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Reclaiming Science: the JFK Conspiracy

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The 1973 film Executive Action disclosed that an actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated a one in 100,000 trillion probability of eighteen material JFK-related witness deaths in the three years following the assassination. The calculation was mathematical proof of a conspiracy. After all, a professional actuary who has passed difficult mathematical exams would be expected to come up with a good estimate of the odds; that is what he does for a living.

In 1989 Jim Marrs published Crossfire in which he listed 103 convenient JFK-related deaths. Along with Jim Garrison’s On the Trail of the Assassins, Crossfire was the basis for Oliver Stone’s historic JFK. In 2003, using Marrs’ list, I calculated the probability of at least 15 unnatural witness deaths in the first year, essentially confirming the actuary’s calculation. My analysis is referenced in Marrs’ updated 2013 edition of Crossfire.

In 2014, I wrote Reclaiming Science: the JFK Conspiracy. It is a comprehensive statistical and reference analysis of unnatural JFK-related deaths, Dealey Plaza eyewitness observations, medical, acoustic and photographic evidence.

In 1978 the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) dismissed the actuary’s odds, stating the odds were invalid because the universe of witnesses was “unknowable”. But there were 552 Warren Commission witnesses and approximately five hundred others who were sought to testify at the Garrison trial, Church senate hearings and the HSCA. The HSCA did not consider unnatural deaths which comprised the majority of suspicious deaths; it noted just 21 suspicious deaths. But when there were at least 122 by 1978. The actuary’s identity and methodology was never revealed.

Warren Commission defenders and the Corporate Media avoid the evidence and continue to promote the bogus Single Bullet Theory, claiming that Oswald was the lone shooter, despite overwhelming evidence that he was not on the 6th floor of the Texas Book Depository. In fact, he was photographed standing on the first floor watching the motorcade.

The mainstream media has lost all credibility and must be considered complicit in the ongoing 50 year cover-up. Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy challenges the corporate media to let scientific and JFK experts present the facts and debate Warren Commission apologists in full public view.

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Posted by on October 24, 2014 in JFK

 

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JFK: Confirming the London Sunday Times Actuary’s 100,000 Trillion to One Odds

JFK: Confirming the London Sunday Times Actuary’s 100,000 Trillion to One Odds

Richard Charnin
Sept.1, 2014
Updated Oct.1, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
Tables and Graphs

An actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated 100,000 trillion to one odds against 18 JFK material witnesses dying in the three year period ending in Feb. 1967. The odds were displayed in the 1972 film “Executive Action”. Watch the film: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9f96oieNA8

“In the three-year period which followed the murder of President Kennedy and Lee Harvey Oswald, 18 material witnesses died – six by gunfire, three in motor accidents, two by suicide, one from a cut throat, one from a karate chop to the neck, three from heart attacks and two from natural causes”.

The calculation has been the source of much controversy. Assuming the data and calculation methodology were essentially correct, then it was clear proof of a conspiracy and refuted the Warren Commission conclusion that Oswald was the lone assassin. Penn Jones was the first independent researcher to investigate unnatural deaths: https://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&v=IB5JGfxIxFk&feature=endscreen

The actuary’s odds are matched assuming 454 witnesses, very close to the 552 who testified at the Warren Commission. There were 13 unnatural deaths among the 18 material witnesses. We will ignore the five suspicious natural deaths.

It is important to note that the actuary worked with limited information. There were actually at least 42 unnatural JFK-related deaths in the three years following the assassination. View the JFK Calc spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1

There were at least 10 unnatural deaths among the 418 witnesses who testified in person at the Warren Commission in the three years ending Feb. 1967. The probability is:P= 2.4E-15 = 1 in 400 trillion

There were 20 unnatural deaths among the 552 total witnesses in the 15 years from 1964-78. The probability is:P= 6.35E-16 = 1 in 1500 trillion

In 1978, the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) investigated the allegation (based on the actuary) that a statistically improbable number of individuals with some direct or peripheral association with the Kennedy assassination died as a result of that assassination, thereby raising the specter of conspiracy.

The HSCA declared that the actuary’s calculation was invalid, claiming that the universe (number of witnesses) was unknowable. Warren Commission defenders (Bugliosi, McAdams, Posner, etc.) have questioned the relevance of witness connections to the assassination. The HSCA made a number of errors in coming to that conclusion, It did not cite the
1. suspicious deaths of anti-Castro, CIA, mafia, Dallas police
2. unnatural witness deaths, the key statistic in the analysis
3. known universe of 552 Warren Commission witnesses
4. 500+ called to testify by Garrison, Church and HSCA
5. identity of the actuary
6. methodology used by the actuary
7. 100+ suspicious deaths
8. deaths of Oswald, Ruby, DeMorenschildt, Ferrie, Craig etc.
9. 7 FBI officials due to testify at HSCA died in a 6 month period in 1977.

Unnatural Mortality Rates and Expected Deaths
U.S. National Center for Health Statistics http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0005124.html

In order to calculate the probability of a given number of unnatural deaths in a given group, we must first determine the expected number (E) of unnatural deaths.

E= N*T*R, where N is the size of the witness universe, T the time period under study in years, and R the average unnatural mortality rate.

Let H = the number of homicides, A = accidental deaths, S = suicides.
The actuary’s 13 unnatural deaths consist of:
H=8 homicides, A=3 accidents and S=2 suicides.

The corresponding average mortality rates for the period from 1964-66:
HR= 0.000061, AR= 0.000658, SR = 0.000128
The total unnatural rate (unweighted):
RT = HR+ AR+ SR = 0.000847

The total number ET of expected unnatural deaths:
ET = 1.15 = 454*3*0.000847
Only one unnatural death would be expected! But there were 13.

The weighted average mortality rate R is:
R = (H*HR + A*AR + S*SR)/ (H+A+S)
The average weighted unnatural rate:
R = .000209 = (8*0.000061+ 3*0.000658+ 2*0.000128)/13

The expected number E of unnatural deaths is based on the weighted rate:
E = 0.285 = 454*3*0.000209

The Poisson Probability Function
The Poisson function calculates the probability of 13 unnatural deaths in three years assuming 454 witnesses to match the actuary’s odds.
P = Poisson (13, 0.285, false)
P = 9.83E-18 = 1 in 100,000 trillion

If the 3 accidents and 2 suicides were actually homicides, then applying the 0.000061 average homicide rate, we have 13 homicides among 454 witnesses over three years.
E= 0.083= 454*3*0.000061
P= Poisson (13, 0.083, false)
P = 1.33E-24= 1 in 750 million trillion

Data Source
The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination contains information on 1400+ JFK-related suspects, victims, witnesses,Law Enforcement officials and investigators. Approximately 100 died suspiciously in 1964-78 and are listed in the JFK Calc spreadsheet database.

Crossfire, by Jim Marrs, includes a list of 103 “convenient deaths”. http://www.assassinationresearch.com/v1n2/deaths.html

There are 122 suspicious deaths (78 officially ruled unnatural) listed in the spreadsheet JFK Calc. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths is 1 in trillions. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1

The Simkin JFK Spartacus Education website contains biographies of 656 JFK-related individuals. http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKindex.htm Approximately 70 died suspiciously (4 unnatutally, included 22 homicides). The probability is 1 in trillions. View the complete Simkin list and the 70 unnatural deaths in JFK Calc.

HSCA Testimony
The chief of research of the HSCA, Jacqueline Hess, testified: http://jfkassassination.net/russ/jfkinfo2/jfk4/hess.htm
Our final conclusion on the issue is that the available evidence does not establish anything about the nature of these deaths which would indicate that the deaths were in some manner, either direct or peripheral, caused by the assassination of President Kennedy or by any aspect of the subsequent investigation.

One, to compute valid actuarial statistics, one must be able to determine to a reasonable degree of specificity, the universe of individuals to which the specific group is being compared. In other words, we would have to determine the total number of individuals who exist in each of the categories into which those individuals who have mysteriously died, fall. This means that we would need to establish the number of individuals who in any manner could be considered witnesses to the assassination of President Kennedy and Lee Harvey Oswald, the number of individuals who had any contact with Oswald or Ruby or with Ruby’s nightclubs, the number of individuals who professed to have material knowledge of the case or of the major figures in the case, all news reporters who had expressed interest, taken interviews or investigated the case, and all Members of Congress who sought to introduce legislation concerning the investigation of the case. This, as you can imagine, would have been an impossible task.

This was an incorrect statement. The universe of witnesses could be the four investigations in which at least 67 died suspiciously from 1964-78.

Two, in addition, for each of the individuals identified in the groups I have just listed, we would have to establish age, sex, race, occupation, geographical location, and any other extraordinary factors which have to be taken into consideration in order to compute mortality rates. Again, this was judged to be an impossible job.

Another incorrect statement. Natural mortality rates (heart attack, cancer, etc.) are age adjusted. Unnatural death rates are not age-related.

Three, we would need to determine the number of individuals in these categories who have, in fact, died and the number of individuals who, according to actuarial mortality rates, should have died.We had thus established the impossibility of attempting establish through the application of actuarial principles, any meaningful implications about the existence or absence of a conspiracy. Despite the fact that an inference of conspiracy, as here postulated by the critics, did not exist, we nevertheless decided not to dismiss the cited deaths out of hand, but rather, to look more closely at the nature of certain specific deaths to determine whether or not they could individually be considered mysterious or in some other manner a reflection of some sort of conspiracy.

Impossible to determine an approximate number of JFK-related individuals who died suspiciously? That is a canard. All the HSCA had to do was view the list of those called to testify in four JFK investigations – including the HSCA. It ignored 100+ deaths, including 7 top FBI officials who died suspiciously within 6 months in 1977, De Morenschildt and others who were due to testify at HSCA. Note: Hess noted 23 names, including two key Mafia figures (Sam Giancana and John Roselli). But the two were not included in the detailed report requested by the HSCA interrogator. Strange. http://www.cassiopaea.org/cass/jfkdeaths.htm

Mr. EDGAR – Will you provide for the record a detailed listing of the 21 names and the evidence you have found relating to their deaths?
Ms. HESS – Yes. Do you want me to read them for the record?
Mr. EDGAR – It might be helpful.

Ms. HESS – Edward Benavides, Albert Guy Bogard, Hale Boggs, Lee Bowers, Jr., Bill Chesher, Nicholas J. Chetta, David Goldstein, Thomas Hale Howard, William Hunter, Clyde Johnson, Dorothy Kilgallen, Thomas Henry Killam, Jim Koethe, FNU Levens, Nancy Jane Mooney, Teresa Norton, Earlene Roberts, Harold Russell, Marilyn April Walle, a.k.a. Betty McDonald, William W. Whaley, James R. Worrell, Sam Giancana, John Roselli.

Mr. EDGAR – Thank you. I think it very helpful for the record that those names be included. Can you indicate why Mr. DeMohrenschildt’s name was not included?
Ms. HESS – His was one of those which deemed further investigation and became part of a great investigative effort.

Actuary – 18 material witness deaths
M=homicide, A=accident, S=suicide, H=heart attack, O=other
W = testified at WC
Note:* No anti-Castro; CIA; Mafia; Dallas police in HSCA list of 21 deaths

S 6402 BETTY MACDONALD W
M 6403 HANK KILLAM
H 6403 BILL CHESHER
M 6404 BILL HUNTER
M 6405 GARY UNDERHILL * CIA/Life magazine, predicted his death

M 6409 JIM KOETHE
H 6503 TOM HOWARD
M 6507 HAROLD RUSSEL W
A 6512 WILLIAM WHALEY W
H 6601 EARLENE ROBERTS W

S 6602 ALBERT BOGARD W
O 6606 FRANK MARTIN W * Dallas Policeman (sudden cancer)
A 6608 LEE BOWERS W
M 6610 WILLIAM PITZER * Navy autopsy photographer, near retirement
A 6611 JAMES WORRELL W

O 6701 JACK RUBY W * Connected to Dallas PD, mob (sudden cancer)
M 6702 DAVID FERRIE * CIA, knew Oswald
M 6702 ELADIO DEL VALLE * anti-Castro, knew Ferrie

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

 
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Posted by on September 1, 2014 in JFK

 

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JFK Witness Deaths: Responding to Warren Commission Apologists

JFK Witness Deaths: Responding to Warren Commission Apologists

Richard Charnin
Dec. 28, 2013
Updated: Jan.5, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
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Ever since I first posted on the probabilities of JFK-related deaths, Warren Commission (WC) apologists, trolls and various disinformationists have attempted to refute the logic behind the calculation. After all, if it could be proved that the probability of all these deaths was essentially zero, that would mean there was a “cleanup” operation. It would prove a conspiracy to assassinate JFK and a conspiracy by the mainstream media to cover it up.

