RSS

Category Archives: 2016 election

STATES OFFERING DRIVER’S LICENSES TO UNAUTHORIZED IMMIGRANTS

Richard Charnin
Feb. 17, 2019

From Q: It’s very simple – w/o the illegal vote D’s lose.
Previous illegal imm high pop v D win by county provided.
[Example 2]

Why do D’s push for illegals to obtain a driver’s license?
Does having a DL make it easier to vote?

This brief summarizes state legislation authorizing driver’s licenses or authorization cards for unauthorized immigrants (not to be used for federal identification purposes) and examples of limits or exceptions for legal immigrants’ licenses.

http://www.ncsl.org/…/states-offering-driver-s-licenses-to-…

What states provide DL’s to illegals?
What checks are in place within each of the ‘DL granted states’ to prevent 2x-3x-4x-5x voting?

Compare v. 2016 Presidential election results.
What do you notice?
Do you believe in coincidences?
Memes are important.
#FactsMatter
Q

Total…………..Clinton…………………Trump
136,216,677 65,719,398 48.25% 62,889,892 46.17%
DL states
34,675,682 19,700,670 56.81% 12,439,441 35.87%
Non DL
101,540,995 46,018,728 45.32% 50,450,451 49.68%
No photo description available.

 

Advertisements
 
Leave a comment

Posted by on February 17, 2019 in 2016 election

 

Tags: , ,

2016 Census Race Demographic & National Exit Poll indicates Fraud

Richard Charnin
Jan.27, 2019

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

This analysis of the 2016 National Exit Poll Race cross tab and corresponding Vote Census indicates that Clinton did not win the true popular vote.

She won the recorded vote, which is never the same as the true vote. The recorded vote is often fraudulent. The National Exit Poll (NEP) is always forced to match the recorded vote, even if it requires adjusting the category percentage mix and corresponding vote shares. 

Recorded vote:  Clinton  48.25%- Trump 46.17%;  Margin 2.83 mil; Trump has 57% of whites. The NEP indicates Whites were 71% of the electorate.

The Census indicates Whites were 73.3% of the electorate (0.4% MoE). Making just this change to the NEP and keeping vote shares constant, Trump wins by 703,000.

Sensitivity Analysis (assume Whites 73.3% of the electorate)
1. Trump 57% of whites+21% other (black, hispanic, asian, other)
Trump 47.39%- Clinton 46.88%;   Margin 703,000

2. Trump 58% of whites+21% other 
Trump 48.12%-Clinton 46.14%; Margin 2.700 million

3. Trump 59% of whites+22% other 
Trump 49.12%-Clinton 45.14%; Margin 5.425 million

National Exit
Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 71.0% 37.0% 57.0% 6.0%
Non-white 29.0% 74.0% 21.0% 5.0% Clinton Margin
Calc 100.0% 47.73% 46.56% 5.71% 1.17%
136,216 65,016 63,422 7,778 1,594
Recorded 48.25% 46.17% 5.70% 2.08%
136,216 65,724 62,891 7,764 2,833

……

Census
National Exit Poll
Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 73.31% 37.0% 57.0% 6.0%
Non-white 26.69% 74.0% 21.0% 5.0% Trump Margin
Calc 100.00% 46.88% 47.39% 5.73% 0.52%
136,216 63,852 64,555 7,809 703
Recorded 48.25% 46.17% 5.70% 2.08%
136,216 65,724 62,891 7,764 2,833

