Richard Charnin
Update Oct. 30, 2019
What is the probability P that Epstein committed suicide? P is calculated based on the estimated joint probability of 10 extremely unlikely independent events.
P = 1/10^28= P1*P2*P3*P4*P5*P6*P7*P8*P9*P10
P = 1/10^28= 1 in a 100 thousand trillion trillion.
P1 (suicide at prison)=1 /14,600;
P2 (2 cameras unusable)= 1/1,000,000;
P3 (hanging breaks hyoid bone)= 1/10;
P4 (Epstein tells people he is afraid of being murdered)= 1/100;
P5 (2 guards sleeping) = 1/1000;
P6 (cell mate moved the night before)= 1/100;
P7 (screams heard at time of death)= 1/million;
P8 (Baden, supporter of bogus Single Bullet Theory, called as advisor)= 1/100;
P9 ( Epstein footage outside of cell accidentally deleted)= 1/1000;
P10 (FBI called to investigate)= 1/100.
If P1-P10 each had a (very conservative) 10% probability, P = 1/10^10= 1 in 10 billion.
Oct. 30: Why the sudden change in Michael Baden’s analysis of how Jeffrey Epstein died?
Michael Baden is the forensic “expert” who supported the totally discredited JFK magic bullet theory. He initially analyzed the Epstein autopsy and said it was a suicide. Now all of a sudden, he says it was murder. Shortly after the event, I calculated the probability of a suicide as P = 1 in a thousand trillion trillion.
Considering Baden’s bogus JFK analysis, how do you explain the sudden change? Is somebody hiding something here?
This is a key segment of Baden’s Warren Commission testimony: JFK EXHIBIT F-73 http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/russ/m_j_russ/hscabadn.htm
Mr. KLEIN – Doctor, you have also testified that the panel unanimously concluded that a bullet entered the President’s upper right back and exited from the front of his neck. Did the panel reach a conclusion as to whether the same bullet which entered the President’s upper right back could have then exited from the front of his neck and struck Governor Connally and caused the wounds that he received?
Dr. BADEN – Yes; the panel concluded, based on the enlarged nature of the entrance perforation in the Governor’s back, that the bullet was wobbling when it struck him and had to have struck something before striking the Governor; that this entrance perforation of the Governor’s back could have resulted from a missile that had come through the neck of the President on the basis of the autopsy findings alone; that in taking other evidence into consideration, such as the position of the President and the position of the Governor in the car, the findings are entirely consistent with a SINGLE BULLET EXITING THE FRONT OF THE PRESIDENT’S NECK and reentering in the back of the Governor.
Mr. KLEIN – Mr. Chairman, I would ask that this little container and its contents be deemed marked “
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