular vote, the GOP would need 97% of Romney voters to return compared to 77% of Obama voters. But that is implausible since Obama won the 2012 True Vote by approximately 15 million. A 20% split in 2012 voter turnout is not feasible; the GOP cannot win a fair election.

View the spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RbFw_0MHZk5bIj2439pponSrYirE20NN5PrJSlAD9Hw/edit#gid=1642225781

The Democrat would win easily if 90% of Obama 2012 voters turned out and the votes were counted fairly. But since the True Vote is never equal to the recorded vote, Democratic voters must come out in droves to overcome vote-switching and vote-dropping on proprietary voting machines which have been in place since 2002. The GOP realized that it could never win an honest election. HAVA look: https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/01/31/historical-overview-of-election-fraud-analysis/

The published, official adjusted National Exit Poll is always forced to match the Election Day recorded vote. The NEP exactly matched Obama’s Election Day recorded share in 2008 and 2012. Was this just a coincidence?

In 2008, Obama had 52.71% and McCain 45.35% on Election Day.
The ADJUSTED National Exit Poll Gender cross tab matched the recorded vote exactly:
Obama 52.71%; McCain 45.35%.

Obama had 59.2% of 10.2 million Late Votes recorded after Election Day.

Obama won the UNADJUSTED 2008 National Exit Poll by 61-37%.
The UNADJUSTED 2008 state exit poll aggregate matched the True Vote Model:
Obama led both by 58.0-40.5%.

In 2012, Obama had 50.34% and Romney 48.07% on Election Day.
In the Gender crosstab, it was a near perfect match:
Obama led by 50.30-47.76%.
Obama had 60.23% of 11.7 million Late Votes.

In 2012, the National Election Pool decided not to run exit polls in 19 states.
The NEP claimed the polls were too expensive.
Or was it because the UNADJUSTED exit polls would be too revealing?
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/category/2004-election/


2008-2012 Adjusted National Exit Poll
..........2012 ......... 2008......... 2016 Tie Vote scenario
Gender Pct Obama Romney Obama McCain Dem Repub

Male....47.0 45.0 52.0 49.0 48.0 ... 43.4 53.7
Female..53.0 55.0 44.0 56.0 43.0 ... 54.0 45.0
Total..100.0 50.3 47.8 52.7 45.3 ... 49.0 49.1

2016 Tie Vote Scenario
2012.........Pct Dem Repub Ind Turnout
Obama.... 39.4% 91% 6% 3% 77%
Romney... 38.8% 6% 94% 0% 97%
Other..... 1.8% 47% 48% 5% 95%
DNV.......20.0% 50% 47% 3%
Votes......100% 66.2 66.4 2.5
Share......100% 49.0% 49.1% 1.9%

2012 True Vote
2008.....Pct Obama Romney Other

Obama.. 53.8% 90% 07% 3%
McCain. 37.2% 07% 93% 0%
Other....1.5% 51% 45% 4%
DNV......7.5% 55% 42% 3%
Vote.....100% 72.2 54.5 2.5
Share........ 55.9% 42.2% 1.9%
Recorded..... 65.9 60.9 2.3
Share........ 51.0% 47.2% 1.8%

Unadjusted 2008 National Exit Pool (17836 respondents)
Total....... Sample Obama McCain Other
Respondents 17,836 10,873 6,641 322
Vote Share. 100.0% 60.96% 37.23% 1.81%

Unadjusted 2008 National Exit Poll
2004 Votes %Mix Obama McCain Other

DNV.....17.7 13.4 71 27 2
Kerry...57.1 43.4 89 09 2
Bush....50.8 38.6 17 82 1
Other....5.9 4.50 72 26 2
Share..131.5 100.% 58.0% 40.4% 1.6%
Vote...........131.5 76.3 53.0 2.2

Final Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll
(forced to match recorded vote with impossible returning Bush voters)
2004....Votes %Mix Obama McCain Other

DNV.....17.1 13 71 27 2
Kerry.. 48.6 37 89 9 2
Bush... 60.5 46 17 82 1
Other... 5.3 04 72 26 2
Total.. 131.4 100% 52.9% 45.6% 1.5%
Votes............... 69.50 59.95 2.02

 
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Posted by on July 16, 2015 in Uncategorized

 

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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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