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Effect of Party ID change in YouGov Poll to Gallup on Election share

14 Oct

YouGov vs. Gallup party-ID: Effect on YouGov Election forecast. Another example of how over-weighted Democrat samples skew the polls.

Party-ID: YouGov: Biden 45.2-38.5%; Gallup: Trump 42.7-39.0%. Approximately 6% undecided.

YouGov Party-IDBidenTrumpOther
Dem37.6%89%1%0%
Rep27.4%2%92%1%
Ind35.0%32%37%4%
RV Calc100%45.2%38.5%1.7%
RV Poll100%46%38%2%

YouGov Gallup BidenTrumpOther
Dem27%89%1%0%
Rep28%2%92%1%
Ind45%32%37%4%
Adj. Calc100%39.0%42.7%2.1%

pg21 https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/1qb5j6pdqd/econTabReport.pdf

 
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Posted by on October 14, 2020 in Uncategorized

 

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