Richard Charnin
Updated: Nov. 23, 2016
2016 Election Model (EM)
True or False
1 The Democrats stole the primary from Bernie
2 The GOP primary was virtually fraud-free
3 Trump won a majority of voters after Sept. 1 (48-42%) according to Nat Exit Poll
4 Jill Stein’s 6% (her best) in Humboldt, CA the only US county with Open Source voting
5 George Soros had an interest in unverifiable Smartmatic voting machines in 16 states
6 Millions of voters were disenfranchised
7 Millions of illegals voted (see Link1, Link2)
8 The Reported Vote is never equal to the True Vote
9 The MSM shilled for Hillary although she was under criminal investigation
10 Final published exit polls are always forced to match the recorded vote
11 Trump’s crowds were much larger than Clinton
12 Exit pollster Edison Research works for the National Election Pool
13 Unadjusted exit polls from 1988 matched the True Vote -until 2016
14 The MSM covered up 1988, 2000, 2004 elections and 2016 primary fraud
15 The MSM disparaged exit polls as a conspiracy theory- until 2016
16 Corporate media pollsters rigged the pre-election polls for HRC
17 Corporate media pollsters rigged the exit polls for HRC
18 The MSM never mentions the “third rail” – rigged voting machines
19 The MSM has focused strictly on voter disenfranchisement
20 Party ID in 9 pre-election polls: 29 Ind, 39 Dem, 32 Rep
21 Party ID in National Exit Poll: 31 Ind, 36 Dem, 33 Rep
22 Gallup voter affiliation survey: 40 Ind, 32 Dem, 28 Rep
23 Trump led Independents in 9 pre-election polls: 44-34% (Election Model)
24 Trump led Independents in the National Exit Poll by just 46-42%
25 Fraction Magic flips votes on central tabulators
26 Virtually all reported machine vote flipping was from Trump to HRC
27 The DNC not calling for a FULL audit indicates Trump won
28 Jill Stein must have exceeded her recorded 1% of the national vote
29 SENATE: NO RUSSIAN COLLUSION WITH TRUMP CAMPAIGN
Richard Charnin's Blog 
jeffreyaackerman
November 20, 2016 at 8:35 am
Thank you for providing this quiz. Do you offer an answer key so that I can see how much I know ?
Richard Charnin
November 20, 2016 at 2:05 pm
These are statements. This is not meant to be test. It is a guide to encourage analysis.
Jim Rankin
December 7, 2016 at 4:03 am
I’m pretty sure that if you vote “true” on every question, you’d be correct.
george
November 20, 2016 at 9:57 am
All 26 true. Would like to know Jill Stein’s real numbers.
Actions aiming to rid us of those 26 truths in the future: 1) Sweeping the DNC and Democratic Party clean, and 2) Going big on a viable, progressive Third Party. Key to those two actions are Sanders’ supporters. And President Donald Trump’s anti-progressive, anti-99% policies will seal the deal for the positives we envision.
Jim Rankin
December 7, 2016 at 4:21 am
I would like to know, too. Could be close to 5%.
irishgirl999
November 20, 2016 at 3:31 pm
Would I be correct in thinking that election fraud took place where there were machines as opposed to paper ballots? The exit polls don’t match the machine counted votes.
Do you really think Hillary stole the primary from Bernie? Just asking.
Would you mind if I posted the above on my blog. Full credit given
Richard Charnin
November 20, 2016 at 3:41 pm
Read my blog. It should be obvious what I believe.
irishgirl999
November 20, 2016 at 4:29 pm
I have. Unfortunately for me, I find it hard to decipher all the numbers. I’m not a pollster or a statistician, just an everyday not-American person trying to figure out what happened.
It’s hard to separate the implausibles from the deplorables.
irishgirl999
November 20, 2016 at 4:39 pm
I’ve gone back and had another read. Clinton stole the primary and tried to steal the election? Ok…
Richard Charnin
November 20, 2016 at 11:37 pm
yes…
Ren
November 21, 2016 at 2:55 am
I’m having a hard time believing this. IF someone wants to steal the election and they have the means, how could they come up short? Seriously, wouldn’t they have real-time feedback and be able to adjust on the fly in order to counter any numerical obstacle?
bj
November 21, 2016 at 5:22 am
They weren’t able to steal enough in the places where they needed to. That’s my guess. Counties in Wisconsin (Dane, Milwaukee) were being held back to see what they could steal. That’s why they were so late reporting. Also in New Hampshire. How long does it take to count votes in New Hampshire? Certainly not all night. Even with Wisconsin and Michigan it still wouldn’t be enough.
Richard Charnin
November 21, 2016 at 7:13 pm
The machines are coded in advance. They tried to steal it from Obama in 2008 and failed. They tried again in 2012 and failed.
Cindy
November 27, 2016 at 3:03 pm
They can only steal so much without it becoming blatantly obvious, even to the casual observer, that something fishy is going on…. think California and New York in the primary! It was stolen so badly, you’d be hard pressed to find anyone in either of those states who truly believes the reported results were accurate… or even close.
Betty Karlson
November 23, 2016 at 8:43 am
Ooh, that’s a quiz I will happily take:
True or False
1 The Democrats stole the primary from Bernie – TRUE
2 The GOP primary was virtually fraud-free – probably true
3 Plausible: Clinton would try to steal the presidential election – And had the means to do it.
4 Implausible: Clinton’s CA margin is 5% higher than Obama – maybe false – it depends on how many votes of Trump’s base didn’t turn out for him. These margins are a statistic measure of only two variables. Or is this about the primaries? In that case: TRUE.