Sensitivity Analysis

Trump % White
Trump % 57.0% 58.0% 59.0% 60.0% 61.0%
Non-white Trump
24.0% 48.19% 48.93% 49.66% 50.39% 51.12%
23.0% 47.93% 48.66% 49.39% 50.12% 50.86%
22.0% 47.66% 48.39% 49.12% 49.86% 50.59%
21.0% 47.39% 48.12% 48.86% 49.59% 50.32%
20.0% 47.12% 47.86% 48.59% 49.32% 50.06%
Clinton
24.0% 46.07% 45.34% 44.61% 43.88% 43.14%
23.0% 46.34% 45.61% 44.88% 44.14% 43.41%
22.0% 46.61% 45.88% 45.14% 44.41% 43.68%
21.0% 46.88% 46.14% 45.41% 44.68% 43.94%
20.0% 47.14% 46.41% 45.68% 44.94% 44.21%
Trump margin
24.0% 2,885 4,882 6,879 8,876 10,873
23.0% 2,158 4,155 6,152 8,149 10,146
22.0% 1,430 3,428 5,425 7,422 9,419
21.0% 703 2,700 4,698 6,695 8,692
20.0% -24 1,973 3,971 5,968 7,965
Census NEP
Census 2016 Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 100,849 73.31% 37% 57% 6%
Black 17,119 12.44% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 12,682 9.22% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 5,049 3.67% 65% 27% 8%
Other 1,843 1.34% 56% 36% 8%
Calc 137,567 100.0% 47.42% 46.84% 5.73%
65,234 64,431 7,877
Margin 803
National Exit Poll
NEP Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 71.0% 37% 57% 6%
Black 12.0% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 11.0% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 4.0% 65% 27% 8%
Other 2.0% 56% 36% 8% Clinton Margin
Calc 100.00% 47.93% 46.31% 5.76% 1.62%
136,216 65,288 63,082 7,846 2,207
Recorded 48.25% 46.17% 5.70% 2.08%
136,216 65,724 62,891 7,764 2,833

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1447777586
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1088655249
https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/national/president

Other adjustments: True Vote Sensitivity
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit?fbclid=IwAR3x0INVIU5VkxsAhSG4IU3JonEc0DOThwK2iwBIoQVx92ld6feg4DM1SfA#gid=1672204415

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on January 27, 2019 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

Tags: , , ,

GOP wins Texas senate district 19 for first time in 139 years

Richard Charnin
Sept.27, 2018

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

Flores (GOP) wins Texas senate district 19 (53-47%) for the first time in 139 years. Hispanics comprise 66%, blacks 7%, whites 27%.

Hillary Clinton carried  SD19 by 12%. Trump carried TX by 7%.

TX 2016 Clinton Trump Other Trump 2pty
White 57% 26% 69% 5% 73%
Black 11% 84% 11% 5% 12%
Hispanic 24% 61% 34% 5% 36%
Asian 5% 72% 26% 2% 27%
Other 3% 56% 36% 8% 39%
Total 100.0% 44.0% 51.1% 4.9% 53.8%

In SD19, Flores did 9% (estimated) better than Trump. The following table shows how the groups may have voted.

SD19 (2-party) Pct Trump Flores
White 27% 73% 73%
Black 7% 12% 24%
Hispanic 66% 36% 48%
Total 100% 44.3% 53.1%

Recent polling shows Democratic U.S. senators are vulnerable in close races in Indiana, North Dakota, Missouri, Minnesota and New Jersey.

http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2018/09/20/gop-victory-in-texas-race-is-good-sign-that-republicans-can-defy-history-in-midterms.html

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on September 27, 2018 in 2016 election, 2018 Elections

 

2016: Were Clinton’s pre-election poll numbers (and recorded vote) inflated?

Richard Charnin
Aug.3, 2018

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

Clinton’s average pre-election 10-poll approval rating (41.8%) was exceeded by her 47.6% average poll and 48.3% recorded vote. Did Clinton’s average pre-election approval rating closely approximate her true vote? Were her poll numbers inflated?

In the post-election True Vote Model, Trump won by an estimated 50.5-43.4% (9.7 million votes).

In 16 battleground states, Trump won the recorded vote by 48.0-45.9%. Clinton led the pre-election polls by 44.5-44.1%. When undecided voters are allocated (UVA), Trump leads the 16-poll average 46.6-45.3%. Using the Gallup National Voter affiliation survey (40Ind-32Dem-28Rep) to derive each state’s Party-ID, Trump leads 48.9-43.1%.
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2017/09/15/2016-pre-election-polls-in-16-battleground-states-were-biased-for-clinton

Clinton Pre-election Approval/Poll
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=34911100

