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Do the math: Epstein’s 6.5 million Google vote flip from Trump to Clinton

Do the math: Epstein’s 6.5 million Google vote flip from Trump to Clinton

Richard Charnin
Sept. 13, 2019

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

This analysis calculates the percent of undecided voters required to match Dr. Epstein’s 6.5 million average vote flip estimate from Trump to Clinton. Epstein calculated that based on Google manipulation of search algorithms,  2.6-10.4 million undecided voters flipped from Trump to Clinton.

Clinton won the recorded vote by 48.25-46.17%,  a 2.83 million vote margin. According to the 2016 National Exit Poll (which is always forced to match the recorded vote) 60% of voters decided before Sept. 1. 
Clinton won the pre-Sept.1 deciders by 52-45%. 
Trump won the 40% who decided after Sept.1 by 47.9-42.6%. 

To match the flip, we adjust the National Exit Poll “When Decided” cross tab. Trump needed 57% of post-Sept.1 deciders and 47% of pre-Sept.1 deciders. The result: a 10.3 million vote margin (69.5-59.2) and 51.0-43.4% split.

Included in the spreadsheet is a vote share/margin sensitivity analysis matrix ranging over 5 pre-Sept.1 and 5 post-Sept.1 vote share increments (25 scenarios).

It is important  to note that the analysis is based strictly on Epstein’s study. It does not include the following factors: illegal and disenfranchised voters and malicious voting machine software.

Note that the challenger typically gets at least 75% of the undecided vote, especially when the incumbent is unpopular. Clinton was the de-facto incumbent after serving as Secretary of State under Obama.

NEP Decided Voted Clinton Trump Other
Post Sept 1 40% 42.62% 47.92% 9.46%
Pre Sept 1 60% 52% 45% 3%
Total 100% 48.25% 46.17% 5.58%
136,216,677 65,719,398 62,889,892 7,607,387
Adjusted Voted Clinton Trump Other
Post Sept 1 40% 33.54% 57.00% 9.46%
Pre Sept 1 60% 50.00% 47.00% 3.00%
Total 100% 43.42% 51.00% 5.58%
136,216,677 59,138,785 69,470,505 7,607,387

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17h3tOueSvQWwYFLwOEg3tCoIFdoB7wnEscsMgSFeDAk/edit?fbclid=IwAR2x2qXiBcemeKXGNh6c2FW31-2Flwe2pgn-1IWFGhsjDrpRC2MbLwmDp5s#gid=1036175945

 

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Posted by on September 13, 2019 in Uncategorized

 

9/11 Facts: A summary review

Richard Charnin
Sept. 7, 2019

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

A  New University Study Finds Fire Did Not Bring Down World Trade Center Building 7 on 9/11. This is nothing new.

NYC Fire Commissioners: Overwhelming evidence of explosives in ALL 3 WTC Towers calls for new investigation https://commonground.ca/explosives-used-on-9-11-say-commis…/

The Official Story of the Collapse of WTC Building 7

Commissioners from the Franklin Square and Munson Fire District, located near Queens, New York, unanimously passed a historic resolution on July 24 that calls for a new investigation into all aspects of 9/11 and which cites “overwhelming evidence” that explosives were planted in all THREE (3) towers prior to 9/11. The resolution states that the district’s Board of Fire Commissioners “fully supports a comprehensive federal grand jury investigation and prosecution of every crime related to the attacks of September 11…”

“It was a mass murder,” Commissioner Christopher Gioia said in an interview. “Three thousand people were murdered in cold blood.” Gioia, who wrote and introduced the resolution, says the toll on his department from the events of that day has been devastating. Members Thomas J. Hetzel and Robert Evans died at Ground Zero on 9/11. Others, including commissioners Philip Malloy and Joseph Torregrossa, have become ill from exposure to the toxic air during rescue and recovery operations.

View this video narrated by Ed Asner

 The mainstream media and their cadre of online gatekeepers and trolls use the term “Conspiracy Theorist” (CT) as a derogatory label for those who seek the truth. According to these gatekeepers, there is no proof of conspiracies. But they  avoid factual analysis based on the scientific evidence 

Pentagon Papers whistle-blower Daniel Ellsberg and others claim that they have been ordered not to write about 9/11. This has not been reported by the corporate media. 

According to the official story, nineteen Muslims armed with box cutters who could not fly a Cessna, hijacked four airliners and outfoxed the entire U.S. defense establishment  while Bin Laden was on dialysis, near death and hiding in caves.

To believe the official conspiracy theory (OCT) requires a belief in miracles. It requires cognitive dissonance of obvious explosive (WTC1 and WTC2) and symmetric (WTC7) destruction.

View research from:
Architects and Engineers – ae911 truth  
http://www.consensus911.org/  
http://www.consensus911.org/the-911-consensus-points/

KEY POINTS:

-NIST claimed office fires caused 3 steel-framed buildings to collapse at near free-fall.  
– NIST did not consider explosives as a possible cause of the collapses.
– Not one steel-framed office building has ever collapsed due to fires.
– Jet fuel burns at 1000 degrees; 2700 degrees is required to melt steel.
– Free-fall can only occur by instantaneous removal of all supporting columns 

-The BBC reported that WTC 7 collapsed at 5pm, 20 minutes before happened. .
– Larry Silverstein, the owner of Building 7, said   “pull it” – meaning bring it down.
– The NIST failed to acknowledge Building 7 free-fall until David Chandler proved it.
– The NIST claimed that the  collapse of WTC 7 was due to structural failure of one beam.
– The 9/11 Commission failed to mention WTC 7 in the hearings or note it their Report
– NIST admitted freefall but claimed it was due to office fires – a physical impossibility.

– William Rodriguez, a WTC janitor,  heard a loud explosion seven seconds before the plane hit, but his testimony was ignored by the 9/11 commission.
– There were traces of thermite in the lungs of first responders.
– At least 118 firefighters heard explosions.
– In WTC1 & 2, furniture was ejected laterally 600 feet- impossible in an office fire.
– Firefighters  knew  WTC 7 would collapse before it did.

– Are we to believe that the passport of a hijacker was found in the rubble of the WTC?
– There was no manifest record of hijackers boarding the planes.
– Put options on airline stocks rose dramatically a few days before 9/11.

– CNN reporter Barbara Olson was a passenger on AA Flight 11 (which allegedly crashed into the Pentagon). It is claimed that she called husband Solicitor General Ted Olson from her cell phone and told him hijackers were armed with knives and box cutters. It was later disclosed that cell phones could not work at 30,000 feet. Olson then said that she called from a seatback phone. But according to an American Airlines spokesman, there were no seatback phones on Boeing 757 airliners. 
– At the 2006 Moussaoui trial, the FBI reported there was one attempted call that lasted zero seconds (“unconnected”)from Barbara Olson to Ted Olson.

– Osama Bin Laden was not on the FBI most wanted list for 9/11.
– 9/11 Commission heads Kean and Hamilton disavowed their own report.
– There were multiple air defense exercises conducted on 9/11.
– Officials who ignored standard response procedures were promoted.
– None of the four flight recorders were retrieved.
– There is no video, airline debris or human remains at the Pentagon crash site.
– There is no video, airline debris or human remains at the Pennsylvania crash site.
– The media did not investigate the above facts.

April Gallop was working at the Pentagon right next to the explosion and never saw a plane. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EgExsz5q74Y

CNN reporter Jamie McIntyre at the Pentagon: “No sign of a 757 crash” https://21stcenturywire.com/2017/03/31/never-before-seen-fbi-trove-of-911-pentagon-photos-refuels-conspiracy-suspicions/

The BBC reported that WTC7 collapsed 26 minutes before it did! https://www.globalresearch.ca/bbc-foreknowledge-of-911-collapse-of-wtc-building-seven-british-man-won-law-suit-against-bbc-for-911-cover-up/5438161

This is from a retired general in charge of intelligence: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jc1ql4TfCZw

 
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Posted by on September 7, 2019 in Uncategorized

 

Gina Shakespeare discusses Dr. Epstein’s analysis of Google’s search engine vote manipulation in 2016 and 2018

Richard Charnin
Sept.5, 2019

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

Gina Shakespeare is an excellent journalist. In this video she discusses Dr. Epstein’s analysis of Google’s search engine manipulation which inflated Clinton’s vote in 2016 and that of the Dems in the 2018 midterms.

 

Confirming Dr. Epstein: The Dems may have stolen the 2018 midterms

Confirmation of Dr Epstein’s Google 2016 vote manipulation analysis

More Evidence that Trump Won the Popular Vote

Robert Epstein blows the lid off Big-Tech and debunks Hillary Clinton

Big-Tech: massive influence on the 2016 election

10 ways big tech companies could shift millions of votes in the 2018  midterms and the power of search engines to influence votes and opinions

 
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Posted by on September 5, 2019 in Uncategorized

 

What is the probability that Epstein committed suicide?

What is the probability that Epstein committed suicide?

