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Category Archives: 2016 election

Bill Binney: The Mueller Report lied about the DNC Server. It was a leak not a Russian hack

Richard Charnin
April 19, 2019

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Duncan Campbell and James Risen in the Intercept

“CIA DIRECTOR MIKE POMPEO met late last month with a former U.S. intelligence official who has become an advocate for a disputed theory that the theft of the Democratic National Committee’s emails during the 2016 presidential campaign was an inside job, rather than a hack by Russian intelligence.

Pompeo met on October 24 with William Binney, a former National Security Agency official-turned-whistleblower who co-authored an analysis published by a group of former intelligence officials that challenges the U.S. intelligence community’s official assessment that Russian intelligence was behind last year’s theft of data from DNC computers. Binney and the other former officials argue that the DNC data was “leaked,” not hacked, “by a person with physical access” to the DNC’s computer system.

Binney claims the U.S. intelligence community’s assessment that Russia interfered in the 2016 presidential election is false, and that the Democratic National Committee e-mails were leaked by an insider instead. He has appeared on Fox News at least ten times between September 2016 and November 2017 to promote this theory. Binney said that the “intelligence community wasn’t being honest here”. He has also been frequently cited on Breitbart News. In November 2017 it was reported that a month earlier, Binney had met with CIA Director Mike Pompeo at the behest of  President Trump.”

https://theintercept.com/2017/11/07/dnc-hack-trump-cia-director-william-binney-nsa/

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Posted by on April 19, 2019 in 2016 election

 

Trump had the Big MO: He won voters who decided after Sep1 by at least 48-40%

Richard Charnin
Feb. 24, 2019

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National Exit Poll- When Decided 

The NEP is ALWAYS adjusted to match the recorded vote.

The 2016 NEP indicates that of the 26% of voters who decided after Oct.1, 48% voted for Trump and 40% for Clinton. Of the 74% who decided before Oct.1, Clinton led 51-45%.

Of the 40% of voters who decided after Sept.1, Trump won by 48.0-42.0%. Clinton won voters who decided before Sept.1 by 52.5-45.0%.

Were Clinton’s  poll shares rigged to match the recorded vote? Clinton won the national recorded vote by 2.8 million. She won IL, CA and NY by a combined 7 million votes. Therefore Trump won the recorded vote by at least 4 million everywhere else.

But Trump’s True Vote margin had to be higher than 4 million. As many as 3 million of Clinton’s 7 million margin in IL, CA and NY may have been fraudulent- matching her national 2.8 million margin. Were Clinton’s votes inflated (rigged) in these and other states?

Since the NEP was forced to match Clinton’s 48.3-46.2% recorded vote, it appears that her vote shares were inflated.

The third-party Recorded vote is another clue that Clinton’s vote was rigged.
According to the National Exit Poll, 4% of voters who decided before Oct.1 voted for a third party candidate; 12% voted third party after Oct.1. Jill Stein had just 1% of the total recorded vote. Could it be that Jill really had at least 3% of which 2% or more were shifted to Clinton?

Click for state deciders href=”https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit?fbclid=IwAR2CRD4z4Z7Q_qpEYNDM9EOj8q5Jzy1_LkKM1lF5TqZngXsp48WoTcMcUE8#gid=1036252757″

Decided…. Pct Clinton Trump Other
Post Oct. 1 26% 40.0% 48.0% 12.0%
Pre Oct. 1.. 74% 51.0% 45.0% 4.0%
Total……… 100% 48.3% 46.2% 5.5%

Decided….. Pct Clinton Trump Other
Post Sept. 1 40% 42.0% 48.0% 10.0%
Pre Sept 1.. 60% 52.5% 45.0% 2.5%
Total……… 100% 48.3% 46.2% 5.5%