This is a summary of apologist arguments and my responses.

The basis for WC apologist talking points is a 1967 CIA memo and the 1977-78 House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA). http://www.cassiopaea.org/cass/jfkdeaths.htm

These talking points have been promoted for years by John McAdams, the most prolific “Lone nutter”. He has been totally debunked by Michael T. Griffith: http://www.mtgriffith.com/web_documents/vsmcadams.htm

A 1967 memo from CIA headquarters to station chiefs advised:
Such vague accusations as that “more than 10 people have died mysteriously” can always be explained in some rational way: e.g., the individuals concerned have for the most part died of natural causes; the (Warren) Commission staff questioned 418 witnesses – the FBI interviewed far more people, conducting 25,000 interviews and reinterviews – and in such a large group, a certain number of deaths are to be expected.

London Sunday Times and the HSCA
An actuary engaged by the London Sunday times calculated that the odds against 18 material witnesses dying in the three years after the assassination was 100,000 trillion to one.

The Times Legal manager responded to a letter from HSCA:
The Editor has passed me your letter of 25th April. Our piece about the odds against the deaths of the Kennedy witnesses was, I regret to say, based on a careless journalistic mistake and should not have been published. This was realized by The Sunday Times’ editorial staff after the first edition–the one which goes to the United States and which I believe you have–had gone out, and later editions were amended.

There was no question of our actuary having got his answer wrong: It was simply that we asked him the wrong question. He was asked what were the odds against 15 named people out of the population of the United States dying within a short period of time to which he replied–correctly–that they were very high. However, if one asks what are the odds against 15 of those included in the Warren Commission index dying within a given period, the answer is, of course, that they are much lower. Our mistake was to treat the reply to the former question as if it dealt with the latter–hence the fundamental error in our first edition report, for which we apologize.

None of the editorial staff involved in this story can remember the name of the actuary we consulted, but in view of what happened you will, I imagine, agree that his identity is hardly material.

Yours sincerely,
Antony Whitaker, Legal Manager.

The HSCA Statistician testified and noted 21 deaths had been analyzed: http://jfkassassination.net/russ/jfkinfo2/jfk4/hess.htm
Even though the London Sunday Times had not structured its actuarial inquiry properly and, therefore, the 100,000 trillion to 1 odds were invalid, the committee staff looked into the possibility of conducting a valid study, contracting with our own actuarial firms here in the District of Columbia: Edward H. Friend & Co., Towers Perrin, Forster & Co., and the Wyatt Co.

One, to compute valid actuarial statistics, one must be able to determine to a reasonable degree of specificity, the universe of individuals to which the specific group is being compared. In other words, we would have to determine the total number of individuals who exist in each of the categories into which those individuals who have mysteriously died, fall. This means that we would need to establish the number of individuals who in any manner could be considered witnesses to the assassination of President Kennedy and Lee Harvey Oswald, the number of individuals who had any contact with Oswald or Ruby or with Ruby’s nightclubs, the number of individuals who professed to have material knowledge of the case or of the major figures in the case, all news reporters who had expressed interest, taken interviews or investigated the case, and all Members of Congress who sought to introduce legislation concerning the investigation of the case. This, as you can imagine, would have been an impossible task.

As a result of the above, probability analysis confirming the actuary’s odds has been attacked by WC apologists who also cite books by Vincent Bugliosi and Gerald Posner. The following are talking points used by critics of the JFK witness probability analysis – and my response to them:

– The London Sunday Times actuary’s result was invalid (see Legal Manager and HSCA)
I confirmed the actuary’s odds based on the 0.000207 weighted unnatural mortality rate applied to 459 witnesses. The Times did not show the actuary’s calculation, and did not mention that 13 of the 18 deaths were unnatural. No one at the Times remembered the actuary’s name and there was no record of it?

– The universe of witnesses is unknowable, therefore the probabilities cannot be calculated.
That is untrue. We know how many testified at the WC. We also know the approximate number of witnesses sought by New Orleans D.A. Jim Garrison in the Clay Shaw trial, Church Senate Intelligence and the HSCA investigations.

– Bugliosi noted that that the Warren Commission Index has 2479 names and claimed a Metropolitan Life actuary calculated 1 in 1.2 odds.
But how come George Washington, Abraham Lincoln and other non-witnesses are included in the Index? And how come, just like the HSCA, Bugliosi’s actuary did not consider unnatural death mortality rates in the calculation? Even assuming 2479 witnesses, the probability of 78 unnatural deaths from 1964-78 is a very conservative 2.7E-13 (less than 1 in a trillion) assuming the average national unweighted mortality rate (.000818). The correct solution is E-44 (less than 1 in a trillion trillion trillion) assuming the JFK-weighted unnatural rate (0.000253).

– There were 25,000 FBI interviews. Many would have died.
Where is the list? How many were relevant? The book Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination includes 1400+ names. But, again, let’s assume 25,000 for the sake of argument. The probability of 80 homicides in 15 years is less than 1 in a trillion.

– The mortality rates were not age-adjusted.
Natural causes of death (heart attack, cancer, other) were age-adjusted. But 78 of the 120 deaths were ruled unnatural and were obviously not age-adjusted. A bullet does not know the age of it’s target. http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0005124.html

– It is incorrect to assume that the witnesses were connected to the assassination.
It is not an assumption. Sixty-four (64) of the 120 JFK-related individuals JFK Calc either testified or were sought to testify in four investigations. That makes them connected by definition. The other 56 were were not called by design or because they died suspiciously.

