2016 Arizona Primary: Voter Suppression in Maricopa county

Richard Charnin and John Brakey
April 4, 2016

2016 Arizona Primary: Voter Suppression in Maricopa county

This post compares Maricopa voter turnout to the other 14  AZ counties as well as to the 2008 presidential primary. The spreadsheet is from John Brakey, the foremost forensic election fraud expert in AZ. The data is from  the Arizona Secretary of State:  http://apps.azsos.gov/election/2016/PPE/Results/PPE2016Results.htm#

Of the 15 AZ counties, Maricopa (Phoenix) is by far the largest with nearly 60% of the vote. Pima County (Tucson)  is second with 16%.

In the 2008 primary, Maricopa voter turnout was  54.3%. In the other 14 counties, there was a 47.2% turnout. In 2016, 13  counties had higher voter turnout rates than in 2008.

The 4.1% decline  in Maricopa 2016 turnout (50.2%) from 2008 is counter-intuitive. Voter  turnout in the other 14 AZ counties increased by 8.83% to 56.03%. 

Based on the overall trend, Maricopa should have had an approximate 63.1% (54.3%+8.8%) turnout. Calculations indicate that 160,000 votes were suppressed. It is  a powerful indicator of  voter suppression. The  probability of the 12.9% difference between Maricopa’s projected 63.1% voter turnout and  the actual 50.2% turnout  is approximately 9.1E-13 or 1 in 90 trillion.

The  probability of the 5.81% difference in voter turnout  between 14 AZ counties (56.03%) and Maricopa (50.22%) is approximately  1 in 600,000.

County	2016 Reg	Votes	2016 Turnout	2008 Turnout	Change
Maricopa	1,238,508	621,976	50.2%	54.3%	-4.1%
Pima	327,699	202,934	61.9%	52.4%	9.5%
Yavapai	82,057	56,454	68.8%	51.6%	17.2%
Pinal	98,112	52,221	53.2%	46.1%	7.1%
Mohave	65,409	33,552	51.3%	43.2%	8.1%
Cochise	45,952	24,310	52.9%	43.5%	9.4%
Coconino	45,385	26,278	57.9%	49.3%	8.6%
Yuma	43,937	20,105	45.8%	39.3%	6.4%
Navajo	42,254	18,066	42.8%	37.3%	5.5%
Gila	20,503	11,698	57.1%	50.9%	6.1%
Apache	34,635	11,360	32.8%	28.1%	4.7%
Santa Cruz	15,707	6,098	38.8%	33.8%	5.0%
Graham	13,073	5,966	45.6%	38.3%	7.4%
La Paz	5,592	2,004	35.8%	42.3%	-6.5%
Greenlee	3,131	1,557	49.7%	44.1%	5.6%
Total	2,081,954	1,094,579	52.57%	51.28%	1.39%

2016 Voter Turnout	Actual	Expected
Maricopa	1,238,508	1,238,508
Turnout %	50.22%	63.1%
Voter turnout	621,976	781,499
Voter Suppression		159,523

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll (E-book)
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004
Election Fraud Overview