Democratic Primaries: Is Clinton leading by 3 million votes?
May 28, 2016
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll
LINKS TO POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
The 3 million Clinton vote margin is repeated endlessly by the media. This analysis shows that the number is grossly inflated. Sanders may very well be leading the popular vote and corresponding delegate count.
This is why Sanders did much better than his recorded vote:
– Actual votes in caucus states are not included in the count – to the benefit of Clinton.
– Exit polls indicated voting machines were hacked – to the benefit of Clinton.
– Voter rolls were manipulated – to the benefit of Clinton.
– Long lines and reduced polling stations reduced voter turnout – to the benefit of Clinton.
Sanders leads by approximately 780,000 votes (51.5-48.5%), assuming a) caucus votes are included, b) unadjusted exit polls represent the true vote, c) 10% of Sanders voters were disenfranchised and d) 5% of Clinton’s votes were fraudulent early/absentee ballots.
Sanders won the caucuses easily. The largest were MN, WA, CO. Caucus votes were approximated by applying the caucus vote shares to the popular vote (the state population is proportional to the electoral vote).
Votes for the primaries were calculated based on late exit polls. Sanders did approximately 4% better in the polls than in his recorded share.
Sanders exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 190.000. His share decline to the vote exceeded the margin of error in 11 primaries, a 1 in 77 billion probability.
Exit polls and caucuses indicate that Sanders has won 30 of 44 states and leads the electoral vote by 259-193. Clinton’s margin is reduced from 3 million to 1.3 million based on actual caucus votes and unadjusted exit polls.
The National Election Pool discontinued exit polls after the Indiana primary.
Recorded Vote (000)
Exit Poll/ actual caucus votes
We need to include an estimate that 10% of Sanders voters were disenfranchised due to long lines, reduced polling stations, switched/dropped party registrations, etc. NY and AZ are prime examples. And we need to deduct an estimated 5% of Clinton’s votes due to early/absentee ballot stuffing.
|Exit Poll +Caucus||Adjusted||11,816||47.9%||12,864||52.1%||-1,048|
|Other: Reg switch/flip+ Absentee ballots||Final Adjusted||12,998 (+10%)||51.5%||12,221 (-5%)||48.5%||777|