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How could Trump approval drop from 52% to 46% in one day on Rasmussen?

29 Sep

Richard Charnin

Sept.29, 2020

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How could Trump approval drop from 52% to 46% in one day on Rasmussen? The approval is based on a three-day average of 500 polled each day or 1500 total.

My calculations show that Trump had approximately 50% of the 500 polled on Sept. 25, but just 32% of the 500 polled on Sept. 28. The 6% decline in one day is unprecedented. Daily change in approval is generally 0-2%.

Possible explanations for the sharp decline: Consider these current events: 1) Supreme Court nominee Barrett named, 2) NY Times misleading report on Trump’s Tax Returns (did not mention legitimate tax write-offs and no Russian connection- a nothing-burger).

Note: Trump was nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize for the third time but the media never reported it.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

The margin of error for N=1500 is 2.5%. It is 4.4% for N=500

1-day 50015003day-1500Rating
RateApprDisApprDisApprDis
28-Sep32%16034069079546%53%
25-Sep50%25025078072052%48%
24-Sep55%27522578072052%48%
23-Sep50%25524575074050%49%
22-Sep50%25025075074050%49%

 
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Posted by on September 29, 2020 in Uncategorized

 

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