Richard Charnin Oct.14, 2020
YouGov vs. Gallup party-ID: Effect on YouGov Election forecast. Another example of how over-weighted Democrat samples skew the polls.
Party-ID: YouGov: Biden 45.2-38.5%; Gallup: Trump 42.7-39.0%. Approximately 6% undecided.
YouGov | Party-ID | Biden | Trump | Other |
Dem | 37.6% | 89% | 1% | 0% |
Rep | 27.4% | 2% | 92% | 1% |
Ind | 35.0% | 32% | 37% | 4% |
RV Calc | 100% | 45.2% | 38.5% | 1.7% |
RV Poll | 100% | 46% | 38% | 2% |
YouGov | Gallup | Biden | Trump | Other |
Dem | 27% | 89% | 1% | 0% |
Rep | 28% | 2% | 92% | 1% |
Ind | 45% | 32% | 37% | 4% |
Adj. Calc | 100% | 39.0% | 42.7% | 2.1% |
pg21 https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/1qb5j6pdqd/econTabReport.pdf