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JFK: “Parkland”, the Charles Crenshaw Interview, and “Executive Action”

JFK: “Parkland”, the Charles Crenshaw Interview and “Executive Action”

Richard Charnin
Sept. 7, 2013
Updated: Oct.5, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

The new film Parkland is just another perpetuation of the 50-year JFK coverup. It fails to cover the most critical fact of all: the Parkland doctors said in press conferences that the shots came from the front. Tom Hanks will forever regret his involvement in promoting a film full of factual omissions – as will its fine actors. Why did they agree to do it? Were they unaware of the facts at Parkland? As professionals, they should have done their homework and voiced their objections to the glaring omissions.

Before Burt Lancaster and Robert Ryan decided to make Executive Action in 1973, they first needed to convince themselves that there was in fact a conspiracy. They did so by familiarizing themselves with the evidence. THEY WERE NOT INTIMIDATED. THEY FELT THAT THE FILM HAD TO BE MADE. That was forty years ago. The evidence was overwhelming then; it is even more so now.

These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

Dr. Charles Crenshaw
Parkland doctor Charles Crenshaw was there, trying to save JFK. He was interviewed by ABC years back. But how many Americans are aware of it? It was indeed a Conspiracy of Silence, the title of Crenshaw’s book. The YouTube video must go viral. If it does, the debate will be over. Take 10 minutes to learn the truth. This interview says it all. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GXZ87gOlKkM

The Single Bullet Theory
The Warren Commission claimed that the throat wound was an exit wound. A single bullet hit Kennedy in the back, exited the front of his neck, and then changed direction to hit Governor John Connally (sitting in front of Kennedy) in the back, wrist and leg. WC member Rep. Gerald Ford (R-MI) changed the position of JFK’s back wound to conform to the single-bullet theory.

In July 1997, pages from the original draft of the Warren Report were released, describing the path of the famous single—or magic—bullet. The memo stated: “A bullet had entered his back at a point slightly above the shoulder to the right of the spine.” In pen, Ford changed the report to read, “A bullet had entered the back of his neck at a point slightly to the right of the spine,” thus making the single-bullet theory plausible. http://www.jfklancer.com/Ford-Rankin.html

The Gaping Exit Wound
Parkland surgeon, Robert McClelland, MD. described JFK’s skull exit wound in a drawing first published in the book, “Six Seconds in Dallas” by Josiah Thompson. The image, reprinted from “High Treason” by authors Robert Groden and Harrison Livingstone, includes a letter from Parkland professor Paul Peters, MD, corroborating the location Dr. McClelland gave for JFK’s gaping skull wound. It was reproduced in ARRB Medical Document #264. http://www.history-matters.com/essays/jfkmed/How5Investigations/How5InvestigationsGotItWrong_tabfig.htm

The Small Throat Wound
The throat wound was made by the first of the two (or possibly more) bullets that struck Kennedy. It was not the fatal wound. The physicians who performed the autopsy did not see this wound in its original state, because it was obliterated by one of the Parkland doctors, Dr. Malcolm Perry, when he made a surgical incision over it in order to perform a tracheotomy. Therefore, only the doctors and nurses at Parkland hospital had a view of this wound in its original state. All of the Parkland doctors and the nurse who offered an opinion on the throat wound characterized it as an entrance wound: http://911blogger.com/node/20745

On November 22, 1963, millions of Americans heard radio and TV networks report that Dr. Malcolm Perry, a Dallas Physician who was with the President in the emergency room when he died, said there was a bullet entrance wound situated on the front of Kennedy’s neck. He said “there was an entrance wound below the Adam’s apple.”

Tom Wicker with the New York Times: Dr. Malcolm Perry, an attending surgeon, and Dr. Kemp Clark, chief of neurosurgery at Parkland Hospital, gave more details. Mr. Kennedy was hit by a bullet in the throat, just below the Adam’s apple, they said. This wound had the appearance of a bullet’s entry…

Dallas News reporter John Geddie: Dr. Perry said, “in the lower portion of Kennedy’s neck, right in the front, there was a small puncture”.

Dr. Ronald Jones in his Warren Commission deposition explained why the doctors considered the throat wound to be an entrance wound: “The hole was very small and relatively clean-cut as you would see in a bullet that is entering rather than exiting from a patient”.

Dr. Paul Peters testified at the Warren Commission Hearings: “We saw the wound of entry in the throat and noted the large occipital wound, and it is a known fact that high velocity missiles often have a small wound of entrance and a large wound of exit…”

Dr. Charles Baxter noted that such a wound (to have been an exit wound) would be “unusual… ordinarily there would have been a rather large wound of exit.”

Dr. Charles Carrico: On the afternoon of November 22, Dr. Carrico described the throat wound in his medical report as “a small penetrating wound of the ant. (front) neck in the lower 1/3”.

