Tag Archives: poisson function

Seth Rich/DNC Mortality Probability

Richard Charnin
Updated: 5/26/19


There were at least n=19 suspicious DNC/Wikileaks deaths in 28 months from April 2016 to Aug 2018. 

Assuming a total of N=20,000  DNC/Wikileaks related individuals, the probability of at least 19 homicides is 1 in 113 billion. Only 2 would be expected.

Assuming N=10,000, the probability of at least n=19 homicides is 1 in 20,000 trillion. Only 1 homicide would normally be expected.

The  Poisson distribution function calculates the probability of rare events. The probability P of at least n homicides  among a group of N individuals in T= 28 months (28/12 years), homicide rate  R=0.00005:

 P  = 1- poisson (n-1, E, true) where E=N*R*T

You can run the spreadsheet calculator for any combination of N, n, R and T.

2016 (10)
4/18: John Jones, lawyer who defended Assange, run over by train.
May : Michael Ratner (Wikileaks NY lawyer), cancer.
6/22: John Ashe, former UN official due to testify against HRC (barbell accident).
6/23: Mike Flynn,48, died day he reported on Clinton Foundation (unknown).
7/10: Seth Rich, DNC e-mail leaker to Wikileaks,shot twice in back, died in hospital.
7/25: Joe Montano,47, DNC, heart attack day before the DNC convention.
8/01: Victor Thorn, gunshot wound, author of books on Clintons.
8/02: Shawn Lucas, DNC process server, lethal combination of drugs.
Oct : Gavin McFayden (Wikileaks founder), cancer.
Nov : Monica Petersen, investigator of Clinton Foundation, child trafficking, found dead in Haiti.

2017 (7)
May: Peter Smith, GOP operative, found dead from asphyxiation in a Minnesota hotel room just days after talking to the Wall Street Journal about his efforts to obtain Hillary’s Clinton’s missing emails.
May: Beranton Whisenant, prosecutor investigating DNC, found dead on Hollywood, FL beach.
July: Klaus Eberwein, former Haiti Government official found dead in a motel room with a gunshot wound to the head. Was to testify on Clinton Foundation connection to Haitian earthquake charity.
July: Joseph Rago, 34, WSJ reporter, asked Russians for info on Clinton,  Obama critic, found dead.
Aug: Kurt Smolek, ties to PizzaGate and child trafficking ring in Cambodia, found dead in Potomac River.
Nov: Steve Mostyn, 46, Texas-based trial lawyer,  member of George Soros-founded Democracy Alliance, major Democratic benefactor, died suddenly. Called suicide.
Dec: Dr. Dean Lorich, surgeon, exposed Clinton Foundation corruption in Haiti, stabbed in chest. Called suicide.

2018 (2)
Jan: James Dolan, 36, Wikileaks developer. Suicide.
Aug: Jen Moore, journalist of Clinton sex crimes, found dead in a DC hotel.

How many DNC voter data admins were there? How many DNC process servers? How many HRC biographers? How many Assange lawyers? How many Wikileaks founders? How many UN officials preparing to testify? How many DNC officials? How many investigative reporters on the Clintons? Are any of these deaths being investigated? Any suspects?

Probability Matrix of n homicides in a group of N over 28 months (2.33 years)

n N=20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000
6 3.18% 14.24% 32.58% 52.72% 69.93% 82.36%
9 0.07% 0.99% 4.85% 13.60% 27.09% 43.07%
12 0.00% 0.03% 0.32% 1.66% 5.33% 12.43%
15 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.11% 0.57% 2.03%
19 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.08%
1 in Probability 
19 113 billion 153 million 1,936,786 83,084 7,701 1,212


In 1964-78, there were an estimated 1500 JFK-related material witnesses, of whom 122 died suspiciously. Seventy-eight(78) of the 122 were officially ruled unnatural. Of the 78, 34 were homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 4 unknown. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths:P= 2.7E-31 (1 in a million trillion trillion).

Just 12 accidents and 3 suicides were expected statistically, therefore approximately 60 of the 78 unnatural deaths were likely homicides.

Of the remaining 44 “natural” deaths (heart attacks, sudden cancers, other), approximately 25-30 were homicides based on the total number of expected deaths. Therefore, there were 85-90 homicides among the 122 suspicious deaths. For 10,000 witnesses, Probability P= 5.5E-47


Simkin JFK Index of 656 key individuals: 70 suspicious deaths
44 ruled unnatural (22 homicides, 11 accidents 11 suicides): P= 4.4E-41
Assuming 44 were homicides: P= 3.8E-66


Posted by on May 20, 2017 in 2016 election, JFK, Uncategorized


Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis