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Registered voters and recorded votes: Stuffed Ballots, Media censorship, lost ballots, rigged voting machines

23 Dec

Richard Charnin – Dec. 23, 2020

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Did Trump win a 20m vote landslide? Let’s look at the numbers. This analysis calculates various fraud components based on public estimates applied to the 2020 recorded vote.

In 2016, 136.7m voted (59.2% of the 230.9m voting age population). In 2020, the voting age population was 239.2m. Approximately 142m (66.3%) were expected to vote. But 158.4m voted, a 21.7m increase over 2016. There was a 73.9% turnout of 214.3m registered voters.

Biden won the recorded vote by 81.3-74.2m (51.4-46.9%). Assume Biden’s vote was padded by approximately 16.4m stuffed and illegal ballots. Subtracting 16.4m from Biden’s vote, Trump won by 74.2-64.9m.

But the stuffed/illegal/dead voter ballots were not the only components of massive fraud. Assume: 1) 16.4m stuffed/illegal ballots, 2) 7% of votes flipped from Trump to Biden by media censorship/bias, 3) 1% of Trump ballots were lost (discarded), 4) 2% of Trump’s votes were flipped to Biden on rigged voting machines. Applying the adjustments, Trump won a landslide: 82.3-57.5m (57.7-40.3%) and had approximately 393 EV. Note: if there were 8 million illegal/stuffed ballots , Trump wins by 82.3-65.8m (54.5-43.6%).

William Edward Binney is a former intelligence official with the United States National Security Agency (NSA) and whistleblower. He retired on October 31, 2001, after more than 30 years with the agency. Bill Binney, Constitutional Patriot@Bill_Binney: “Judicial Watch reports from sample of 353 counties in 31 states had more than 100% eligible people registered. That’s 1.8 million more registered that eligible. And, congress+media expect us to believe no fraud? Had to be a good number of dead/illegal included. That’s 353 counties of over 3000. Assuming even distribution, that means something over 15 million total for the whole country”.

Note: Binney’s estimate of 15 million more registered than eligible voters is close to my estimate of 16.4 million stuffed ballots/illegal voters.

Fraud Adjusted BidenTrumpOther
Recorded (000)81,26474,2172,903
Share51.3%46.9%1.8%
Media flip7.0%5,688
Stuffed/illegal/dead voters20.2%16,415
Lost ballots1.0%813
Voting Machine flip2.0%1,625
Adjusted Vote (000)57,53582,3432,903
Share40.3%57.7%2.0%

Sensitivity Analysis

Votes in thousandsMedia flip
4.0%7.0%10.0%
Machine vote flipTrump share
3%56.5%58.2%59.9%
2%56.0%57.7%59.4%
1%55.4%57.1%58.8%
Trump votes
3%80,71883,15685,594
2%79,90582,34384,781
1%79,09381,53183,969
Biden votes
3%59,16056,72254,284
2%59,97357,53555,097
1%60,78558,34855,910
Trump Margin
3%21,55826,43431,310
2%19,93324,80829,684
1%18,30723,18328,059

Voter Turnout: adjusted Gallup Party-ID

PartyTurnoutParty-IDBidenTrumpOther
Dem39.9m30.2%88.0%12.0%0.0%
Rep43.4m31.5%3.0%96.0%1.0%
Ind52.1m38.2%38.0%57.0%5.0%
Vote share100.0%42.1%55.7%2.2%
Votes142.059.879.13.2
Margin/EV19.3m145EV393EV

Returning voters based on 2020 National Exit poll: Trump 43%, Clinton 40%, Other/did not vote 17%. Assumed 2016 Voter Turnout in 2020: Trump 98%, Clinton 94%,Other 94%; 2016 voter mortality 4%.

Returning 2016 VotersPct MixBidenTrumpOther
Clinton34.6%92%7%1%
Trump38.8%3%96%1%
Other/DNV14.7%37%55%8%
New Voters11.9%41%52%7%
Vote share100.0%43.3%53.9%2.7%
Vote (millions)142.061.576.63.9
Margin15.1

https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/number-of-registered-voters-by-state

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/12/breaking-huge-simple-math-shows-biden-claims-13-million-votes-eligible-voters-voted-2020-election/

 
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Posted by on December 23, 2020 in Uncategorized

 

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