Nurse Margaret Henchliffe testified to the Warren Commission: “It was just a little hole in the middle of his neck… about as big around as the end of my little finger… that looked like an entrance bullet hole…”

Dr. Robert McClelland told the Post-Dispatch: “It certainly did look like an entrance wound.” He explained that a bullet from a low velocity rifle, like the one thought to have been used, characteristically makes a small entrance wound, sets up shock waves inside the body, and tears a big opening when it passes out the other side.

Dr. McClelland conceded that it was possible that the throat wound marked the exit of a bullet fired into the back of the President’s neck… “but we are familiar with bullet wounds,” he said. “We see them every day – sometimes several a day. This did appear to be an entrance wound.”

McClelland noted in the same interview, having been informed that Lee Harvey Oswald had shot the President from behind: “We postulated that if it was a wound of entry, as we thought it was… he would have to have been looking almost completely to the rear”.

McClelland testified to the Warren Commission: “At the moment… it was our impression before we had any other information… that this was one bullet, that perhaps had entered through the front of the neck and then in some peculiar fashion which we really had… to strain to explain to ourselves, had coursed up the front of the vertebra and into the base of the skull and out the rear of the skull”.

Dr. Robert Shaw said that the doctors were “a little baffled” by the throat wound:“The assassin was behind him, yet the bullet entered at the front of his neck. Mr. Kennedy must have turned to his left to talk to Mrs. Kennedy or to wave to someone”.

“Doctor, describe the entrance wound. You think from the front in the throat?”
DR. PERRY — “The wound appeared to be an entrance wound in the front of the throat; yes, that is correct. The exit wound, I don’t know. It could have been the head or there could have been a second wound of the head. There was not time to determine this at the particular instant.”

Three Great JFK Films
Executive Action: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9f96oieNA8
JFK is the Oliver Stone classic starring Kevin Costner as Jim Garrison: http://ffilms.org/jfk-1991/
Thirteen Days shows how JFK handled during the Cuban Missile Crisis: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tho5ZYLiuoc

Conspiracy Mathematical Proof
An actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated 100,000 trillion to one odds against 18 material witness dying within three years of the assassination (thirteen died unnaturally by homicide, accident and suicide, 3 by heart attacks, 2 by natural causes). The calculation has been confirmed. https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/

The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination contains summaries of 1400+ material witnesses. Based on the national average total mortality rate (0.010193), approximately 214 would be expected to die in the 15 years from 1964-8. Given the national average unnatural mortality rate (0.000822), only 17 unnatural deaths would be expected, but there were 78 officially ruled unntural deaths (the actual number is probably close to 100). The probability of 78 unnatural deaths in a randomly-selected group is E-27 (ZERO). It’s even lower (E-62) using the JFK-weighted witness rate (0.000247).

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

JFK Calc is a spreadsheet/database of 122 suspicious deaths from 1964-78. At least 78 were unnatural (34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides, 4 unknown). Of the 122, 95 are included in Who’s Who. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1

These deaths, categorized as homicides in the database, were officially ruled as suicides (Stockdale, Ferrie, Pitzer, De Morenshildt, Craig, Underhill, Surrey); sudden cancers (Ruby, Martin, Artime, Dyer); illnesses (Smith, Carter); accident (Sherman).

These deaths were officially ruled as accidents (Sullivan, Sherman, Kilgallen, Bowers); heart attacks (Regis Kennedy, Howard) There were many others. But they may very well have been homicides.

If any of the official “accidents”, “suicides” and “heart attacks” were actually homicides, the probabilities would be lower still. But it’s a moot point since the probability is ZERO given the official cause of death. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=0

It is important to note that the 1964-78 average homicide rate was much lower than accidental deaths and suicides, therefore comparing unnatural deaths to the expected number is not nearly as dramatic as comparing homicides. Nationally, homicides comprised 10% of unnatural deaths, but 34 of 78 officially ruled JFK-related unnatural deaths (44%) were homicides.

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Posted by on September 7, 2013 in JFK

 

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JFK Witness Death Probability Calculations: Data and Methodology

JFK Witness Death Probability Calculations: Data and Methodology

Richard Charnin
August 30, 2013
Updated:Jan.11,2015

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

Richard Charnin JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

This post will illustrate the methodology used to calculate the probabilities of the unnatural deaths of JFK witnesses. JFK Calc: A Spreadsheet/Database of Mysterious Witness Deaths contains 122 JFK-related suspicious deaths, probability calculations, graphs and links to other data sources.

When the film Executive Action was released in 1973, it ignited a controversy. It noted that an actuary engaged by the London Times calculated 100,000 trillion to one odds that 18 material witnesses would be dead within three years of the assassination (8 homicides, 2 suicides, 3 accidents, 3 heart attacks and 2 from natural causes). In 1979. a statistician testified at the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) and claimed that since the witness universe was unknowable, the calculation was invalid, effectively stating that the problem as unsolvable. At that point, the controversy apparently ended. No one has come forth since to analyze the problem while political pundits, bloggers and others have quoted the HSCA result as gospel. But a fairly straightforward mathematical analysis confirms the actuary’s calculation – and proof of a conspiracy.

As noted in previous posts, the universe of witnesses is known. Approximately 1100 were called to testify at the Warren Commission, Garrison/Shaw trial, Church Senate and HSCA investigations. Of the 1100, 67 are included in JFK Calc. Of the 552 witnesses were interviewed by the Warren Commission, at least 30 died suspiciously (20 unnaturally) from 1964-1978.

Warren Commission defenders who try to refute witness connections to the assassination can no longer make that claim: the witnesses were relevant enough to be called to testify in at least one of the four investigations. But even the connection is a non-issue. What matters is that among a known universe of witnesses, a statistically impossible number died from unnatural causes. That is a mathematical certainty. The mortality data constitutes the factual evidence in plain sight. The probability calculations of the these unnatural deaths are 1 in trillions. This should put an end to the debate. Anyone who follows the analysis and still defends the Warren Commission report is either a fool or a fraud. Those who cannot follow it have no basis for even attempting to refute it.

The JFC Calc database includes 122 witnesses who died mysteriously in the 15 years following the JFK assassination (there have likely been many others). The witnesses are primarily from Jim Marrs’ Crossfire list.

At least 78 deaths were officially ruled unnatural (34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 4 from unknown causes). Based on unnatural death statistics, approximately 17 would normally be expected. But the suicides, accidental and “natural” deaths were highly suspicious; there were probably more than 78 unnatural deaths. At least some of the “natural” deaths may have been induced heart attacks or poisonings. If they were in fact homicides, the weighted unnatural mortality rate and associated probabilities would be lower (the homicide rate is much lower than accidents and suicides). But it’s a moot point; the probabilities are essentially zero for the official causes of death.

According to the reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination, there were approximately 1400 individuals related to the assassination. Of this group, 97 are included in JFK Calc. The other 25 who are not in Who’s Who are very relevant.

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

These graphs are mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

To calculate probabilities, we need just a few data inputs:
a) N, the number of material witnesses
b) n, the number of unnatural deaths by type (homicide, suicide, accident)
c) R, the weighted average unnatural mortality rate
d) T, the time period

There are a number of ways to calculate the probabilities.
1. Choose the universe of witnesses: WC (552); four investigations (1100); HSCA, Who’s Who (1400 est.)
2. Choose the appropriate mortality rate to apply (total unnatural, homicide, weighted)
3. Determine the time period: 1, 3, 15 years

The simplest approach is to use the total unnatural rate. Nationally, suicides and accidental deaths are 10 times more likely than homicides. But among the JFK-witnesses, at least 34 of the 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths were homicides. The average weighted mortality rate is a function of the number and causes of unnatural deaths, not just the total number. The weighted rate is
R= 0.000247=(0.000084*34 + 0.000594*24 + 0.000130*16 + 0.00001*3)/ 78

The next step is to calculate the probabilities using the POISSON spreadsheet function, a simple tool which requires just the observed (n) and expected (E) number of unnatural deaths. E is the product of the total number (N) of witnesses in a group, the mortality rate (R) and time period (T) in years.

In the spreadsheet we calculate the exact probability P of n deaths among N witnesses in T years as
P = POISSON (n, E, false). Probability of at least n deaths is P = 1 – POISSON (n-1, E, true).

 

Unweighted and Weighted Mortality Rates

JFK Calc has all the information required for a robust analysis: a) known witness universe, b) official cause of death, c) average unnatural mortality rates and d) the relevant time period (1964-1978). The weighted unnatural rate is the sum-product of the individual unnatural rates and corresponding deaths.

Nationally, accidents comprised 66% of unnatural deaths compared to 11% for homicides. But 44% (34 of 78) JFK witness unnatural deaths were homicides. Therefore we need to weight the JFK-witness rates by cause of death. If the analysis was restricted to homicides the mathematical proof would be simpler and even more powerful.

To Tom Hanks, Vince Bugliosi, Stephen King, Rachel Maddow et al: The case for conspiracy is closed. You are beating a dead horse. You continue to shill for the Warren Commission which Jim Garrison called a fairy tale and Richard Nixon said was one of the greatest hoaxes ever perpetrated on the public. If after reading this mathematical proof, along with the mountain of physical evidence which proves a conspiracy, you still persist in telling the people lies, then you are complicit in aiding and perpetuating the crime of the century and can go back to sleep. That is, if you still can sleep at night.

 
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Posted by on August 16, 2013 in JFK

 

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