RSS

Another rigged poll from NBC: Biden leading 53-39%.

05 Oct

Richard Charnin

Oct. 5, 2020

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

Another rigged poll from NBC: Biden leading 53-39%. As usual the poll overweights Dems and understates Trump’s shares.

Let’s compare the poll to my calculation which shows Trump leading using the latest Gallup voter affiliation survey. Trump had a recorded 8% of Dems in 2016. He will do better in 2020 since he is gaining black and Hispanic voters. He will also do better among Republican voters (he had 89% in 2016) and Independents (he won by 46-42%).

NBCParty-IDBidenTrumpOther
Rep27%9%84%7%
Dem35%93%5%2%
Ind38%47%38%15%
Poll53%39%8%
RCGallupBidenTrumpOther
Rep29%7%91%2%
Dem30%87%10%3%
Ind41%42%46%12%
Poll53%39%8%
Calc45.3%48.3%6.4%
 
Leave a comment

Posted by on October 5, 2020 in Uncategorized

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

 
%d bloggers like this: