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Seth Rich/DNC Mortality Probability

Richard Charnin
Updated: 5/26/19

LINKS TO  BLOG POSTS

There were at least n=19 suspicious DNC/Wikileaks deaths in 28 months from April 2016 to Aug 2018. 

The  Poisson distribution function calculates the probability of rare events. The probability P of at least n homicides  among a group of N individuals in T= 28 months (2.33 years), homicide rate  R=0.00005:
 P  = 1- poisson (n-1, E, true) where E=N*R*T

Assuming a total of N=20,000  DNC/Wikileaks related individuals, the probability of at least 19 homicides is 1 in 113 billion. Only 2 would be expected.
P=1-poisson (18, 20,000*2.33*.00005,true)

Assuming N=10,000, the probability of at least n=19 homicides is 1 in 20,000 trillion. Only 1 homicide would normally be expected.

You can run the spreadsheet calculator for any combination of N, n, R and T. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1htajNqLQrV9M4jmwWUN7MweelfN2ZCwr8KB-YeO7r10/edit#gid=0

2016 (10)
4/18: John Jones, lawyer who defended Assange, run over by train.
5/11 : Michael Ratner (Wikileaks NY lawyer), cancer.
6/22: John Ashe, former UN official.  Initially reported as a heart attack, his throat had obviously been crushed. The official story changed to him accidentally dropping a barbell on his own throat. Ashe was about to begin trial for a bribery charge involving Chinese businessman Ng Lap Seng, who had been implicated in the 1996 “China-gate” scandal  Ashe was supposed to testify about Hillary’s links to Ng Lap Seng.
6/23: Mike Flynn,48, died day he reported on Clinton Foundation (unknown).
7/10: Seth Rich, DNC e-mail leaker to Wikileaks, shot twice in back, died in hospital.
7/25: Joe Montano,47, Chairman of DNC, heart attack day before the DNC convention,  right after WikiLeaks email dump proving the DNC sabotaged Bernie Sanders and handed the nomination to Hillary Clinton. No history of heart problems.
8/01: Victor Thorn, gunshot wound, author of books on Clintons.
8/02: Shawn Lucas, DNC process server, lethal combination of drugs.
Oct : Gavin McFayden (Wikileaks founder), cancer.
Nov : Monica Petersen, investigator of Clinton Foundation, child trafficking, found dead in Haiti.

2017 (9)
May: Peter Smith, GOP operative, found dead from asphyxiation in a Minnesota hotel room just days after talking to the Wall Street Journal about his efforts to obtain Hillary’s Clinton’s missing emails.
May: Beranton Whisenant, prosecutor investigating DNC, found dead on Hollywood, FL beach.
July: Klaus Eberwein, former Haiti Government official found dead in a motel room with a gunshot wound to the head. Was to testify on Clinton Foundation connection to Haitian earthquake charity.
July: Joseph Rago, 34, WSJ reporter, asked Russians for info on Clinton,  Obama critic, found dead.
Aug: Kurt Smolek, ties to PizzaGate and child trafficking ring in Cambodia, found dead in Potomac River.
Nov: Steve Mostyn, 46, Texas-based trial lawyer,  member of George Soros-founded Democracy Alliance, major Democratic benefactor, died suddenly. Called suicide.
Dec: Dr. Dean Lorich, surgeon, exposed Clinton Foundation corruption in Haiti, stabbed in chest. Called suicide.
Dec: Barry and Honey Sherman, Originally declared a murder-suicide, investigators concluded it was a murder staged to look like a murder-suicide involving multiple perpetrators. Barry Sherman founded Apotex pharmaceutical company which supplied generic drugs to the Clinton foundation in Haiti and Rwanda. The Clinton Foundation was scandalized when it was discovered that AIDS drugs sent to the third world were watered-down.

2018 (2)
Jan: James Dolan, 36, Wikileaks developer. Suicide.
Aug: Jen Moore, journalist of Clinton sex crimes, found dead in a DC hotel.

