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QUINNIPIAC POLL: BIDEN LEADING TRUMP BY 50-39%. WHO IN THEIR RIGHT MIND BELIEVES IT?

22 May

Richard Charnin
May 22, 2020

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In the 5/20 Quinnipiac poll, 1,323 self-identified registered voters were surveyed nationwide from May 14 – 18 with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.

BUT THE POLL DOES NOT PROVIDE A PARTY ID. WHY NOT?

These steps calculate a plausible adjusted poll:
1. Note that the 2016 National Exit Poll (NEP) was forced to match the fraudulent 2016 recorded vote by over-weighting the Dems Party-ID and vote shares. This is Standard Operating Procedure used by the MSM to rig polls.

2. Calculate the Quinnipiac party ID mix required to match the bogus 50-39% margin. As usual, Party-ID and vote shares were over-weighted to favor the Dems.

3. Calculate the adjusted Biden/Trump poll. Apply the latest Gallup national voter affiliation percentages and make plausible adjustments to the Quinnipiac poll shares.

With these adjustments, Trump leads by 50-47%.

2016 NEP (forced to match the bogus recorded vote)
Party-ID….Clinton Trump Other
Rep 33%……. 8.0% 88.0% 4.0%
Dem 36%…… 90.4% 7.8% 1.8%
Ind 31%…….42.0% 46.0% 12%
Total…….. 48.2% 46.1% 5.7%

Quinnipiac
……….Biden Trump Other
Rep 26%….. 8% 87% 5%
Dem 32%….. 88% 5% 7%
Ind 42% …. 47% 36% 17%
Total….. 50.0% 39.3% 10.7%

Adjusted
Gallup…..Biden Trump Other
Rep 30%….. 6% 93% 1%
Dem 31%….. 88% 7% 5%
Ind 39%….. 47% 50% 3%
Total….. 47.4% 49.6% 3.0%

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3661

 
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Posted by on May 22, 2020 in Uncategorized

 

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