Richard Charnin
Sept.27, 2018
Flores (GOP) wins Texas senate district 19 (53-47%) for the first time in 139 years. Hispanics comprise 66%, blacks 7%, whites 27%.
Hillary Clinton carried SD19 by 12%. Trump carried TX by 7%.
| TX | 2016 | Clinton | Trump | Other | Trump 2pty |
| White | 57% | 26% | 69% | 5% | 73% |
| Black | 11% | 84% | 11% | 5% | 12% |
| Hispanic | 24% | 61% | 34% | 5% | 36% |
| Asian | 5% | 72% | 26% | 2% | 27% |
| Other | 3% | 56% | 36% | 8% | 39% |
| Total | 100.0% | 44.0% | 51.1% | 4.9% | 53.8% |
In SD19, Flores did 9% (estimated) better than Trump. The following table shows how the groups may have voted.
| SD19 (2-party) | Pct | Trump | Flores |
| White | 27% | 73% | 73% |
| Black | 7% | 12% | 24% |
| Hispanic | 66% | 36% | 48% |
| Total | 100% | 44.3% | 53.1% |
Recent polling shows Democratic U.S. senators are vulnerable in close races in Indiana, North Dakota, Missouri, Minnesota and New Jersey.
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