Richard Charnin

Oct. 30, 2017

** Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy.
**

**JFK Blog Posts**

JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

Tables and Graphs

JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

Tables and Graphs

The 1977 House Select Committee on Assassination (HSCA) claimed that the London Sunday Times actuary’s probability calculation of 18 material witnesses deaths (13 unnatural) in the three years following the assassination (1 in 100,000 trillion) was invalid. The HSCA claimed that it was impossible to calculate the probability because the witness universe was unknown. This canard was essential to the coverup. No one did the math until I confirmed the actuary’s calculation in 2003

But there were many definable witness groups. Let’s take a look at the 600 estimated Dealey Plaza witnesses of whom 28 died suspiciously (14 were ruled unnatural: 5 homicides, 7 accidents, 2 suicides).

Assuming 600 Dealey Plaza witnesses, the probability of at least 14 ruled unnatural deaths during the period 1963-1978 is **P = 1- poisson (13, 1.727, true) = 1 in 207 million.**

But the nine accidents and suicides were likely homicides.

The probability of at least 14 homicides for 400, 600 and 1000 witnesses:

400: P= 1 in 750 trillion

600: **P =1- poisson (13, 0.864, true) = 1 in 3.7 trillion**

1000: P = 1 in 4.8 billion

Sixteen Dealey Plaza witnesses testified at the Warren Commission, 3 were sought to testify at the Garrison trial, 3 at the Church Senate hearings and 3 at the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA).

JFK witness unnatural deaths probabilities have been posted for the following groups: Warren Commission, London Times actuary, Garrison/ Shaw trial, Church Senate Hearings, HSCA, Simkin Educational Forum, JFK-related 1400+ witness “Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination”.

1 6311 Lee Harvey Oswald

2 6311 J.D. Tippit

3 6512 William Whaley

4 6606 Frank Martin

5 6608 Lee Bowers

6 6611 James Worrell

7 6701 Jack Ruby

8 6901 Charles Mentesana

9 6901 Buddy Walthers

10 7001 Merriman Smith

11 7008 Bill Decker

12 7101 Mac Wallace

13 7109 Roscoe White

14 7109 Cliff Carter

15 7309 Thomas E. Davis

16 7402 J.A. Milteer

17 7501 Allen Sweatt

18 7502 Ira (Jack) Beers

19 7505 Roger Craig

20 7509 Earl Cabell

21 7604 James Chaney

22 7608 Johnny Roselli

23 7703 Charles Nicoletti

24 7707 Ken O’Donnell

25 7801 Clint “Lummie” Lewis

26 7805 David Morales

27 7901 Billy Lovelady

28 8403 Roy Kellerman

Dealey Plaza witnesses: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=79

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=1

https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

Quick JFK Witness death Calculator:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=78