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Preliminary 2016 Presidential True Vote Model: Will Jesse Ventura run?

18 Dec

Preliminary 2016 Presidential True Vote Model: Will Jesse Ventura run?

Richard Charnin
Dec. 18. 2015

Jesse Ventura indicated in this recent interview that he might run as a Libertarian candidate. The preliminary 2016 Presidential True Vote Model  shows what it would take for him to win.  In this hypothetical forecast, Democratic and Republican candidates are yet to be determined.

The 2004, 2008 and 2012 Election Models each used  Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the probability that the Democrat would win.  The three elections were fraudulent. The models utilized pre-election polls and post-election  analysis: Final pre-election polls were used to forecast the recorded (bogus) popular and electoral vote.   Post-election analysis was used to calculate the True Vote.

The True Vote analysis shows that Kerry and Obama  did much better than their recorded votes (see below). The 2004 election was stolen; Kerry won by nearly 10 million votes. Obama won in 2008  by  at least 13 million more votes than recorded.  The pre-election models exactly matched Obama’s recorded electoral vote in 2008  (365) and 2012 (332). Click links to the models below.

The True Vote will surely differ from the recorded vote in 2016. It always does. 
Election Fraud: A True Vote Model Proof

Historical Projections: recorded votes, exit polls and True Vote Models

2004 Election Model
Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded): Bush 48.3-50.7%, 255 EV
Forecast:  Kerry 51.8% (2-party), 337 EV (simulation mean)
Unadjusted State exit poll aggregate: Kerry 51.1-47.6%, 337 EV
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: Kerry 51.7-47.0%
1968-2012 True Vote Model: Kerry 53.6-45.1%, 364 EV

2008 Election Forecast Model
Forecast: Obama 53.1-44.9%, 365.3 expected EV; 365.8 EV (simulation)
Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded vote): Obama 52.9-45.6%, 365 EV
Unadjusted State exit poll aggregate: Obama 58.1-40.3%, 420 EV
Unadjusted National Exit Poll (17836 respondents): Obama 61.0-37.5%
2008 True Vote Model : Obama 58.0-40.4%, 420 EV

2012  Election Final Forecast
Adjusted National Exit Poll(recorded):Obama 51.0-47.2%, 332 EV
2012 True Vote Model Obama 56.1%, 391 EV; 385 EV (expected)
Unadjusted State Exit Polls: not released
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: not released

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

 

 

 
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Posted by on December 18, 2015 in Uncategorized

 

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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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