– The witness list is self-selected (not random).
Of course, the list of 120 suspicious deaths is selected from an estimated universe of 1400 material witnesses. In a group of 1400 selected at random, just 2 homicides would normally have been expected in 15 years. But there were 77 official unnatural JFK-related deaths (34 homicides, 24 accidents and 16 suicides, 3 unknown). The number of deaths ruled as accidents, suicides, heart attacks and sudden cancers was far beyond the statistical expectation based on corresponding mortality rates. A reasonable estimate is that there were at least 80 homicides.

– The only reason the witnesses are on the list is because they died.
That is just ridiculous for a number of reasons. As mentioned above, 64 of 120 were called to testify. They are not on the list “because they died”. They are on it because their deaths were unnatural and suspicious. They were part of a much larger group of 1400+ who were connected to the assassination. Eventually, all will die. But only 18 would have been expected to die unnaturally from 1964-78. But there were at least 78 official unnatural deaths. The true number is closer to 100.

– Witness occupations were hazardous.
Is that why 7 top FBI officials died within a six month period in 1977 just before they were due to testify at HSCA? Assuming that 20 FBI were called to testify, the probability of at least 7 deaths (5 heart attacks, 2 accidents) in a 6 month period is 1 in 200 trillion!

– The deaths occurred in high crime rate locations. Yes, that is true. FIFTY-ONE of the 120 in the JFK Calc spreadsheet were in Dallas. HOW DO THE LONE NUTTERS EXPLAIN THAT? THEEY WON’T AND THEY CAN’T – BECAUSE THAT STAT TELLS IT ALL.

In 1967, the Dallas population was 700,000. There were 130 murders (a 0.00019 homicide rate). Therefore a reasonable is that there were 400 Dallas murders in the period 1964-66. The Dallas homicide rate was triple the national rate (0.000059). At least 15 Ruby associates (7.5%) out of an estimated 200 contacts were murdered in 1964-66. If 7.5% of Dallas residents were murdered, that would extrapolate to 50,000 murders. Assuming 200 Ruby contacts, they were 400 times (0.075/0.00019) more likely to be murdered than the general Dallas population. Assuming 1000 contacts, they were 80 times more likely.

Using the Dallas rate, these are the probabilities of 15 Ruby contact deaths:
4.9E-27 for 200 contacts (1 in 200 trillion trillion);
9.4E-17 for 1000 contacts (1 in 10,000 trillion). View Ruby contacts in column E. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=55

Assume the universe of 1400 JFK-related witnesses in “Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination”. Officially 35 were murdered from 1964-78 (actually there were about 80). Given the National average homicide rate (0.000084) for the 15 year period, the probability of 35 homicides is 8E-33. To satisfy the WC apologists who claimed the deaths took place in high crime areas, let’s triple the national rate. The probability rises to 1.1E-17 (1 in 80,000 trillion). But that still will not satisfy the Lone Nutters, so lets double the rate – to six times the National average. The probability goes up to 1 in 500 million.

– The analysis has not been peer-reviewed.
This is not a theoretical exercise. it is based on the official and estimated expected number of witness unnatural and natural deaths and corresponding mortality statistics. We know the actual number of unnatural deaths. We only need to calculate the expected number based on the witness universe, time period and average mortality rates. The actual and expected numbers are input to the Poisson probability spreadsheet function. That’s all there is to it. There is nothing to peer-review. It’s just simple math. In any case, the data and the calculations are available for anyone to look at online. So far, no one has even tried to refute the analysis.

– It has been said that I’m an amateur conspiracy “buff”, not an actuary or statistician.
That ad-hominem will not stand. I have a lifetime of experience as a professional quantitative software developer of computer models for aerospace, defense, Wall Street investment banking, foreign banks and major U.S. consumer goods manufacturers.

– Even if the odds are 1 in a trillion, it’s still possible that the deaths could have occurred by chance and there is no connection to the assassination.
This was a serious response from an individual who was obviously math-phobic. I got a big laugh out of that one.

 
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Posted by on December 28, 2013 in JFK, Rebuttals

 

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JFK-related Unnatural and Suspicious Deaths in the JFK Calc spreadsheet and Simkin’s JFK Index

JFK-related Unnatural and Suspicious Deaths in the JFK Calc spreadsheet and Simkin’s JFK Index

Richard Charnin
Dec. 25, 2013
Updated: June 10, 2015

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
Tables and Graphs

Warren Commission defenders claim that there is no definable set of relevant JFK-related individuals whose deaths were unnatural and/or suspicious. This assertion has been proven false in previous posts by the fact that a statistically impossible number (67) of witnesses out of approximately 1100 called to testify in four investigations died suspiciously in the 15 years from 1964-78. They are relevant by definition because they were sought to testify. This obvious fact still eludes the corporate media and Warren apologists.

But there is even more proof of witness relevance. Approximately 656 JFK-related important figures, witnesses and possible conspirators are listed in John Simkin’s JFK index in the Spartacus Educational website: http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKindex.htm

Seventy (70) of the 656 names in the Simkin JFK Index are included among 126 suspicious deaths in the JFK Calc spreadsheet. Officially 44 deaths were ruled unnatural, including 22 homicides. Only 8 unnatural deaths would be expected based on historical mortality rates.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=81

Warren Commission apologist John McAdams made the outrageous claim that Simkin inserted the individuals who died suspiciously in the JFK index because they died. That insane comment shows just how desperate disinformationists react when confronted with facts and analysis which prove the conspiracy.

The probability of 44 unnatural deaths among the 656 from 1964-78 is P= E-41 (one in one trillion trillion trillion).

The probability of 22 homicides given the 0.000084 national homicide rate is P= 6.4E-24 (one in a 150 billion trillion). If we triple the rate (over 50 witnesses were from the Dallas area), the probability is P= 4.3E-14 (one in 23 trillion).

Statistical expectation of the 44 officially ruled accidents, suicides, heart attacks and sudden cancer suspicious deaths indicate that approximately 26 were actually HOMICIDES. Therefore, there were approximately 48 homicides among the 70 suspicious deaths.

