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My 2020 Election Model matches expert Seth Keshel’s analysis

03 Aug

Richard Charnin Aug. 3, 2021

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Elections Expert Seth Keshel Releases National Fraud Numbers: Finds 8.1 Million Excess Votes in US Election, Affirms Trump Won PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ, GA and MN

Adjusting Keshel’s 2020 analysis to include vote flipping and comparing to my 2020 Election Model, Keshel determined that 8.1 million of Biden’s 81.2 million (10%) votes were excess (i.e. illegal). If the 10% adjustment is applied to each state, Trump is a winner by 74.2-73.3m with 311 Electoral Votes.

But what about votes flipped from Trump to Biden? Assume 10% of votes were flipped. Applying the 10% to each state, Trump wins by 81.6-65.7m and has 356 Electoral Votes. This is virtually the same result as the 2020 Election Model which is based on party-id voter turnout and estimated party-id vote shares.

Adjusted Keshel analysis. Go row 53: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yh0YkXBVctdJwt0_XHrpCC6f7K30oEz0Vr13MiU5qT4/edit#gid=12205940

2020 Election Model: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yh0YkXBVctdJwt0_XHrpCC6f7K30oEz0Vr13MiU5qT4/edit#gid=297739797

 
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Posted by on August 3, 2021 in Uncategorized

 

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