Richard Charnin
Mar. 15, 2017
77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO POSTS
Trump wins all 25 scenarios over various combinations of voter turnout
Assumption
Party ID (registration) 38I-31D-27R
(Gallup voter affiliation survey average Nov.1-13, 2016)
1. Base Case Voter Turnout: Dem 65%, Rep 70%, Ind 70%
Trump 48.3-45.2% (4.2 million vote margin)
2. Worst Case Turnout: Dem 67%, Rep 68%, Ind 70%
Trump 47.6-45.9% (2.3 million vote margin)
3. Best Case Turnout: Dem 63%, Rep 72%, Ind 70%
Trump 49.1-44.5% (6.2 million vote margin)
Reg Voter | Gallup | Base Case | |||
Turnout | Voter Affil | Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein |
70% Ind | 38% | 40% | 50% | 5% | 5% |
65% Dem | 31% | 88% | 8% | 1% | 3% |
70% Rep | 27% | 7% | 89% | 3% | 1% |
Vote share | 100.0% | 45.2% | 48.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
Votes | 136.2 | 61.6 | 65.8 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
Trump % | |||||
Dem | Rep Turnout | ||||
Turnout | 68% | 69% | 70% | 71% | 72% |
63% | 48.3% | 48.5% | 48.7% | 48.9% | 49.1% |
64% | 48.2% | 48.3% | 48.5% | 48.7% | 48.9% |
65% | 48.0% | 48.2% | 48.3% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
66% | 47.8% | 48.0% | 48.2% | 48.3% | 48.5% |
67% | 47.6% | 47.8% | 48.0% | 48.2% | 48.3% |
Trump Vote | |||||
Dem | Rep Turnout | ||||
Turnout | 68% | 69% | 70% | 71% | 72% |
63% | 65.9 | 66.1 | 66.3 | 66.6 | 66.8 |
64% | 65.6 | 65.8 | 66.1 | 66.3 | 66.6 |
65% | 65.4 | 65.6 | 65.8 | 66.1 | 66.3 |
66% | 65.1 | 65.3 | 65.6 | 65.8 | 66.1 |
67% | 64.9 | 65.1 | 65.3 | 65.6 | 65.8 |
Clinton % | |||||
Dem | Rep Turnout | ||||
Turnout | 68% | 69% | 70% | 71% | 72% |
63% | 45.2% | 45.0% | 44.9% | 44.7% | 44.5% |
64% | 45.4% | 45.2% | 45.1% | 44.9% | 44.7% |
65% | 45.6% | 45.4% | 45.2% | 45.1% | 44.9% |
66% | 45.8% | 45.6% | 45.4% | 45.2% | 45.1% |
67% | 45.9% | 45.8% | 45.6% | 45.4% | 45.2% |
Trump % | Margin | ||||
Dem | Rep Turnout | ||||
Turnout | 68% | 69% | 70% | 71% | 72% |
63% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% |
64% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
65% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% |
66% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% |
67% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
Trump Vote | Margin | ||||
Dem | Rep Turnout | ||||
Turnout | 68% | 69% | 70% | 71% | 72% |
63% | 4.3 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 6.2 |
64% | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.7 |
65% | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 5.2 |
66% | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
67% | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 4.2 |