The probability of 48 homicides is less than 1 in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion!

Cause of death mortality rates (age-adjusted)

Official and actual causes of death are included in both the JFK Calc spreadsheet and the Simkin JFK Index.

JFK Index Group.Total...Suspicious death
Key figures.....190......10....5.3%
Witnesses........86......19...22.1%
Researchers.....206.......5....2.4%
Conspirators....174......36...20.7%

Total...........656......70...10.7%

Cause of Death Official Actual (est.)
Homicide (M)....22.....48
Accident (A)....11......4
Suicide (S).....11......3
Heart (H).......14......8
Other (O)........8......3
Natural (N)......4......4
Total Causes....70.....70

(R)uled...(T)rue
(I)nvestigator, (W)itness, (C)onspirator, (O)ther
* not in "Who's Who in JFK Assassination"

1 Buddy Walthers M M
2 C.D. Jackson H H
3 Carlos Prio M M
4 Charles Cabell O O
5 Charles Murret O M
6 Charles Nicoletti M M
7 Clay Shaw O O
8 Cliff Carter O M
9 Dave Yaras M M
10 David Ferrie S M
11 David Morales * H M
12 Desmond Fitzgerald H H
13 Earl Cabell N N
14 Eladio Del Valle M M
15 Frank Wisner S S
16 George DeMorenschildt S M
17 Guy Banister H M
18 J.Edgar Hoover H H
19 Jack Ruby O M
20 Jimmy Hoffa M M
21 Johnny Roselli M M
22 Lucien Sarti M M
23 Lyndon Johnson H H
24 Mac Wallace * A M
25 Manuel Artime O M
26 Mary Sherman A M
27 Paul Helliwell* O O
28 Richard Cain M M
29 Roland Masferrer M M
30 Roscoe White A M
31 Sam Giancana M M
32 Thomas E. Davis A M
33 William Harvey H M
34 William Pawley* S S
35 William Sullivan A M
36 Winston Scott * H M
37 Bill Hunter M M
38 Dorothy Kilgallen A M
39 Hale Boggs A A
40 Jim Koethe M M
41 Merriman Smith S S
42 Alan Belmont N N
43 Bill Decker N N
44 Billy Lovelady H M
45 Earlene Roberts H H
46 Eddie Benavides M M
47 Florence Smith O M
48 Gary Underhill S M
49 James Truitt S M
50 Karyn Kupcinet M M
51 Ken O'Donnell N N
52 Lee Bowers A M
53 Lisa Howard * S M
54 Nancy Tyler A A
55 Roger Craig S M
56 Rose Cheramie M M
57 Roy Kellerman H H
58 Tom Howard H M
59 Warren Reynolds M M
60 William Pitzer S M
61 Dorothy Hunt A A
62 Grant Stockdale * S M
63 J.D. Tippit M M
64 John Paisley * M M
65 Lee Harvey Oswald M M
66 Mary Jo Kopechne A A
67 Mary Pinchot Meyer M M
68 Robert F. Kennedy M M
69 Sheffield Edwards H H
70 Thom Karamessines H H

 

 
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Posted by on December 25, 2013 in JFK

 

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JFK Witness Deaths: 7 FBI officials due to testify at HSCA

JFK Witness Deaths: 7 FBI officials due to testify at HSCA

Richard Charnin
Oct.1, 2013
Update: Oct.18, 2013

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

In 1977, seven top FBI officials due to testify at HSCA died in a 6 month period, five from heart attacks, one from an accidental gunshot and one from an accidental fall. This subset of 7 convenient deaths from over 100 is powerful proof of a conspiracy beyond any doubt, since it is focused on a specific group within a very short time interval. The HSCA did not mention any of these deaths in its claim that the London Sunday Times actuary’s 100,000 trillion to one odds of 18 material witness deaths in three years was invalid.

The HSCA statistician testified that the actuary’s odds were invalid because the witness universe was unknown. But there were approximately 1100 witnesses called to testify in four investigations from 1964-78: Warren Commission (552), Garrison/Shaw (80), Church Senate Intelligence (150) and HSCA (360). Of the witnesses called, at least 63 died, 39 unnaturally, of which 28 were homicides.

The HSCA noted just 21 witness deaths. http://www.cassiopaea.org/cass/jfkdeaths.htm

SEVEN TOP FBI OFFICIALS DUE TO TESTIFY AT HSCA
7706 LOUIS NICHOLS Former #3, responsible for JFK investigation; heart attack
7706 REGIS KENNEDY Oswald handler, confiscated home movies of assassination; heart attack
7708 JAMES CADIGAN Document expert; died from a fall in his home
7708 ALAN BELMONT Liaison to Warren Commission; natural causes
7710 J.M. ENGLISH Head of Forensic Sciences Laboratory; heart attack
7710 DONALD KAYLOR Fingerprint chemist; tied to bogus Oswald “print” on rifle; heart attack
7711 WILLIAM SULLIVAN Headed Division 5 (Counter-espionage/ intelligence); Gunshot accident

As shown in a prior analysis, the relevance of witnesses called to testify is obvious, but their individual connections to the assassination is a moot point. The paradigm shift in approaching the problem is the recognition that motive and rationale for the elimination of witnesses is not a factor in the analysis. The mathematical calculation does not include a motive variable; the only relevant factors are 1) HOW MANY were called, 2) HOW MANY died, 3) the CAUSE of death (i.e. mortality rates) and 4) the TIME interval.

In this analysis we do not know how many FBI officials were called, but we do know how many died (7), the cause of death (5 heart attacks, 2 accidents) and the time interval (6 months). Since the number of FBI called is unknown, we will assuming four scenarios: 8,20,30,100.

For each of the four scenarios, we calculate probabilities assuming a) 7 heart attacks, b) the official cause of deaths (5 heart attacks, 2 accidents); c) 4 homicides and 3 heart attacks; d) 7 homicides. The official cause of death may not be the actual cause; heart attacks and cancer can be induced. In order to calculate the probability of witness deaths we need the mortality rates for each cause of death.

