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Implausible: the Ohio Unadjusted Exit Poll

12 Nov

Richard Charnin
Nov.12, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

The  unadjusted 2016 exit polls show large discrepancies to the recorded vote in battleground states. This analysis compares the Ohio reported vote, the Edison Research unadjusted exit poll, the CNN adjusted poll (matched to the recorded vote) and the True Vote Model.

Clinton led the average of nine pre-election national polls by 45.8-43.3%.
Trump led Independents by 43.6-33.8%.

Trump won the OH  reported vote by 52.0-43.5%.  But  according to the CNN published exit poll, he won by just 47.1-47.0%. Does the discrepancy indicate that votes were rigged for Trump? Not at all, the evidence indicates that he won OH as reported.

The unadjusted exit poll discrepancies are largely due to the implausible difference between Trump and Clinton’s share of Independents. To match the CNN published exit poll, Clinton must have won the Independent vote by an implausible 50-34%.

OHIO
1: CNN exit poll. Implausible.
2012 Party-ID (41D-42R-17I)
Trump 47.1- Clinton 47.0%
Independents: Clinton 47-Trump 28% (implausible)

2: CNN exit poll. Implausible.
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/states/ohio
2016 Party-ID (34D-37R-29I)
Trump 47.1- Clinton 47.0%
Independents: Clinton 50-Trump 34%  (implausible)

3:  OH reported vote. Plausible.
2016 Party-ID (34D-37R-29I)
Trump 52.1- Clinton 43.5%
Independents: Trump 51-Clinton 38% (plausible)

4: OH True Vote Model. Plausible.
Close match to the reported vote.
2016 Party-ID (32.4D-33.4R-34.2I)
Trump 46.7- Clinton 41.6% (before undecided voter allocation)
Trump 50.5- Clinton 42.9% (after undecided voter allocation)
Independents: Trump 43.9-Clinton 32.6% (plausible)

Ohio 2016        
1 CNN EP  Implausible      
2012 Party ID 2012 Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 41% 87% 12% 1%
Rep 42% 8% 89% 3%
Ind 17% 47% 28% 25%
Calc 100% 47.0% 47.1% 5.9%
Total 100% 47.0% 47.1% 5.9%
     Margin 0.1%  
2. CNN EP Implausible      
2016 Party ID 2016 Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 34% 87% 12% 1%
Rep 37% 8% 89% 3%
Ind 29% 50% 34% 16%
Calc 100% 47.0% 46.9% 6.1%
Total 100% 47.0% 47.1% 5.9%
     Margin 0.1%  
         
3. CNN Reported  Plausible      
 2016 Party ID Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 34% 87% 12% 1%
Rep 37% 8% 89% 3%
Ind 29% 38% 51% 11%
Calc 100% 43.6% 51.8% 4.6%
Reported  100% 43.5% 52.1% 4.4%
   Plausible Margin 8.2%  
       
4. True Vote Model Party ID  Clinton Trump Other
Dem 32.4% 89% 6% 5%
Rep 33.4% 5% 89% 6%
Ind 34.2% 32.6% 43.9% 6.6%
Calc 94.9% 41.6% 46.7% 6.6%
TVM after UVA  100% 42.9 50.5% 6.6%
 UVA:  Undecided  Voter Allocation  25% 75%   

View the  spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sGxtIofohrj3POpwq-85Id2_fYKgvgoWbPZacZw0XlY/edit#gid=1141167047

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/states/ohio#president

Unadjusted exit polls: http://tdmsresearch.com/2016/11/10/2016-presidential-election-table/

2016-presidential-election-table_nov-10-2016

 
11 Comments

Posted by on November 12, 2016 in 2016 election

 

Tags: , ,

11 responses to “Implausible: the Ohio Unadjusted Exit Poll

  1. Melba

    November 13, 2016 at 2:33 pm

    Hi Richard,

    What in your opinion is the percentage of votes that Dr. Stein earned on election day? Is it less than 1 percent as currently publicized? Or is there a range that is more likely in your opinion?

     
    • Richard Charnin

      November 13, 2016 at 9:01 pm

      I would estimate at least 5%.

       
    • Patrickduffing

      November 13, 2016 at 11:25 pm

      Hell yes two party system could not compeat what can we do

       
    • Paul Boehme

      November 14, 2016 at 1:35 am

      Fraud!

       
  2. CarlAntoine

    November 13, 2016 at 6:27 pm

    Reblogged this on CarlAntoine and commented:
    #OurRevolution #BernieSanders #FeelTheBern #JillStein {#Clinton #Trump} #MSMbias #DNC #GreenParty stolen

     
  3. David Moskowitz

    November 14, 2016 at 12:40 pm

    Hi Richard, Beautiful work. Would you be interested in supporting my class action against the RNC, et al. for the Nov 8th election fraud? I’ll also be relying on Greg Palast’s work showing the Crosscheck program knocked 1.1M minority voters off the rolls beforehand.

     
    • Richard Charnin

      November 15, 2016 at 6:43 am

      What about the nearly 3 million illegal aliens who voted thanks to Obama?

       
      • Zach Shukan

        November 15, 2016 at 5:55 pm

        @Richard Charnin Why would an undocumented person vote? The last thing in the world a person who is not here legally would do would be to walk into a government sanctioned facility and commit fraud. It’s not worth the risk to cast one vote. You might have well have suggested that actual aliens from space are voting in our election; it’s at least as verified as your claim.

         
  4. Danielle Réd Fraser

    November 14, 2016 at 5:21 pm

    Well it looks like one or both of the 2 major parties stole the Green Party votes and quite possibly the Libertarian votes to keep 3rd parties under the 5% mark that would have given them Federal funding and a better chance of recognition in 2020. The 2 major parties don’t want the competition plus its easier to control the outcome of the rigged elections. How can the people stop this monstrosity??

     
    • Sonrisa

      November 27, 2016 at 1:46 pm

      I agree. Why would only 10% of Greens support Jill & 35% support Hillary? Jill voters voted for Jill bcuz we DIDN’T WANT Hillary

       
  5. supportusabantsa

    November 16, 2016 at 5:26 am

    Reblogged this on Oregon False Flags Exposed.

     

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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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