A Compendium of Election Fraud Links

A Compendium of Election Fraud Links

Wisconsin Recalls True Vote Models
True Vote Model/ Election Fraud Graphics
Unadjusted exit polls
RV Polls vs. LV Polls: Likely Voter Cutoff Model
Exit Poll Red shift probabilities
True Vote Model Analysis
Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Forecast Simulation
Election Fraud Models
Forcing the Exit Poll to Match the Recorded vote
1988-2008 Stolen Elections
1988-2008 Exit Poll Red-shift Probabilities
True Vote Sensitivity Analysis
Election Forecast Sensitivity Analysis
2000 Florida NORC Recount
Voter Fraud vs. Election Fraud
Exit Poll Myths: Reluctant Bush Responder, False Recall and Swing vs. Redshift

Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

2004 Election Model (2-party shares)
Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 Election Model
Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Election Model (2-party shares)
Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote 55.2%, 380 EV