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Reuters Trump Approval: from 42% to 47% in one week. Why? Do the math.

23 Sep

Richard Charnin
Sept.23, 2018

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Reuters/Ipsos Trump Approval was 42.5% on 9/13/18.
1) Democrat Party ID was over-weighted at 40%
2) Republican Trump approval was understated at 84%
3) Independent Trump approval was understated at 38%

On 9/20/18 Reuters has 47% Trump approval. Why the jump?
1) Democratic Party ID is 27% based on the Gallup Survey.
2) Independent Party ID is 45%.
3) Republican Trump approval is a reasonable 90%
4) Independent Trump approval is 43%

Rasmussen has Trump at 49%.

 

Trump approval
Reuters 9/13 Party ID Approval Adjusted1 Rasmussen1
Rep 35.0% 84.0% 90.0% 91.0%
Dem 40.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
Ind/Other 25.0% 38.0% 43.0% 47.0%
Total 100.0% 42.5% 45.9% 47.2%
Reuters 9/20 Gallup Party ID Approval Adjusted2 Rasmussen2
Rep 28.0% 84.0% 90.0% 91.0%
Dem 27.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
Ind/Other 45.0% 38.0% 43.0% 47.0%
Total 100.0% 43.1% 47.0% 49.1%

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html#polls
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

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Posted by on September 23, 2018 in 2018 Elections

 

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