Colorado 2020 election: Math Indications of fraud
Richard Charnin Oct. 27, 2021
The CO Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote Biden (55.4-41.9%). How did Biden get 57% of whites in CO if Trump had 58% nationally? For the poll to match the recorded vote, CO Exit Poll vote shares had to be INCREASED for Trump! The sensitivity analysis below shows that Trump would have won CO if he had just 51% of the white vote.
Note that the Census indicates 2,827,000 voted in CO compared to the 3,256,000 reported. Could there have been an estimated 430,000 STUFFED BALLOTS? Where is the CO Forensic audit?
National Exit Poll – adjusted to match the total U.S. reported vote
| NEP | Pct | Trump | Biden | Other |
| White | 67% | 58% | 41% | 1% |
| Black | 13% | 12% | 87% | 1% |
| Hispanic | 13% | 32% | 65% | 3% |
| Asian | 4% | 34% | 61% | 5% |
| Other | 3% | 41% | 55% | 4% |
| Reported | 100% | 47.17% | 51.32% | 1.51% |
CO Exit Poll – adjusted to match the CO reported vote. Biden wins by 440,000 votes
| CO | Pct | Trump | Biden | Other |
| White | 79% | 41% | 57% | 2% |
| Black | 3% | 16% | 80% | 4% |
| Hispanic | 12% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Asian | 2% | 53% | 42% | 5% |
| Other | 4% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 41.9% | 55.4% | 2.7% |
| Reported | 100% | 41.9% | 55.4% | 2.7% |
| Votes | 3,256 | 1,364 | 1,804 | 88 |
National Exit Poll vote shares and CO Census voting weights. Trump wins by 212,000 votes.
| CO | Census | Census | NEP | NEP | NEP |
| Adjust | Votes | Pct | Trump | Biden | Other |
| White | 2,316 | 81.6% | 58% | 41% | 1% |
| Black | 96 | 3.4% | 12% | 87% | 1% |
| Hispanic | 315 | 11.1% | 32% | 65% | 3% |
| Asian | 50 | 1.8% | 34% | 61% | 5% |
| Other | 60 | 2.1% | 41% | 55% | 4% |
| Total | 2,837 | 100.0% | 53.0% | 45.5% | 1.5% |
| Reported | 3,256 | 100.0% | 41.9% | 55.4% | 2.7% |
| Census Votes | 2837 | 1503 | 1291 | 44 |
Sensitivity Analysis – Trump wins by 31,000 with 51% of the white vote
| % Hispanic | CO | Trump | % White | ||
| 43% | 43% | 45% | 47% | 49% | 51% |
| % Black | Margin | ||||
| 29% | -377 | -271 | -164 | -58 | 48 |
| 27% | -381 | -275 | -169 | -62 | 44 |
| 25% | -386 | -280 | -173 | -67 | 40 |
| 23% | -390 | -284 | -178 | -71 | 35 |
| 21% | -395 | -288 | -182 | -76 | 31 |
| Trump | |||||
| 29% | 42.9% | 44.5% | 46.1% | 47.8% | 49.4% |
| 27% | 42.8% | 44.4% | 46.1% | 47.7% | 49.3% |
| 25% | 42.7% | 44.4% | 46.0% | 47.6% | 49.3% |
| 23% | 42.7% | 44.3% | 45.9% | 47.6% | 49.2% |
| 21% | 42.6% | 44.2% | 45.9% | 47.5% | 49.1% |
| Biden | |||||
| 29% | 54.4% | 52.8% | 51.2% | 49.5% | 47.9% |
| 27% | 54.5% | 52.9% | 51.2% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| 25% | 54.6% | 52.9% | 51.3% | 49.7% | 48.0% |
| 23% | 54.6% | 53.0% | 51.4% | 49.7% | 48.1% |
| 21% | 54.7% | 53.1% | 51.4% | 49.8% | 48.2% |
| Votes | Trump | ||||
| 29% | 1,396 | 1,449 | 1,502 | 1,556 | 1,609 |
| 27% | 1,394 | 1,447 | 1,500 | 1,553 | 1,606 |
| 25% | 1,392 | 1,445 | 1,498 | 1,551 | 1,604 |
| 23% | 1,389 | 1,443 | 1,496 | 1,549 | 1,602 |
| 21% | 1,387 | 1,440 | 1,494 | 1,547 | 1,600 |
| Votes | Biden | ||||
| 29% | 1,773 | 1,720 | 1,667 | 1,613 | 1,560 |
| 27% | 1,775 | 1,722 | 1,669 | 1,616 | 1,563 |
| 25% | 1,777 | 1,724 | 1,671 | 1,618 | 1,565 |
| 23% | 1,780 | 1,726 | 1,673 | 1,620 | 1,567 |
| 21% | 1,782 | 1,729 | 1,675 | 1,622 | 1,569 |
| 2020 Census Table 4b. Reported Voting and Registration, by Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin, for States: November 2020 |
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/colorado
| https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/president |
| https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results |
Richard Charnin's Blog 
bj
October 30, 2021 at 8:59 am
Why would the Colorado exit poll be adjusted in this manner? It makes no sense.Why not just change the White vote and leave the others wherever they were? It’s more believable. But I see a couple problems with this analysis. It assumes the NEP percentages are correct. It assumes that White voters in Colorado voted the same as White voters in the NEP. If one applies the latter assumption to ME, MN, NH, VT, with large White populations they would become red states. Applied to AL, LA, MS, with smaller White populations they become blue states. Neither has been the case recently.
Richard Charnin
November 6, 2021 at 8:07 am
Your points are well taken View my latest post in which I use state exit poll race vote shares along with Census race breakdowns for each state. I do not assume the state exit poll percentages are correct. I adjust them in the process of matching to the Cyber Symposium state results. Let ne know what you think.