State exit poll………….. IL…….. CA……. NY
Total Recorded %…… 56-39-5.. 62-32-4. 60-37-3
Before Oct.1……….….66-32-2.. 67-29-4. 67-31-2 < Rigged?
After Oct.1…………… 33-55-12. 51-42-7. 38-53-9 < shift to Trump & 3rd party
Votes (mil)…………….. 5.5……. 14.2……. 7.5
Margin (mil)…………… 0.95……. 4.3…….. 1.7 Total 6.95 million

https://scontent.fmia1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/52830928_2582663225109009_9135850851154264064_n.jpg?_nc_cat=103&_nc_eui2=AeG2bdqKdBw2QbAT7jh9x2Lr4oMSzVQnHH3lptQnmmyZ6Xt68OirxZBqcDJdq7uk5Tg5IEydhOqjPRmZTKn7kN-sr2MleovhVwa0itVqhnhrFA&_nc_ht=scontent.fmia1-1.fna&oh=f96540887d5279fbe3444495fb3ae42c&oe=5D248212

 
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Posted by on February 24, 2019 in 2016 election

 

STATES OFFERING DRIVER’S LICENSES TO UNAUTHORIZED IMMIGRANTS

Richard Charnin
Feb. 17, 2019

From Q: It’s very simple – w/o the illegal vote D’s lose.
Previous illegal imm high pop v D win by county provided.
[Example 2]

Why do D’s push for illegals to obtain a driver’s license?
Does having a DL make it easier to vote?

This brief summarizes state legislation authorizing driver’s licenses or authorization cards for unauthorized immigrants (not to be used for federal identification purposes) and examples of limits or exceptions for legal immigrants’ licenses.

http://www.ncsl.org/…/states-offering-driver-s-licenses-to-…

What states provide DL’s to illegals?
What checks are in place within each of the ‘DL granted states’ to prevent 2x-3x-4x-5x voting?

Compare v. 2016 Presidential election results.
What do you notice?
Do you believe in coincidences?
Memes are important.
#FactsMatter
Q

Total…………..Clinton…………………Trump
136,216,677 65,719,398 48.25% 62,889,892 46.17%
DL states
34,675,682 19,700,670 56.81% 12,439,441 35.87%
Non DL
101,540,995 46,018,728 45.32% 50,450,451 49.68%
No photo description available.

 

 
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Posted by on February 17, 2019 in 2016 election

 

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2016 Census Race Demographic & National Exit Poll indicates Fraud

Richard Charnin
Jan.27, 2019

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This analysis of the 2016 National Exit Poll Race cross tab and corresponding Vote Census indicates that Clinton did not win the true popular vote.

She won the recorded vote, which is never the same as the true vote. The recorded vote is often fraudulent. The National Exit Poll (NEP) is always forced to match the recorded vote, even if it requires adjusting the category percentage mix and corresponding vote shares. 

Recorded vote:  Clinton  48.25%- Trump 46.17%;  Margin 2.83 mil; Trump has 57% of whites. The NEP indicates Whites were 71% of the electorate.

The Census indicates Whites were 73.3% of the electorate (0.4% MoE). Making just this change to the NEP and keeping vote shares constant, Trump wins by 703,000.

Sensitivity Analysis (assume Whites 73.3% of the electorate)
1. Trump 57% of whites+21% other (black, hispanic, asian, other)
Trump 47.39%- Clinton 46.88%;   Margin 703,000

2. Trump 58% of whites+21% other 
Trump 48.12%-Clinton 46.14%; Margin 2.700 million

3. Trump 59% of whites+22% other 
Trump 49.12%-Clinton 45.14%; Margin 5.425 million

National Exit
Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 71.0% 37.0% 57.0% 6.0%
Non-white 29.0% 74.0% 21.0% 5.0% Clinton Margin
Calc 100.0% 47.73% 46.56% 5.71% 1.17%
136,216 65,016 63,422 7,778 1,594
Recorded 48.25% 46.17% 5.70% 2.08%
136,216 65,724 62,891 7,764 2,833

……

Census
National Exit Poll
Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 73.31% 37.0% 57.0% 6.0%
Non-white 26.69% 74.0% 21.0% 5.0% Trump Margin
Calc 100.00% 46.88% 47.39% 5.73% 0.52%
136,216 63,852 64,555 7,809 703
Recorded 48.25% 46.17% 5.70% 2.08%
136,216 65,724 62,891 7,764 2,833