Clinton Average 41.8 47.6
Pollster Date Approval Poll
CBS News/NY Times 1030 35 47
McClatchy/Marist 1101 40 47
ABC/Wash Post 1102 42 49
Reuters/Ipsos 1102 49 44
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 1103 38 48
FOX News 1103 44 48
Monmouth 1103 37 50
Gravis 1103 46 48
Bloomberg 1104 46 46
Economist/YouGov 1104 43 49
Total Clinton Trump Other   Margin 
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -3.0 -2.55 -0.30 -0.15 -2.25
Disenfran 4.0 3.40 0.40 0.20 3.00
Vote Flip 0.0 -7.00 6.30 0.70 -13.30
True Vote 137.22 59.57 69.29 8.36 9.72
 True Vote% 43.41% 50.50% 6.09% 7.08%

My Books
Trump Won the True Vote
77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on August 3, 2018 in 2016 election

 

2016: Vote Rigging from the Democratic primary to the election

Richard Charnin
July 11, 2018

Who owns the Voting Machines?
“Concerns are being raised over ties between George Soros, a billionaire and political activist with deep ties to Hillary Clinton, and an electronic voting company with machines in 16 states. The chairman of the London-based company, Smartmatic International, is Lord Mark Malloch-Brown, who also works under Soros. https://www.theepochtimes.com/voting-machines-in-16-states-tied-to-george-soros-ally_2176907.html

Malloch-Brown is on the board of the Open Society Foundations, run by Soros. His brief biography on the Smartmatic website says he was also formerly the vice chairman of Soros’s Investment Funds and of Soros’s Open Society Foundations.”

The Rigged Democratic primary 
It is established fact: HRC stole the primary from Bernie Sanders. http://projectcensored.org/clintonistasdnc-illegally-stole-democratic-primaries-bernie-sanders/

Her approval ratings were 10% lower than Sanders.  Trump won the GOP primary easily. Hillary knew she would lose to Trump in a fair election, so she had to rig the general. She tried to steal the election -but Trump had too big a lead.

The Popular Vote Myth
The myth that Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million is parroted daily by pundits, even Trump supporters. It’s 2018 and the pundits still fail to recognize the historical fact that the recorded vote is never the same as the True Vote. Clinton won the fraudulent recorded vote, but Trump won the True Vote. It’s past time for a great awakening.
Trump won the estimated True Vote by 50.5-43.4%, a 9.7 million vote margin.

We estimate the True Vote based on the following simple models. Given Model 1 adjustments to the recorded vote, we calculate an estimated True Vote. In models 2,3,4,5 we calculate the vote shares required to match the True Vote.

1 Adjustments to the recorded vote: illegals , disenfranchised, voting machine flips
2 Race: Census breakdown and shares of white and non-white voters
3 Returning 2012 voters and 2016 vote shares
4 Party-ID: Gallup voter survey and vote shares
5 Decided: Vote shares before and after Sept. 1

…………………..

Post-election interview with Debbie Lusignan (Sane Progressive) 
 

 

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on July 11, 2018 in 2016 election

 

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

Clinton rigged the primary against Sanders, and then she rigged the presidential.

Richard Charnin
June 23, 2018

Clinton rigged the primary against Sanders-  and then she rigged the presidential. The MSM was in the tank for HRC.  In the presidential election, Clinton’s pre-election and unadjusted exit poll vote shares were inflated in anticipation of the fraud.

http://projectcensored.org/clintonistasdnc-illegally-stole-democratic-primaries-bernie-sanders/

“Finally, almost all election ballots are counted by computers and cannot be verified by the public. Apart from being non-transparent, this method of counting ballots is also problematic because electronic voting machines can easily be hacked. Essentially, Clintonista computer hackers could have flipped a minimum number of votes spread over a maximum number of polling stations by inserting a malicious code or algorithm into the voting tabulation software. As a result, this code would allow the final number of votes to “remain random in a way that would avoid detection by election fraud analysis tools.”