Richard Charnin
Aug. 30, 2019

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What is the probability P that Epstein committed suicide?
P = 1/10^31= 1 in a billion trillion trillion.

P is calculated based on the estimated joint probability of 10 extremely unlikely independent events.
P = P1*P2*P3*P4*P5*P6*P7*P8*P9*P10

Note there was just ONE suicide in the prison over the last 40 years.
P = 1/14,600

Sounds crazy, right?

Viewers are encouraged to enter their own estimates for P1-P10.
For example, if P1-P10 each had a (very conservative) 10% probability,
P = 1/10^10= 1 in 10 billion.

P1 (2 cameras broken)=1 /million;
P2 (1 camera unusable)= 1/1000;
P3 (hanging breaks hyoid bone)= 1/10;
P4 (Stein tells people he is afraid of being murdered)= 1/100;
P5 (2 guards sleeping) = 1/1000;
P6 (cell mate moved the night before)= 1/100;
P7 (screams heard at time of death)= 1/million;
P8 (Baden, supporter of bogus Single Bullet Theory at JFK autopsy, called as advisor)= 1/100;
P9 (Cyril Wecht, JFK true autopsy expert, not invited)= 1/100;
P10 (FBI called to investigate)= 1/100.

 
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Posted by on September 5, 2019 in Uncategorized

 

Confirming Dr. Epstein: The Dems may have stolen the 2018 mid-terms

Richard Charnin
Sept. 5, 2019

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

Confirming Dr. Epstein: The Dems may have stolen the 2018 mid-terms

Dr. Epstein in his Senate Judiciary testimony on social media corporate BIAS:
“BUT THE POINT IS, IN 2018, I’M SURE THEY WERE MORE AGGRESSIVE, WE HAVE LOTS OF DATA TO SUPPORT THAT, AND IN 2020, YOU CAN BET THAT ALL OF THESE COMPANIES ARE GOING TO GO ALL-OUT. AND THE METHODS THAT THEY’RE USING ARE INVISIBLE. THEY ARE SUBLIMINAL, THEY ARE MORE POWERFUL THAN MOST ANY AFFECTS I’VE EVER SEEN IN THE BEHAVIORAL SCIENCES, AND I’VE BEEN IN IT FOR ALMOST 40 YEARS”.

https://www.c-span.org/video/?c4808552/big-tech-massive-influence-elections

I did the math. Dr. Epstein indicated that Google flipped undecided voters to the Dems in 2016 and 2018. Real Clear Politics (RCP) showed that 32 of 37  tossups  that were “too close to call” flipped to the Dems – a 1 in 315,000 probability. Note: one race is  disputed and requires a new election.

Of the 38 tossups, 33 were Repub-held. Most of the voters were conservative. We would normally expect a tossup split of 19 Dems and 19 Repubs. But that is conservative, since 33 were Repub seats.

Of the 15 seats which leaned to the Dems, 11 were Republican-held. Assuming a 19D-19R tossup split, the Repubs needed 5 of the 11 seats to win the House (218=194+19+5).

2018 House: Probability Analysis Indicates Fraud
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2018/11/11/2018-house-probability-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Generic Model
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nB_kFzxGOEDQoNU6X1x7YyG6Mc3-Tb1S1r8TjmamwqQ/edit#gid=210218497

House Rankings
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nB_kFzxGOEDQoNU6X1x7YyG6Mc3-Tb1S1r8TjmamwqQ/edit#gid=1239410116

District Incumbents
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nB_kFzxGOEDQoNU6X1x7YyG6Mc3-Tb1S1r8TjmamwqQ/edit#gid=1245468088

Calculations
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nB_kFzxGOEDQoNU6X1x7YyG6Mc3-Tb1S1r8TjmamwqQ/edit#gid=1032811684

The Dems needed an approximate 5.6% popular vote margin to win the House. A 5% vote flip of Independents from the Dems to the Repubs would have won the House for the Repubs.  https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2019/01/20/2018-house-election-dems-needed-a-5-6-popular-vote-margin-to-win-the-house/

 

 
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Posted by on September 5, 2019 in Uncategorized

 

Confirmation of Dr. Epstein’s Google vote manipulation analysis

Confirmation of Dr. Epstein’s Google vote manipulation analysis

Richard Charnin
Sept.4, 2019

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

Let’s calculate the number of post Oct.1 undecided voters required to flip 6 million votes to Clinton as per Dr. Epstein’s 2.6-10.4 vote shift estimate.

Post Oct. 1 voters were 26% of  total voters. According to the National Exit poll,Trump had 48% and Clinton 40% of post Oct.1 deciders.

