Discrepancies between the the 2020 Census vs. Reported vote – Race
Richard Charnin Oct. 16, 2021
The 2020 census reported 154.628 million voted. The margin of error was 0.4%. There was a 90% level of confidence that there were 154.009m-155.247m votes (+/- 618,520 votes from the Census).
There were 158.38m recorded votes, exceeding the census by 3.8 million, far above the 618,520 Census margin of error. Where did those excess votes come from?
Also, according to the Census, white voters comprised 71% of the vote. According to the NEP, they were 67% of the electorate and Trump had 58% of whites. Applying the 3.8 million (4%) increase of white voters in the census over the NEP reduces Biden’s margin by more than half (4.46% to 2.04%). But it does not take into account forced reduction in Trump’s true vote shares required to match the proven fraudulent recorded vote.
As always, the NEP forced a near perfect match to the reported vote; the anomalies understate Trump’s True vote. He won in a landslide. It will become obvious when battleground states have forensic audits.
| NEP | NEP | Trump | Biden | Other |
| White | 67% | 58% | 41% | 1% |
| Black | 13% | 12% | 87% | 1% |
| Latino | 13% | 32% | 65% | 3% |
| Asian | 4% | 34% | 61% | 5% |
| Other | 3% | 41% | 55% | 4% |
| Calc | 100% | 47.17% | 51.32% | 1.44% |
| Recorded | 100% | 46.86% | 51.31% | 1.83% |
| Diff | 0.31% | 0.01% | -0.39% |
| NEP (adj) | Census | Trump | Biden | Other |
| White | 71.0% | 61% | 38% | 1% |
| Black | 12.2% | 13% | 86% | 1% |
| Latino | 10.6% | 38% | 59% | 3% |
| Asian | 4.5% | 38% | 57% | 5% |
| Other | 1.6% | 38% | 58% | 4% |
| Adjusted | 100% | 51.28% | 47.28% | 1.44% |
| Census Votes | 154,628 | 79,289 | 73,112 | 2,227 |
| Recorded | 100% | 46.86% | 51.32% | 1.81% |
| Votes | 158,380 | 74,224 | 81,285 | 2,803 |
Sensitivity Analysis
| Trump% | Trump %White | ||
| Non-white | 58% | 61% | 62% |
| 35% | 51.3% | 53.5% | 54.2% |
| 30% | 49.9% | 52.0% | 52.7% |
| 27% | 49.0% | 51.15% | 51.9% |
| 22% | 47.6% | 49.7% | 50.4% |
| 17% | 46.1% | 48.3% | 49.0% |
| Biden | |||
| 35% | 47.4% | 45.2% | 44.5% |
| 30% | 48.8% | 46.7% | 46.0% |
| 27% | 49.7% | 47.56% | 46.9% |
| 22% | 51.1% | 49.0% | 48.3% |
| 17% | 52.6% | 50.5% | 49.7% |
| Trump margin | |||
| 35% | 6,128 | 12,717 | 14,914 |
| 30% | 1,648 | 8,238 | 10,434 |
| 27% | -1,040 | 5,550 | 7,746 |
| 22% | -5,520 | 1,070 | 3,267 |
| 17% | -10,000 | -3,410 | -1,213 |
View the calculations: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yh0YkXBVctdJwt0_XHrpCC6f7K30oEz0Vr13MiU5qT4/edit?fbclid=IwAR2VNV1CK37ny9HIlJyH4BcBbw9TK4esAh0-7OcDVFWDRDDNUNTRcV_kW-E#gid=1267983589
Richard Charnin's Blog 
bj
October 16, 2021 at 11:59 am
In your spreadsheet the 2020 State table Row 67 Column B EV for PA should be 20 not 16.
Richard Charnin
October 16, 2021 at 12:03 pm
Thanks