Richard Charnin
Oct. 13, 2019
The following analysis indicates how Trump may have won the True Vote by 9-13 million…and the electoral vote with at least 356 EV (he had 306 recorded). He did about 5% better than his recorded 46% share. Is that so hard to believe when you consider what the DNC did to Bernie Sanders in the 2016 primaries?
According to Dr. Epstein, 2.4-10.6 million undecided votes were flipped by Google to Clinton. Gallup Independents (40% of the electorate) are a proxy for the 40% in the NEP who decided after Sept.1.
A 6.5 million flip requires an 11% increase in Trump’s NEP share of Independents from 46% to 57%. As the challenger. Trump would expect at least 57% of undecided Independents since the “incumbent” Clinton was unpopular.
With this one change,Trump wins by 9.4 million votes with 356 EV (50.0-43.1%).
| Recorded | Gallup | Trump | Clinton | Other |
| Rep | 28% | 88.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Dem | 32% | 8.0% | 89.0% | 3.0% |
| Indep | 40% | 46.0% | 42.0% | 12.0 |
| Calc | 45.6% | 47.5% | 6.9% | |
| Recorded | 46.1% | 48.2% | 5.7% | |
| 136.22 | 62.8 | 65.7 | 7.6 |
| Independents | Gallup | Trump | Clinton | Other |
| Rep | 28% | 88.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Dem | 32% | 8.0% | 89.0% | 3.0% |
| Indep (adjusted) | 40% | 57% | 31.0% | 12.0% |
| Vote | 50.0% | 43.1% | 5.9% | |
| Check | 50.0% | 43.1% | 5.9% | |
| 136.22 | 68.3 | 58.9 | 9.0 |
| When Decided | NEP | Trump | Clinton | Other |
| Before 9/1 | 60% | 47.0% | 52.0% | 1.0% |
| After 9/1 (adjusted) | 40% | 57.0% | 30.6% | 12.4% |
| Vote | 51.0% | 43.0% | 6.0% | |
| Check | 51.0% | 43.0% | 6.0% | |
| 136.22 | 69.5 | 58.6 | 8.2 |
| Adjustments | Total | Trump | Clinton | Other |
| Recorded | 136.22 | 62.8 | 65.7 | 7.6 |
| 100% | 46.1% | 48.2% | 5.7% | |
| Illegals | -3.0 | 0.0 | -3.0 | 0,0 |
| Vote Suppression | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Google Vote Flip | 0.0 | 6.5 | -6.5 | 0.0 |
| Adjusted Vote | 138.22 | 69.4 | 59.2 | 7.6 |
| 100% | 52.0% | 42.3% | 5.7% |
DID TRUMP ACTUALLY WIN BY 13 MILLION VOTES?
“Taken from the “NSA Core Records”
TRUMP: 70,125,263; CLINTON: 57,177,958
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2018/02/13/did-trump-actually-win-by-13-million-votes/
2016 Election Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17h3tOueSvQWwYFLwOEg3tCoIFdoB7wnEscsMgSFeDAk/edit#gid=1036175945
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