2019
July Salvatore Cincinelli, Supervisory special agent who spearheaded many of the FBI’s high-profile and complex Wall Street investigations, including probing the finances of the Clinton Foundation. reportedly shot and killed himself on a crowded nite-club dance floor, according to top FBI insiders.

How many DNC voter data admins were there? How many DNC process servers? How many HRC biographers? How many Assange lawyers? How many Wikileaks founders? How many UN officials preparing to testify? How many DNC officials? How many investigative reporters on the Clintons? Are any of these deaths being investigated? Any suspects?

Probability Matrix of n homicides in a group of N over 28 months (2.33 years)

n N=20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000
6 3.18% 14.24% 32.58% 52.72% 69.93% 82.36%
9 0.07% 0.99% 4.85% 13.60% 27.09% 43.07%
12 0.00% 0.03% 0.32% 1.66% 5.33% 12.43%
15 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.11% 0.57% 2.03%
19 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.08%
1 in Probability 
19 113 billion 153 million 1.9 million 83,000 7.700 1,200

New developments in the Seth Rich case

The amended complaint contains specific details of Butowsky’s interactions with Ratner. The complaint states the following: (RCH is abbreviated to mean “Russian Collusion Hoax”)

Mr. Butowsky stumbled into the RCH crosshairs after Ellen Ratner, a news analyst for Fox News and the White House correspondent for Talk Media News, contacted him in the Fall of 2016 about a meeting she had with Mr. Assange. Ms. Ratner’s brother, the late Michael Ratner, was an attorney who had represented Mr. Assange. According to Ms. Ratner, she made a stop in London during a return flight from Berlin, and she met with Mr. Assange for approximately six hours in the Ecuadorean embassy. Ms. Ratner said Mr. Assange told her that Seth Rich and his brother, Aaron, were responsible for releasing the DNC emails to Wikileaks. Ms. Ratner said Mr. Assange wanted the information relayed to Seth’s parents, as it might explain the motive for Seth’s murder. Upon her return to the United States, Ms. Ratner asked Mr. Butowsky to contact the Rich family and relay the information from Mr. Assange, apparently because Ms. Ratner did not want her involvement to be made public. In the two months that followed, Mr. Butowsky did not attempt to contact the Rich family, but he grew increasingly frustrated as the DNC and #Resistance “journalists” blamed the Russian government for the email leak. 

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/03/insider-ed-butowsky-seth-richs-father-told-knew-sons/

Subpoenas issued for FBI, Crowdstrike and DNC : http://lawflog.com/?p=2177&fbclid=IwAR3AL2hiqAmRTo9B6oSCpeaBvCcuvI4NGTUcRrHGG5kwDOpCDqDx3jVKOsI

NSA FOIA Response reveals Seth Rich & Assange/Wikileaks communications are Classified

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JFK WITNESS DEATHS

In 1964-78, there were an estimated 1500 JFK-related material witnesses, of whom 122 died suspiciously. Seventy-eight(78) of the 122 were officially ruled unnatural. Of the 78, 34 were homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 4 unknown. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths:P= 2.7E-31 (1 in a million trillion trillion).

Just 12 accidents and 3 suicides were expected statistically, therefore approximately 60 of the 78 unnatural deaths were likely homicides.

Of the remaining 44 “natural” deaths (heart attacks, sudden cancers, other), approximately 25-30 were homicides based on the total number of expected deaths. Therefore, there were 85-90 homicides among the 122 suspicious deaths. For 10,000 witnesses, Probability P= 5.5E-47

<https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=3

Simkin JFK Index of 656 key individuals: 70 suspicious deaths
44 ruled unnatural (22 homicides, 11 accidents 11 suicides): P= 4.4E-41
Assuming 44 were homicides: P= 3.8E-66

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=81

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Posted by on May 20, 2017 in 2016 election, JFK, Uncategorized

 

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