Some WC defenders have suggested that FBI officials are more prone to heart attacks. Let’s eviscerate that canard right here by executing a sensitivity analysis to determine the overall probabilities assuming 20 FBI were sought to testify and 7 died (5 from heart attacks, 2 from accidents). We run three scenarios of FBI heart attack mortality 1) equal, 2) double and 3) triple the overall population mortality rate. The results are clear. In the worst case scenario (FBI heart attack mortality is triple the population) the probability of the 7 deaths is 1 in 100 billion.

1977 mortality rates

0.004137 Heart Attack
0.000488 Accident
0.000092 Homicide
0.003094 Official weighted rate: 5 heart attacks, 2 accidents
0.001826 Speculative weighted rate: 4 homicides, 3 heart attacks

The probability of n deaths among N witnesses over T years, given mortality rate R, is 
P = POISSON(n, T*N*R, false)

FOUR SCENARIOS
Assume N=20 FBI were called to testify at HSCA.

Scenario I: 7 heart attacks (reference illustration)
P= 3.95E-14= POISSON(7,.5*20*.004137, false)
Probability: 1 in 25 trillion
Assume an impossible 100 FBI were called to testify.
P= 3.6E-10 or 1 in 2.7 billion.

Official Cause of Death
Scenario II: 5 heart attacks, 2 accidents

P= 5.23E-15= POISSON(7,.5*20*.003094, false)
Probability: 1 in 190 trillion

Speculative Scenario III: 3 heart attacks, 4 homicides
P= 1.32E-16= POISSON(7,.5*20*.001826, false)
Probability: 1 in 7000 trillion

Speculative Scenario IV: 7 homicides
P= 1.11E-25= POISSON(7,.5*20*.000092, false)
Probability: 1 in 9 trillion trillion


All 7 heart 5 heart/ 3 heart/
FBI attacks 2 accid. 4 murders 7 murders

08. 6.63E-17 8.72E-18 2.18E-19 1.81E-28
20. 3.95E-14 5.23E-15 1.32E-16 1.11E-25
30. 6.61E-13 8.79E-14 2.23E-15 1.89E-24
100 2.61E-09 3.61E-10 9.56E-12 8.61E-21


Probability Sensitivity Analysis

THREE SCENARIOS: FBI heart attack mortality vs. national rate
Assume 20 FBI officials were called to testify at HSCA. Even if FBI heart attack mortality is triple the national rate, the probability of 7 deaths in 6 months is still infinitesimal: 1 in 100 billion.

...Rate.........Probability (assumption)
1- 0.003094 5.23E-15 1 in 190 trillion (FBI heart attack rate equal to national)
2- 0.006049 5.54E-13 1 in 1.8 trillion (FBI 2X national)
3- 0.009004 8.70E-12 1 in 100 billion (FBI 3X national)

These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

 
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Posted by on October 1, 2013 in JFK

 

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The JFK Witness Death Quiz

The JFK Witness Death Quiz

Richard Charnin
Sept.30, 2013
Updated:March 23,2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

1- The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination does not include
a) suspects, b) victims, c) law enforcement officials, d) witnesses, e) athletes, f) investigators

2- The total number of witnesses who testified or gave depositions to the Warren Commission was
a) 286, b) 418, c) 552

3- Which of the following unnatural death categories has the lowest mortality rate?
a) homicide, b) suicide, c) accident

4- The London Sunday Times engaged an actuary to calculate the odds of JFK witness deaths. The actuary calculated the odds of 18 deaths (13 unnatural) within three years of the assassination as
a) 1 in 100,000, b) 1 in 100,000 million, c) 1 in 100,000 trillion

5- Which is not a factor in calculating the probability of unnatural JFK witness deaths?
a) Number in group, b) number of deaths, c) cause of death, d) time period, e) motive

6- The HSCA statistician claimed the number of relevant JFK witnesses was unknown, therefore the probability of  deaths could not be calculated. The HSCA reported on just 21 suspicious deaths. It failed to consider the number  of witnesses who
a) testified or gave depositions at the Warren Commission,
b) were sought to testify in four JFK-related investigations,
c) were material witnesses,
d) all of the above

7- Assuming 1400 JFK-related witnesses,  expected unnatural deaths from 1964-78 was
a) 12, b) 17, c) 27

8- The JFK Calc database includes 122 suspicious deaths from 1964-78, of which 78 were ruled unnatural. Approximately how many were actually unnatural?
a) 81, b) 91, c) 99

9- Nationally, homicides were 10% of unnatural deaths in 1964-78. There were 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths among JFK material witnesses. How many were ruled homicides?
a) 34, b) 47, c) 57

10- The Poisson distribution calculates witness death probabilities in a given time period and requires
a) the actual number of unnatural deaths, b) the expected number of unnatural deaths, c) both

11- The expected number of unnatural deaths among N individuals in T years given mortality rate R is
a) N*T*R, b) N*R/T, c) N*T/R

12- How many top FBI officials died within a 6 month period in 1977 prior to their scheduled testimony at the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA)?
a) 2, b) 3, c) 7

13- The 1964-78 average annual unnatural mortality rate was .000825. Given 552 Warren Commission witnesses, approximately 7 unnatural deaths were expected. There were
a) 7, b) 10, c) 20

14- In 1964-78, approximately 1100 witnesses were called or sought in four JFK-related investigations (Warren, Garrison, Church_Committee, HSCA). Fourteen unnatural deaths would normally have been expected. How many were there?
a) 12, b) 24, c) 46

15- The probability of 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths among 1400 JFK witnesses from 1964-1978 is so low that it must be expressed in scientific notation: P= E-63. To put this number in context, there are an estimated E24 (one trillion trillion) stars in the universe. P= E-63 is equivalent to 1 in
a) 10 million trillion, b) 100 trillion trillion, c) 1 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion

16- The Paradigm Shift in the analysis of witness deaths refers to
a) quantitative factors only, b) motivation for elimination, c) connection to the assassination

17- The mathematical technique to determine a set of outcomes (probabilities) over a range of input variables (witnesses, unnatural deaths) is called
a) sensitivity analysis,
b) matrix analysis,
c) simulation analysis

18- As the ratio of actual to expected unnatural deaths in a group increases, the probabilities
a) increase, b) decrease

19- To calculate the probability that 7 FBI officials called to testify at HSCA would die in a six month period prior to their scheduled testimony, we need to know the
a) cause of death, b) number of FBI called to testify, c) a and b, d) connection to the assassination

20- The probability analysis of unnatural deaths for various JFK witness groupings is
a) not proof of a conspiracy, b) mathematical proof of a conspiracy, c) just a theoretical exercise

21- Of the 122 JFK-related deaths, how many occurred in the Dallas area?
a) 9, b) 29, c) 51

22- Warren Commission apologists claim witness deaths occurred in high crime locations, invalidating the E-31 probability of 34  ruled homicides. If the JFK witness homicide rate was triple the national rate, the probability is
a) E-6 (1 in 1 million), b) E-9 (1 in 1 billion), c) E-17 (1 in 1000 trillion)

23- According to Vince Bugliosi, the witness death probability calculation should be based on the 2479 names listed in the index to the Warren Commission Report (which includes George Washington and Abe Lincoln, among other non-witnesses). Assuming 2479 witnesses, the probability of 34 officially ruled homicides is
a) 1 in 9 million, b) 1 in 77 billion, c) 1 in 90 billion trillion

24- Naysayers cite the FBI claim of conducting 25,000 interviews, without considering the number of re-interviews or how many were material. There were approximately 1400 JFK-related material witnesses. Even assuming the grossly inflated 25,000 figure, the probability of 84 homicides from 1964-78 is
a) 1 in 15,000, b) 1 in 250 million, c) 1 in 100 trillion

25- At least 70 of approximately 122 JFK Calc witnesses who died from unnatural and natural causes in 1964-78 testified or were sought in four investigations.  The probability of 46 unnatural deaths is
a) 1 in 1 billion, 2) 1 in 1 trillion, c) 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion

26- There are 656 JFK-related individuals in the Simkin JFK Index. In the index, there were 70 suspicious deaths, including 44 unnatural (22 homicides, 11 accidents, 11 suicides). The probability of 22 homicides among the 656 from 1964-1978 is
a) 1 in a billion, b) 1 in a trillion, c) 1 in a trillion trillion

Answers
1f 2c 3a 4c 5e 6d 7b 8c 9a 10c 11a 12c 13c 14c 15c
16a 17a 18b 19c 20b 21c 22c 23c 24c 25c 26c

 
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Posted by on September 20, 2013 in JFK

 

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JFK Witness Unnatural Deaths: A Statistical Summary

JFK Witness Unnatural Deaths: A Statistical Summary

Richard Charnin
Sept. 30, 2013
Updated: April 26,2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

This is a summary overview of JFK-related witness death statistics and probabilities. The focus is on unnatural deaths (homicides, accidents, suicides, unknown), but many suspicious (natural) deaths may have been homicides. Witness categories include FBI, CIA, Dallas police, anti-Castro Cubans, Mafia, Ruby and Oswald associates, reporters and eyewitnesses.

The JFK Calc spreadsheet is updated frequently. There were 122 suspicious deaths among approximately 1400+ JFK-related witnesses from 1964-1978. At least 78 deaths (including 34 homicides) were officially ruled unnatural. But approximately 25 accidents and suicides were likely homicides. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1

These graphs and tables are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

Warren Commission apologists have claimed that the witnesses were self-selected. That is not true. All were material and related to the assassination. At least 67 were sought to testify in one or more investigations; the others were highly relevant (see the selected list below).

Given that there were approximately 1400 individuals related to the assassination, why would at least 78 die unnaturally when just 18 would be expected? The probability of 78 unnatural deaths is 2.76E-62 or less than 1 in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion!!!

Therefore the probability threshold of beyond a reasonable doubt is met by just 6 official homicides!

Witness Deaths
Cause: Expected Official (mortality rate)

Heart attack.. 8.7 25 (0.004913)
Cancer........ 3.5 5 (0.001991)
Other......... 4.6 14 (0.002480)
Accident...... 1.0 24 (0.000594)
Suicide....... 0.23 16 (0.000130)
Homicide...... 0.15 34 (0.000084)
Unknown........0.03 4 (0.000014)

TOTAL..........18 122 (0.010207)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=39
Who’s Who in the JFK assassination by Michael Benson, is a comprehensive encyclopedia of 1400+ JFK related witnesses. JFK Calc includes 97 of the 126 suspicious deaths listed in JFK Calc.

Crossfire by Jim Marrs is a comprehensive study of the assassination that lists 103 “convenient deaths”.

Hit List by Richard Belzer and David Wayne, is a detailed study of 50 mysterious witness deaths (42 homicides, 1 suicide, 7 heart attacks). All are included in the JFK Calc database.

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

Four investigations
In 1964-78, approximately 1100 witnesses were sought to testify in four JFK-related investigations, 552 testified at the Warren Commission and the rest were sought at the Garrison-Shaw trial, Church Committee and HSCA. Sixty-seven (67) are included in JFK Calc. At least 39 of the 63 were unnatural deaths (including 28 homicides). The others were suspiciously timed heart attacks and illnesses.

Paradigm Shift
The 67 witnesses in JFK Calc who were called to testify in the four investigations were obviously relevant. But their relationship to the assassination is a moot point; motive and connections are not parameters in the probability calculations. These are: a) number of witnesses (N), b) the number who died unnaturally (n), c) the cause of death, d) relevant time period (T), e) the average unnatural mortality rate (R). That is all the information that we need to calculate the probability of n unnatural deaths among a group of N people over a period of T years. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=25

Distribution of unnatural deaths in JFK Calc vs. National Average
JFK-related homicides comprised 34 of 78 (44%) unnatural deaths, far exceeding the 10% National share. This anomaly lowered the unnatural mortality rate from the National average (0.000822) to the JFK-weighted average (0.000247). In any case, 78 JFK-related unnatural deaths among 1400 material witnesses from 1964-1978 is statistically impossible and proves a conspiracy.

FBI officials scheduled to testify at HSCA
Seven (7) died within a 6 month period in 1977: 2 unnaturally (gunshot, fall) and 5 from “heart attacks”. If 8 FBI were called to testify, the probability of 7 deaths in 6 MONTHS is almost equal to the London Sunday Times actuary’s probability (wrongly declared “invalid” by the HSCA statistician) of 18 material witness deaths in 3 years. Using the spreadsheet probability function:

P = Poisson(7,0.01,false)
P= 1 in 114,000 TRILLION (8.7E-18)

If an impossible 100 FBI were called, the probability is 1 in 2.7 BILLION (3.6E-10). Assuming all 7 deaths were HOMICIDES, applying the 1977 HOMICIDE RATE (0.000092), the probability is 1 in 100 MILLION TRILLION (8.6E-21)!

This is a table of probabilities for 1) 7 heart attacks, 2) 5 heart attacks; 2 accidents, 3) 7 homicides for a range of FBI called to testify.

FBI 7 heart, 5/2 mix, 7 homicides
8.. 6.63E-17; 8.72E-18; 1.81E-28
20. 3.95E-14; 5.23E-15; 1.11E-25
30. 6.61E-13; 8.79E-14; 1.89E-24
100 2.61E-09; 3.61E-10; 8.61E-21

JFK-weighted average unnatural rate
The JFK-weighted rate R is the product sum:
R= 0.000247 =(0.000084*34 + 0.000594*24 + 0.00013*`16 + 0.000014*4)/78

Probability calculations
– National unnatural mortality rate- conservative, does not reflect actual JFK witness data
– JFK-weighted mortality rate – accounts for distribution of JFK witnesses cause of death
– Homicide rate – probability of homicides
Note: the applicable probability is the lower of the JFK-weighted and Homicide rates. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=0

Poisson distribution
Calculates the probability of unlikely events. It requires the actual and expected number. We have the actual number (n) of unnatural deaths. The expected number is N*T*R, where N is number in group, T is time period in years, R is annual unnatural mortality rate.

CONFIRMATION OF LONDON TIMES ACTUARY
The actuary calculated the probability of 18 witness deaths within three years of the assassination as 1 in 100,000 trillion. Thirteen (13) of the 18 deaths were unnatural: 8 homicides, 3 accidents, 2 suicides. The calculation is confirmed assuming 454 witnesses: https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/
Given:
N witnesses: 454
n unnatural deaths: 13
T years: 3
R mortality rate: 0.000209
a = R*N*T=expected deaths = 0.28
The probability of n unnatural deaths: P(n) = a^n * exp (-a) / n! = 9.83E-18

Using the Poisson spreadsheet function:
P = POISSON(13, 0.28, false) = 9.83E-18
P = 1 in 101,774,317,639,149,952

To appreciate the magnitude of the probabilities, consider that there are an estimated 10^23 stars in the universe and 10^20 grains of sand on the earth.

Sensitivity Analysis
Calculates probabilities over a range of n deaths and N group size: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=40

Selected JFK-related convenient deaths of witnesses not called to testify
Robert F. Kennedy-Message to Moscow emissary: “We know it was a high-level domestic political conspiracy”.
Lee Oswald-FBI informant, CIA connected, shot by Jack Ruby; “just a patsy”; no interrogation notes.
J.D. Tippit-Dallas cop. WC said he was shot at 1:16 pm. Roger Craig said he heard news at 1:06.
Mac Wallace-Texas assassin, close to LBJ; suspected shooter; fingerprint found in TSBD.
Dorothy Kilgallen-Columnist, interviewed Ruby; to “break the case wide open”; notes/manuscript disappeared.

Dorothy Hunt-Wife of E. Howard Hunt (CIA/ Watergate) who believed she was murdered in plane crash.
John D. Sullivan-Former FBI, worked under Banister and for Senator Eastland’s committee.
C.D. Jackson-Life Mag Sr VP; bought Zapruder film; Oswald rifle photo; Bilderberg /intel connections.
Tom Howard-Ruby’s lawyer. Tried to sell photo of JFK murder to LIFE.
James Chaney-Dallas motorcycle officer; “struck in the face” with bullet

Ralph Yates-Gave ride to Oswald on Nov.20 (claimed he had curtain rods).
Winston Scott-CIA officer; to discuss book on 4/30/71 with CIA Dir Helms; died April 4; manuscript stolen
Manuel Rodriguez-Pres. of Alpha 66; Military coordinator; anti-Castro group; worked with Guy Banister
Jim Koethe-Reporter in Ruby’s apartment on 11/24/63.
Florence Smith-Friend of Kilgallen, JFK, died ONE day after Kilgallen; copies of DK’s notes disappeared.

Marilyn Walle-Ruby dancer. Working on a book on the assassination.
Bill Hunter-Reporter in Ruby’s apartment on 11/24/63.
Roscoe White-Dallas policeman. In diary claimed he shot JFK with 7.65 Mauser and killed Tippit.
Nancy Tyler-Worked for Bobby Baker. Told him that JFK would replace LBJ.
John Crawford-Close friend of Ruby and Wesley Frazier, who drove Oswald to work on 11/22/63.

William Pitzer-Autopsy radiologist/photographer; planned to expose autopsy.
Mary  Meyer-JFK “special” friend. Called WC a “whitewash”; would reveal all in book; diary taken by CIA.
Jack Zangretti-Mobster predicted: 3 JFK shooters, Ruby to kill Oswald, Sinatra child kidnapped 12/63.
Gary Underhill-CIA agent, claimed Agency was involved; predicted he would be killed.
Hank Killam-Husband of Ruby employee, claimed knowledge of assassination. FBI/CIA documents withheld.

Mary Sherman-Ferrie associate on covert cancer research; killed same day WC came to New Orleans.
Paul Dyer-New Orleans Police Lt.; first to question Ferrie about Oswald. Sudden cancer death in 28 days.
Charles Cabell-CIA deputy director connected to anti-Castro Cubans, brother of Dallas mayor.
Lisa Howard-Journalist/TV news (ABC). Worked on JFK/Castro negotiations; hosted party for Che Guevara
Grant Stockdale-Close friend of JFK, told attorney “people are trying to get me” day before “suicide”.

 
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Posted by on September 18, 2013 in JFK

 

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