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Michigan match: Reported Vote vs. Unadjusted Exit Poll vs. True Vote Model

15 Nov

Richard Charnin
Nov.15, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Trump is the apparent winner by 12,000 votes. But I believe he did much better than that despite the polls and the True Vote Model. None are perfect.
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/states/michigan#president

MI Recorded Vote (adjusted Final Exit Poll)
Trump wins 47.8-47.5%  (12,000 vote margin)
Party ID: 40D-31R-29I 
Trump won 56.0% of Independents.
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/michigan/president

Unadjusted MI Exit Poll
Trump and Clinton tied: 46.8%
Party ID: 40D-31R-29I
Trump won 53% of Independents.

True Vote Model
(reported vote shares with True Vote Model Party-ID)
Trump wins 47.8-45.3% (117,000 votes)
MI Party-ID: 34.7D-29.4R-35.9I (derived from Gallup)
Gallup National party affiliation survey: 40I-32D-28R

Unadjusted Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 40% 88% 9% 2% 1%
Rep 31% 7% 90% 2% 0%
Ind 29% 32% 53% 3% 3%
Match 100% 46.7% 46.8% 2.3% 1.3%
Unadjusted 100% 46.8% 46.8% 2.3% 1.3%
Votes (000) 4,773 2,234 2,234 109 61
Margin 0 0.0%
Final Exit Poll          
Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 40% 89% 9% 2% 0%
Rep 31% 7% 90% 2% 1%
Ind 29% 35.0% 56.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Match 100% 47.5% 47.8% 2.3% 1.3%
Reported 100% 47.5% 47.8% 3.6% 1.3%
Votes (000) 4,773 2,268 2,278 166 62
Margin 12 0.3%
True Vote Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 34.7% 88% 9% 2% 1%
Rep 29.4% 7% 90% 2% 1%
Ind 35.9% 33.5% 56.3% 3.6% 1.3%
True Vote 100.0% 45.3% 47.8% 4.4% 2.4%
Votes (000) 4,773 2,164 2,281 212 116
    Margin 117 2.5%
 
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Posted by on November 15, 2016 in 2016 election

 

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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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