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JFK: Analysis of Suspicious Witness Deaths in Simkin’s JFK Index

JFK: Analysis of Suspicious Witness Deaths in Simkin’s JFK Index

Richard Charnin
Updated: Aug.9 2015

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.
JFK Blog Posts
https://twitter.com/richardcharnin
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

This is a summary update of a previous post on John Simkin’s Index of 656 JFK-related individuals.
https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/12/25/jfk-related-unnatural-and-suspicious-deaths-in-the-jfk-calc-spreadsheet-and-simkins-jfk-index/

Simkin’s JFK Index: http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKindex.htm
The Index contains 656 key individuals in 4 categories, of whom 70 died suspiciously. These include: 10 of 190 Important Figures; 19 of 86 Important Witnesses; 5 of 206 Investigators, Researchers and Journalists; 36 of 174 Possible Conspirators.

The list is in JFK Calc for reference and probability calculations.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=81

Of the 70 suspicious deaths in Simkin’s index, 44 were OFFICIALLY RULED UNNATURAL, including 22 homicides,11 accidents and 11 suicides. Only 8 unnatural deaths and ONE homicide would be expected in a random group of 656 from 1964-78 based on historical mortality rates.

The probability of 44 unnatural deaths among the 656 is less than
P= 1 in 100,000 trillion trillion trillion (4.4E-41).
The probability of 22 homicides is P= 1 in 100 billion trillion (6.4E-24).

If we triple the 0.000084 national homicide rate, P= 1 in 23 trillion (4.3E-14).

Consider the 44 accidents, suicides, heart attacks, sudden cancers and other causes. Statistical expectation based on average mortality rates indicates that approximately 26 of the 44 were actually homicides. Therefore there were approximately 48 homicides among the 70 suspicious deaths.

The probability of 48 homicides from 1964-78 among the 656 figures in the JFK Index is less than P = 1 in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion (3.8E-66).

Seventy (70) individuals in the JFK Index are also included among 122 suspicious deaths in the JFK Calc spreadsheet. Of the 122 suspicious deaths in JFK Calc, approximately 67 were called to testify in four investigations. The fact that both lists contain so many names is proof that they are relevant. Naysayers can no longer make the ridiculous argument that they are not JFK-related.

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Posted by on June 12, 2015 in Uncategorized

 

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JFK: Cover-up by the numbers

JFK: Cover-up by the Numbers

Richard Charnin
Aug.29, 2014
Updated: Sept.7, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
Tables and Graphs

Key Statistics in the JFK Cover-up

London Times actuary
ZERO (E-17) probability (1 in 100,000 trillion) of 18 witness deaths by Feb. 1967
13 unnatural deaths (8 homicides,3 accidents,2 suicides)
454 approximate number of witnesses used for calculation
552 Warren Commission witnesses (1964-78)

Ballistics
1 shooter according to the Warren Commission
3 shots according to the Warren Commission
4 DPD officials identified a 7.65 Mauser on the 6th floor of the TSBD
6 shots fired based on HSCA acoustic analysis of dictabelt recording

Magic Bullet
2 FBI agents attending autopsy said there was no bullet exit from the back wound
5 Ford raised the back wound 5 inches to accommodate the Single Bullet Theory
7 wounds supposedly caused by the Magic Bullet

Official ruled vs. Expected Unnatural Deaths
1400 estimated witnesses (1964-78):
34 homicides; 2 expected
16 suicides; 3 expected > 13 homicides
24 accidental; 10 expected > 14 homicides
25 heart attacks; 10 expected > 15 homicides
14 other illness; 6 expected > 8 homicides
ZERO probability of 84 estimated homicides = 34+ 13+ 14+ 15+ 8

Oswald in the Doorway at 12:30
5 TSBD employees testified they were standing in the doorway
6 figures in Altgens6 standing in the doorway

Tippit shooting
10 witnesses saw or heard shots at 1:06PM. The WC said 1:16.
24 MPH required for Oswald to walk 0.8 miles to the scene in two minutes.

Wounds
22 Parkland Hospital witnesses said there was an entrance wound in the throat
22 Parkland witnesses said there was an exit wound in the right rear of the head
22 Autopsy witnesses said there was an exit wound in the right rear of the head
ZERO probability they were all mistaken.

Suspicious deaths (JFK Calc spreadsheet)
7 FBI officials due to testify at HSCA in 6 months (1977)
13 JFK-related witnesses predicted they would be murdered
20 Jack Ruby contacts
20 of 500 Dealey Plaza witnesses
21 reported by HSCA statistician (there were at least 80 more)
30 Warren Commission witnesses (1964-78)
51 of 122 deaths occurred in the Dallas area (ZERO probability)
67 of 122 witnesses were sought in 4 investigations

Simkin JFK Index (Spartacus Educational)
656 JFK-related individuals
70 official unnatural and suspicious deaths (ZERO probability)
22 homicides. Probability 5.9E-24 (1 in a trillion trillion)
44 unnatural deaths. Probability 4.4E-41 (1 in a trillion trillion trillion)

Source of Shots Surveys: Witnesses who said Grassy Knoll
35 McAdams (36%)
51 Feldman (61%)
52 Galanor (52%)
93 Charnin (77%)
100% Probability of Grassy Knoll shooter

JFK Limo; Zapruder film
59 Limo witnesses
33 said the Limo came to a FULL STOP
44 heard a double-bang of nearly simultaneous shots
100% Probability of FULL LIMO STOP
100% Probability of Zapruder film alteration (does not show full stop)

Suspicious Deaths of JFK-related individuals (1964-78)
1400+ JFK-related individuals in Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination
122 suspicious deaths listed in JFK Calc
34 officially ruled homicides (ZERO probability)
78 officially ruled unnatural deaths (ZERO probability)
84 estimated homicides based on statistical expectation of other causes
99 estimated unnatural deaths based on expectation of natural causes
ZERO (E-31 or 1 in 6 million trillion trillion) probability of 34 ruled homicides

Witness Deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (HSCA)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQXQcTynVDoGOHUicwP2OO0imS8UX_pIIHbH6b3ZVa-e9UKVTa7uXeEtvSQM6pLPNRbgEU7pytQB_pw/pubchart?oid=18&format=image

 
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Posted by on August 29, 2014 in JFK

 

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