Sensitivity Analysis

Trump % White
Trump % 57.0% 58.0% 59.0% 60.0% 61.0%
Non-white Trump
24.0% 48.19% 48.93% 49.66% 50.39% 51.12%
23.0% 47.93% 48.66% 49.39% 50.12% 50.86%
22.0% 47.66% 48.39% 49.12% 49.86% 50.59%
21.0% 47.39% 48.12% 48.86% 49.59% 50.32%
20.0% 47.12% 47.86% 48.59% 49.32% 50.06%
Clinton
24.0% 46.07% 45.34% 44.61% 43.88% 43.14%
23.0% 46.34% 45.61% 44.88% 44.14% 43.41%
22.0% 46.61% 45.88% 45.14% 44.41% 43.68%
21.0% 46.88% 46.14% 45.41% 44.68% 43.94%
20.0% 47.14% 46.41% 45.68% 44.94% 44.21%
Trump margin
24.0% 2,885 4,882 6,879 8,876 10,873
23.0% 2,158 4,155 6,152 8,149 10,146
22.0% 1,430 3,428 5,425 7,422 9,419
21.0% 703 2,700 4,698 6,695 8,692
20.0% -24 1,973 3,971 5,968 7,965
Census NEP
Census 2016 Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 100,849 73.31% 37% 57% 6%
Black 17,119 12.44% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 12,682 9.22% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 5,049 3.67% 65% 27% 8%
Other 1,843 1.34% 56% 36% 8%
Calc 137,567 100.0% 47.42% 46.84% 5.73%
65,234 64,431 7,877
Margin 803
National Exit Poll
NEP Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 71.0% 37% 57% 6%
Black 12.0% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 11.0% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 4.0% 65% 27% 8%
Other 2.0% 56% 36% 8% Clinton Margin
Calc 100.00% 47.93% 46.31% 5.76% 1.62%
136,216 65,288 63,082 7,846 2,207
Recorded 48.25% 46.17% 5.70% 2.08%
136,216 65,724 62,891 7,764 2,833

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1447777586
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1088655249
https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/national/president

Other adjustments: True Vote Sensitivity
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit?fbclid=IwAR3x0INVIU5VkxsAhSG4IU3JonEc0DOThwK2iwBIoQVx92ld6feg4DM1SfA#gid=1672204415

 
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Posted by on January 27, 2019 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

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GOP wins Texas senate district 19 for first time in 139 years

Richard Charnin
Sept.27, 2018

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Flores (GOP) wins Texas senate district 19 (53-47%) for the first time in 139 years. Hispanics comprise 66%, blacks 7%, whites 27%.

Hillary Clinton carried  SD19 by 12%. Trump carried TX by 7%.

TX 2016 Clinton Trump Other Trump 2pty
White 57% 26% 69% 5% 73%
Black 11% 84% 11% 5% 12%
Hispanic 24% 61% 34% 5% 36%
Asian 5% 72% 26% 2% 27%
Other 3% 56% 36% 8% 39%
Total 100.0% 44.0% 51.1% 4.9% 53.8%

In SD19, Flores did 9% (estimated) better than Trump. The following table shows how the groups may have voted.

SD19 (2-party) Pct Trump Flores
White 27% 73% 73%
Black 7% 12% 24%
Hispanic 66% 36% 48%
Total 100% 44.3% 53.1%

Recent polling shows Democratic U.S. senators are vulnerable in close races in Indiana, North Dakota, Missouri, Minnesota and New Jersey.

http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2018/09/20/gop-victory-in-texas-race-is-good-sign-that-republicans-can-defy-history-in-midterms.html

 
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Posted by on September 27, 2018 in 2016 election, 2018 Elections

 

2016: Were Clinton’s pre-election poll numbers (and recorded vote) inflated?