Challengers typically win approximately 75% of late undecided voters. Trump was the de-facto challenger.

Assume: Trump had 65% of post Oct.1 deciders.

Result: Trump wins the True Vote by 68.3-59.5 (8.8 million). This is close to the 9.3 million margin calculated in a prior analysis that was based on adjustments to the recorded vote for illegal and disenfranchised voters, machine vote flipping and a 6 million Google vote shift.

National Exit Poll (recorded)……..Adjusted
……………….Clinton Trump…… Clinton Trump
Post Oct 1 26%.. 40%… 48%………23%…65%
Pre. Oct 1 74%.. 51%…. 45%……..51%…45%
Calc …..100%.. 48.1%. 45.6%….. 43.7% 50.2%
Total….136……65.5……62.3…….59.5…68.3

Assuming Epstein’s average 6.5 million  shift, Trump wins by 10.3 million votes  (71.1-60.8), a 50.7%-43.4% margin.

Assuming Epstein’s minimum 2.6 million shift, Trump wins by 2.9 million votes  (67.6-64.7), a 48.2%-46.2% margin.
Spreadsheet calculations:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17h3tOueSvQWwYFLwOEg3tCoIFdoB7wnEscsMgSFeDAk/edit#gid=1036252757

Dr Robert Epstein: Google 2016 Vote manipulation
https://www.mrctv.org/blog/dr-robert-epstein-counters-hillarys-debunked-claim-his-study-following-her-response-trump

https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2019/09/03/more-evidence-that-trump-won-the-popular-vote/

 
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Posted by on September 4, 2019 in Uncategorized

 

More evidence that Trump won the popular vote

Richard Charnin
Sept.3, 2019

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

Contrary to what the Main Stream Media propaganda would have you believe, Hillary did not win the True popular vote. She won the bogus Recorded vote. Trump won the True vote -easily.

1) Greg Palast estimates that 7 million Clinton votes were suppressed.
2) An estimated 3 million illegals voted for Clinton.
3) George Soros’ controlled voting machines in 16 states An estimated 2 million votes flipped to Clinton (conservative).
4) Dr Robert Epstein’s exhaustive analysis indicates that by manipulating search algorithms, Google flipped 2.6-10.4 million undecided voters from Trump to Clinton. An estimated 6 million flipped in this analysis.

2016 Election Model

Calculation method: Apply the above estimates to the recorded vote.
Recorded…….Clinton…..Trump……..Other……….Margin
136.22……………65.72…….62.89.,,,,…….7.61………..2.83
……………………48.25%……46.17%……..5.59%………2.08%

Adjustments: Trump is the winner by 9.3 million votes
Illegals…………….-2.70………-0.15……..-0.15……….-2.55
Suppression……..6.30……….0.70………0.00………..5.60
Machine Flip……-2.00……….1.80………0.20………..1.80
Google Flip………-6.00……….5.40………0.60………..5.40
Adjusted Vote…..61.32……..70.64………8.26……….9.32
………………..43.73%……..50.38%……..5.89%………6.65%

Assume the following Adjustments:
Illegals………… 2.0
Vote Suppression…. 4.0
Machine Vote Flip… 2.0
Google Vote Flip…. 4.0
Trump wins by 7.1 million votes.
Total……..Clinton…..Trump…..Other……Margin
138.22……..61.52…..68.59……8.11……..7.07
…………….44.51%….49.62%….5.87%….5.12%

National Exit Poll- Adjusted vote shares
Trump wins by 10.1 million votes

……..NEP…..Adjusted NEP shares
…..Party-ID.. Clinton..Trump..Other
Ind…..31%……33%….55%…..12% <Trump had 46% recorded)
Dem…..36%……87%….10%……3%
Rep…..33%…….5%….91%……4%
Calc….100%….43.2%….50.6%….6.2%
Votes…136.2…58.9….69.0….8.3

Data Sources

Dr Robert Epstein: Social media (Google, etc.) Vote manipulation
https://www.mrctv.org/blog/dr-robert-epstein-counters-hillarys-debunked-claim-his-study-following-her-response-trump

Illegals
https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/trump-is-right-millions-of-illegals-probably-did-vote-in-2016/

Greg Palast: Vote Suppression
http://www.gregpalast.com/election-stolen-heres/

George Soros: Voting Machine manipulation
http://dailycaller.com/2016/10/18/soros-connected-company-provides-voting-machines-in-16-states/
https://www.theepochtimes.com/voting-machines-in-16-states-tied-to-george-soros-ally_2176907.html

 
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Posted by on September 3, 2019 in Uncategorized