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California: Four election scenarios. Which one do you believe?

25 Dec

Richard Charnin
Dec.25, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
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CALIFORNIA: FOUR ELECTION SCENARIOS

Which one do you believe: The unadjusted exit poll, recorded vote or one of the two True Vote estimates?

The National Exit Poll, which is always forced to match the recorded vote, indicates that Trump won Independents nationwide by 46-42%. But 9 pre-election polls indicated he led Indies by 43.6-33.8%.

The final, adjusted  California exit poll  (matched to the reported vote) closely matched the unadjusted CA exit poll.

Given CA Party-ID: 47D-23R-30I
Method: Shares, margin (000), Clinton/Trump share of Independents
1-Unadjusted EP: 60.0-37.5% 4,042, 46-33%
2-Reported vote: 61.7-35.6% 4,270, 50-37%

Assume that in CA:
-Party-ID is derived from the Gallup national survey (40I-32D-28R)
CA Party-ID: 34.2D-22.3R-43.5I
-Clinton and Trump shares of Independents are tied at 44%.

Then there is a sharp decline in Clinton’s 4.27 million vote margin.
Method: Shares, margin (000), Clinton/Trump share of Independents
3-True Vote 1: 56.1-36.5%, 2,776, 50-37%
4-True Vote 2: 53.5-39.5%, 1,974, 44-44%

 

Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 47% 92% 5% 1% 1% 1%
Rep 23% 13% 84% 2% 1% 0%
Ind 30% 50% 37% 7% 5% 1%
Calc 100.0% 61.2% 32.8% 3.0% 2.2% 0.8%
Reported 100.0% 61.7% 31.6% 3.4% 2.0% 1.3%
Votes 14,182 8,754 4,484 479 279 187
    Margin 4,270 30.11%
Exit Poll Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 47% 92% 5% 1% 1% 1%
Rep 23% 13% 84% 2% 1% 0%
Ind 30% 46% 33% 7% 5% 9%
Match 100% 60.0% 31.6% 3.0% 2.2% 3.2%
Unad-justed 100% 60.0% 31.5% 2.0% 1.3% 5.2%
Votes 14,182 8,509 4,467 284 184 737
Margin 4,042 28.50%
TVM1 Gallup Adj Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 34.2% 92% 5% 1% 1% 1%
Rep 22.3% 13% 84% 2% 1% 0%
Ind 43.5% 50% 37% 7% 5% 1%
Shares 100% 56.1% 36.5% 3.8% 2.7% 0.8%
Votes 14,182 7,958 5,182 544 389 110
    Margin 2,776 19.58%  
TVM2 Gallup   Adj Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 34.2% 92.0% 5.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Rep 22.3% 13.0% 84.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Ind 43.5% 44.0% 44.0% 7.0% 5.0% 0.0%
Shares 100.0% 53.5% 39.6% 3.8% 2.7% 0.3%
Votes 14,182 7,588 5,614 544 389 49
    1,974 13.92%
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Posted by on December 25, 2016 in 2016 election

 

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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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