Richard Charnin
Aug.3, 2018

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Clinton’s average pre-election 10-poll approval rating (41.8%) was exceeded by her 47.6% average poll and 48.3% recorded vote. Did Clinton’s average pre-election approval rating closely approximate her true vote? Were her poll numbers inflated?

In the post-election True Vote Model, Trump won by an estimated 50.5-43.4% (9.7 million votes).

In 16 battleground states, Trump won the recorded vote by 48.0-45.9%. Clinton led the pre-election polls by 44.5-44.1%. When undecided voters are allocated (UVA), Trump leads the 16-poll average 46.6-45.3%. Using the Gallup National Voter affiliation survey (40Ind-32Dem-28Rep) to derive each state’s Party-ID, Trump leads 48.9-43.1%.
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2017/09/15/2016-pre-election-polls-in-16-battleground-states-were-biased-for-clinton

Clinton Pre-election Approval/Poll
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=34911100

Clinton Average 41.8 47.6
Pollster Date Approval Poll
CBS News/NY Times 1030 35 47
McClatchy/Marist 1101 40 47
ABC/Wash Post 1102 42 49
Reuters/Ipsos 1102 49 44
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 1103 38 48
FOX News 1103 44 48
Monmouth 1103 37 50
Gravis 1103 46 48
Bloomberg 1104 46 46
Economist/YouGov 1104 43 49
Total Clinton Trump Other   Margin 
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -3.0 -2.55 -0.30 -0.15 -2.25
Disenfran 4.0 3.40 0.40 0.20 3.00
Vote Flip 0.0 -7.00 6.30 0.70 -13.30
True Vote 137.22 59.57 69.29 8.36 9.72
 True Vote% 43.41% 50.50% 6.09% 7.08%

My Books
Trump Won the True Vote
77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy

 
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Posted by on August 3, 2018 in 2016 election

 

2016: Vote Rigging from the Democratic primary to the election

Richard Charnin
July 11, 2018

Who owns the Voting Machines?
“Concerns are being raised over ties between George Soros, a billionaire and political activist with deep ties to Hillary Clinton, and an electronic voting company with machines in 16 states. The chairman of the London-based company, Smartmatic International, is Lord Mark Malloch-Brown, who also works under Soros. https://www.theepochtimes.com/voting-machines-in-16-states-tied-to-george-soros-ally_2176907.html

Malloch-Brown is on the board of the Open Society Foundations, run by Soros. His brief biography on the Smartmatic website says he was also formerly the vice chairman of Soros’s Investment Funds and of Soros’s Open Society Foundations.”

The Rigged Democratic primary 
It is established fact: HRC stole the primary from Bernie Sanders. http://projectcensored.org/clintonistasdnc-illegally-stole-democratic-primaries-bernie-sanders/

Her approval ratings were 10% lower than Sanders.  Trump won the GOP primary easily. Hillary knew she would lose to Trump in a fair election, so she had to rig the general. She tried to steal the election -but Trump had too big a lead.

The Popular Vote Myth
The myth that Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million is parroted daily by pundits, even Trump supporters. It’s 2018 and the pundits still fail to recognize the historical fact that the recorded vote is never the same as the True Vote. Clinton won the fraudulent recorded vote, but Trump won the True Vote. It’s past time for a great awakening.
Trump won the estimated True Vote by 50.5-43.4%, a 9.7 million vote margin.

We estimate the True Vote based on the following simple models. Given Model 1 adjustments to the recorded vote, we calculate an estimated True Vote. In models 2,3,4,5 we calculate the vote shares required to match the True Vote.

1 Adjustments to the recorded vote: illegals , disenfranchised, voting machine flips
2 Race: Census breakdown and shares of white and non-white voters
3 Returning 2012 voters and 2016 vote shares
4 Party-ID: Gallup voter survey and vote shares
5 Decided: Vote shares before and after Sept. 1

…………………..

Post-election interview with Debbie Lusignan (Sane Progressive) 
 

 

 
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Posted by on July 11, 2018 in 2016 election

 

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