5 Voters were disenfranchised in the primaries – TRUE
6 Millions of voters were disenfranchised in the election – TRUE, although not necessarily by Clinton’s cabal.
7 Approximately 3 million illegals voted – FALSE
8 Wikileaks e-mails showed the DNC screwed Bernie – TRUE
9 The MSM is for Hillary although she is under criminal investigation – TRUE
10 Bernie’s crowds were nearly 100X larger than Clinton – somewhere in that ballpark, so: true.
11 Trump’s crowds were nearly 100X larger than Clinton – False. If Bernie was at 100x her number, Trump didn’t get higher than 80x.
12 Exit pollsters work for the MSM – Some of them.
13 Unadjusted exit polls proved election fraud since 1988 – Probably true
14 The MSM covered up 2000, 2004 elections and 2016 primary fraud – TRUE
15 The MSM disparaged exit polls as conspiracy theory- until 2016 – TRUE
16 Corporate media pollsters rigged the pre-election polls for HRC – TRUE
17 Media pollsters may have also rigged the exit polls for HRC – true
18 The MSM never mentions the “third rail”: rigged voting machines – TRUE
19 The MSM has focused strictly on voter disenfranchisement – FALSE. Not strictly, just overwhelmingly.
20 Pre-election polls Party ID (%): 29 Ind, 39 Dem, 32 Rep – FALSE
21 Gallup voter affiliation survey (%): 40 Ind, 32 Dem, 28 Rep – TRUE
22 Trump led Independents in state pre-election and exit polls – TRUE
23 Fraction magic flips votes on central tabulators – maybe true, but not proven beyond reasonable doubt
24 Virtually all reported DRE vote flipping was Trump to HRC – false. There is also vote-flipping from Green to Democratic.
25 The DNC not calling for a FULL audit indicates Trump won – FALSE. It may just indicate the continuing lack of spine the party has had since 2000 (or longer)
26 Jill Stein surely got more than her reported 1% of the national vote – Doubtlessly TRUE
Richard Charnin
November 26, 2016 at 3:59 pm
6. View the updated version of the quiz.
11. Nitpicking. You counted Trumps crowds?
12. Edison Research is THE exit pollster which works for the MSM- and which is always quoted. The local exit pollsters are ignored.
19. “strictly” vs. “overwhelmingly”? When has the MSM discussed electronic voting machines?
23. Votes are flipped. Period. Fraction magic is one way. Parsing again?
24. I said VIRTUALLY based on anecdotal evidence of voters at DREs. I agree that votes were DEFINITELY flipped from Stein to Clinton.
25. That is what it indicates to this observer. Hillary is the candidate this time. She would have pushed for it.
Update: Jill Stein is calling for an audit of three states narrowly won by Trump – but not states narrowly won by HRC. That is a mistake. Audit all.
Betty Karlson
November 28, 2016 at 2:22 am
11. A little nitpicking. But also a nuance that opposes the binary narrative that enabled the MSM to be in the tank for Clinton.
19. If a binary opposition was implied between attention for voter disenfranchisement versus attention for electronic voting machines, I am happy to concede this point.
23. Not parsing. Proof beyond reasonable doubt is the difference between a suspicion and a federal offense. I am right there with you if you suspect foul play. If you have actual proof, I would ask that you make it available either to us or to prosecuting authorities. Or to Wikileaks. Whatever helps to bring the case to court. (This is not meant as a personal criticism; it’s just my feeling that there is not enough evidence to be certain.)
25. Not conceding this point – my admiration for your work notwithstanding. Kerry didn’t push for an audit either (even though he should have in Ohio). But evidence of vote-flipping in 2004 does not indicate that Kerry was the one fixing the vote.
Update: I agree. Audit all.
CarlAntoine
November 23, 2016 at 8:56 am
Reblogged this on CarlAntoine and commented:
#OurRevolution #BernieSanders #JillStein #Trump #FeelTheBern (#Clinton) #MSMbias #DNC #ElectionFraud of Hillary
Zonis
November 23, 2016 at 3:40 pm
Hmmm some people are claiming election tampering now in favor of Trump. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/23/hillary-clintons-campaign-urged-computer-scientists-challenge/
What’s your take on the findings and these computer scientist “election experts”?
Richard Charnin
November 26, 2016 at 3:42 pm
Let them prove it. It’s funny how they do not propose recounting states that Hillary narrowly won.
bj
November 24, 2016 at 3:20 am
Exit polls are only as honest as the people doing them. So Edison is in the NEP for all of the MSM. They can’t be trusted. Pre-polls were rigged for HRC. It looks like some of the exit polling data was too in order to show HRC closer than she actually was. What about all of the other exit polling data from the elections from 1988-2012 where you say there was election fraud? How do we know to trust that data now?
Richard Charnin
November 26, 2016 at 3:35 pm
The media decided that analysts like myself exposing fraud based on honest exit polling from 1988 to the 2016 Democratic primaries had to be stopped. The media was clearly in the tank for HRC. That is why I do not accept the 2016 exit polls.
Cindy
November 27, 2016 at 3:08 pm
Richard, perhaps I need to keep reading other posts… but were you able to capture/obtain unadjusted exit polls in the general, particularly for WI, MI, PA…. and then I’m very interested in CA and NH also…
Richard Charnin
November 27, 2016 at 5:47 pm
I did not capture unadjusted exit polls. Ted Soares did.
They are listed in several of my recent Implausible posts.