Entrance poll anomalies: the Iowa and Nevada Caucuses

Richard Charnin
July 25, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries

Remember the IA and NV caucuses? They were both close, unlike  the 12 caucuses that came later in which Bernie won landslides.  

Sanders Caucus average: 65.4%

Caucus Sanders 

1 IA 49.9%

2 CO 59.4% w

3 MN 61.6% w

4 NE 57.1% w

5 KS 67.7% w

6 ME 64.4% w

7 ID 78.0% w

8 AK 81.6% w

9 HI 69.9% w

10 WA 72.9% w

11 NV 47.3% 

12 UT 79.7% w

13 WY 54.7% w

14 ND 71.5% w

 

This analysis will show why the IA and NV True Votes are consistent  with the other 12 caucuses. Bernie may very well have won easily.

IA and NV had entrance polls which were adjusted  to matched the recorded vote.Clinton won the adjusted polls. NV:  52.7-47.3%  and IA:  50.1-49.9%  http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/NV/Dem
http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/IA/Dem

But the Party-ID Pct mix of Democrats and Independents was heavily weighted to Democrats. Using the  current mix from 2016 Gallup surveys, Sanders wins NV:  58.5-41.5% and  IA: 60.1-39.9%.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

So where were all the Independent voters?
The Nevada caucus was closed.
The Iowa caucus was semi-open.

NEVADA

True Vote
NV	2016 Party-ID	Sanders	Clinton
Ind	58.5%	71.0%	29.0%
Dem	41.5%	40.8%	59.2%
Total	100.0%	58.5%	41.5%
	Recorded Vote	47.3%	52.7%

 

Entrance Poll
NV	Party-ID	Sanders	Clinton
Ind	19%	71.0%	29.0%
Dem	81%	40.8%	59.2%
Total	100%	46.6%	53.4%
	Recorded Vote	47.3%	52.7%

 

IOWA

True Vote
IA	2016 Party-ID	Sanders	Clinton
Ind	68.2%	69.0%	31.0%
Dem	31.8%	41.1%	58.9%
Total	100.0%	60.1%	39.9%
	Recorded Vote	49.9%	50.1%

Entrance Poll

IA	Party-ID	Sanders	Clinton
Ind	24%	69.0%	31.0%
Dem	76%	41.1%	58.9%
Total	100%	47.8%	52.2%
	Recorded Vote	49.9%	50.1%