Suspiciously, multiple studies show that across all primary states, Clinton performed best in counties with electronic voting machines that didn’t leave a paper trail. https://www.theepochtimes.com/voting-machines-in-16-states-tied-to-george-soros-ally_2176907.html

Additionally, Election Justice USA found that the computer counts differed widely from the exit poll projections, but only for the Democratic Party primaries. According to election analyst Richard Charnin, Bernie Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded vote share by greater than the margin of error in 11 of 26 primaries: Alabama, Arizona, Georgia, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio, Mississippi, South Carolina, Texas, Wisconsin, and West Virginia. Charnin reported that the probability of this occurring is 1 in 77 billion, which raises the strong possibility of election fraud. Yet, almost no discrepancies were found in the data for the Republican Party primaries. This is particularly remarkable, because the exit polls were conducted on the same day, in the same precincts, with the same interviewers, and used the same methodologies for both the parties. So, this evidence suggests that the computer counts were only accurate for the Republican Party, while the computer counts for the Democratic Party primaries remain largely unverified.

The exit polls for the Democratic primaries were conducted by Edison Research, which is the exclusive provider of exit polls to the National Election Pool (NEP), which includes ABC, CBS, CNN, FOX, NBC and the Associated Press. The National Election Pool has a policy that exit pollsters must adjust and force all state and national exit polls to match the recorded vote count, as if the computerized votes are always correct and as if there is no fraud!”

https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2018/04/05/23743/

My Books
Trump Won the True Vote: Polling Anomalies, Democratic Defections, Independents and Late Undecided Voters
77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy

 

 
 

Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

The myth: HRC/FBI/DOJ/Deep State thought Clinton would win easily

Richard Charnin
May 1, 2018

The myth that Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million is parroted daily by pundits, even Trump supporters. Clinton won a fraudulent recorded popular vote, but Trump won the True Vote. It’s 2018 and the pundits still fail to recognize the historical fact that the recorded vote is never the same as the True Vote. It’s past time for a great awakening.
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2018/04/05/23743/

It is established fact: HRC stole the primary from Bernie Sanders. Her approval ratings were 10% lower than Sanders. On the other hand, Trump won the GOP primary easily. Hillary knew she would lose to Trump in a fair election, so she also needed to rig the general.
http://projectcensored.org/clintonistasdnc-illegally-stole-democratic-primaries-bernie-sanders/

She tried to steal the election (rigged voting machines, illegals, dead voters). But Trump had too big a lead. https://www.theepochtimes.com/voting-machines-in-16-states-tied-to-george-soros-ally_2176907.html

The MSM inflated Clinton’s pre-election polls to set the stage.
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2017/09/15/2016-pre-election-polls-in-16-battleground-states-were-biased-for-clinton/

Democrats were over-weighted, Independents underweighted.
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2016/11/07/2016-election-model-forecast/

The HRC approval polls were the lowest of any presidential candidate.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=34911100

HRC internal polls probably showed her losing.Trump internal polls probably showed him winning. He warned about a rigged election in the debates and said he might contest if he lost. Clinton ridiculed Trump for bringing up election fraud. She said we must trust the final result while cheating in the debates (Donna Brazile).

Sanders voters defected to Trump and Jill Stein or did not vote.
Trump had the momentum after Sept.1. He won late deciders easily.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=793126276

The Democratic base was shattered.
Clinton joined Stein in recounts of states Trump won.
But they did not call for recounts in states Trump lost. https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2016/12/01/the-2016-presidential-recounts-why-not-add-these-six-states/

HRC paid for the phony Pissgate Dossier. FBI/DOJ/MSM was panicking.
HRC needed a dramatic turnaround.
She had to derail Trump with Russiagate.
She claimed Russia hacked the DNC for Wikileaks.

The DNC used Crowdstrike to examine the server, that was ok with the FBI.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-24/what-crowdstrike-firm-hired-dnc-has-ties-hillary-clinton-ukrainian-billionaire-and-g
But it was a Seth Rich leak, not a hack. William Binney and VIPS proved it.
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2017/01/31/russian-tampering-with-the-election/

Post-election Insurance Policy – destroy Trump with Russiagate.
Mueller investigation: NO COLLUSION.
Bogus DNC suit vs. Wikileaks, Trump, Russia

My Books
Trump Won the True Vote: Polling Anomalies, Democratic Defections, Independents and Late Undecided Voters
77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy

 
 
 
Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis