NH Primary Win Probabilities
It was a Sanders landslide: 60.0-38.4%
In the final 6 polls Sanders led by 54.5-41.2%. He has an average 99.8% win probability. Combining the polls (2871 sample, MoE = 0.92%) Sanders has a 100% win probability.
In the 2008 NH primary, Obama led the final 7 polls by 38.3-30.0%. His win probability was virtually 100%. Clinton won by 39.0-36.4%, a 10.9% margin shift.
View the polls and probability calculations here.