Preliminary 2016 Presidential True Vote Model: Will Jesse Ventura run?

Preliminary 2016 Presidential True Vote Model: Will Jesse Ventura run?

Richard Charnin
Dec. 18. 2015

Jesse Ventura indicated in this recent interview that he might run as a Libertarian candidate. The preliminary 2016 Presidential True Vote Model  shows what it would take for him to win.  In this hypothetical forecast, Democratic and Republican candidates are yet to be determined.

The 2004, 2008 and 2012 Election Models each used  Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the probability that the Democrat would win.  The three elections were fraudulent. The models utilized pre-election polls and post-election  analysis: Final pre-election polls were used to forecast the recorded (bogus) popular and electoral vote.   Post-election analysis was used to calculate the True Vote.

The True Vote analysis shows that Kerry and Obama  did much better than their recorded votes (see below). The 2004 election was stolen; Kerry won by nearly 10 million votes. Obama won in 2008  by  at least 13 million more votes than recorded.  The pre-election models exactly matched Obama’s recorded electoral vote in 2008  (365) and 2012 (332). Click links to the models below.

The True Vote will surely differ from the recorded vote in 2016. It always does. 
Election Fraud: A True Vote Model Proof

Historical Projections: recorded votes, exit polls and True Vote Models

2004 Election Model
Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded): Bush 48.3-50.7%, 255 EV
Forecast:  Kerry 51.8% (2-party), 337 EV (simulation mean)
Unadjusted State exit poll aggregate: Kerry 51.1-47.6%, 337 EV
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: Kerry 51.7-47.0%
1968-2012 True Vote Model: Kerry 53.6-45.1%, 364 EV

2008 Election Forecast Model
Forecast: Obama 53.1-44.9%, 365.3 expected EV; 365.8 EV (simulation)
Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded vote): Obama 52.9-45.6%, 365 EV
Unadjusted State exit poll aggregate: Obama 58.1-40.3%, 420 EV
Unadjusted National Exit Poll (17836 respondents): Obama 61.0-37.5%
2008 True Vote Model : Obama 58.0-40.4%, 420 EV

2012  Election Final Forecast
Adjusted National Exit Poll(recorded):Obama 51.0-47.2%, 332 EV
2012 True Vote Model Obama 56.1%, 391 EV; 385 EV (expected)
Unadjusted State Exit Polls: not released
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: not released

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

 

 

 

JFK Assassination: Researchers discuss John McAdams

JFK Assassination: Researchers discuss John McAdams

Richard Charnin
April 6, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

These articles are about John McAdams, a relentless Warren Commission apologist. http://richardcharnin.com/JMLaughingStock.html

The articles thoroughly debunk the pathetic arguments from the Professor of Disinformation. Read the reviews of McAdams’ book “JFK Assassination Logic” by Pat Speer, David Mantik, Frank Cassano and Gary Aguilar.

Jim Hargrove asks: Since Mcadams is known to use the alias “Paul Nolan” just how many other names has he used to deceive? He claims to be many things. A jet-propulsion expert, or Crackpot?
Here is what was discovered.

Isabel Kirk: McAdams is not just a fraud as a teacher. He is a corrupt man. He is an evangelist for corruption and fraud. He has sought and enlisted disciples, and they employ his knowingly fraudulent “methodology” in their writing “assignments,” many of which are posted to the website of Marquette University.

Jim DiEugenio with Brian Hunt: McAdams did indeed make comments that were intended to imply that Gary Aguilar was a drug addict. IMO, they were deliberate, malicious and intended to smear the doctor.

John Simkin: If you do any research of major figures in the JFK assassination via web search engines you will soon find yourself on John McAdams’ website. He is clearly the main disinformation source on the net.

Debra Hartman: McAdams has neither the educational preparation nor the ability for such a position — his language skills are abysmal; his analytical skills non-existent. Not only has he done no research whatsoever on the historical question he pretends to study, he has no knowledge of even the basics of a research methodology. Thus, McAdams himself argues against long established historical facts; on the other hand, he is incapable of doing the research necessary to either confirm or dispute such facts.

And on and on….

 

JFK: Evidence the Media Won’t Talk About

Richard Charnin
Nov.22, 2013
Updated: Dec.27

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Posts Index
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

Why Does the Mainstream Media Refuse to Ask the Real Questions About JFK’s Death? They simply ignore conspiracy facts and make offhanded remarks about conspiracy theories.

For fifty years, the media has refused to analyze the facts. Let’s do the media’s job and look at the evidence.

Truthseekers
-Jim Garrison: “On the Trail of the Assassins” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Garrison
-Mark Lane: “Rush to Judgment” http://marklane.com/
-Oliver Stone: National Press Club http://ffilms.org/jfk-1991/
-Judyth Vary Baker: “Me and Lee”, “David Ferrie”
-Penn Jones: “Strange Deaths” http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKjonesP.htm
-Nigel Turner: “The Men Who Killed Kennedy” http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKturnerN.htm
-Richard E. Sprague: “The Taking of America, 1-2-3 http://www.ratical.org/ratville/JFK/ToA/ToA.html
-Richard Belzer and David Wayne: “Hit List”
-Jim Marrs: “Crossfire” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Marrs
-James Douglass: “JFK and the Unspeakable” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_W._Douglass
-Phil Nelson: LBJ: “The Mastermind of the JFK Assassination”
-Roger Stone: “The Man Who Killed Kennedy: The Case Against LBJ”
-Barr McClellan: “Blood, Money and Power: How LBJ Killed JFK”
-Jesse Ventura, David Wayne, Dick Russell: “They Killed Our President”
-James Fetzer: “Murder in Dealey Plaza” http://www.assassinationscience.com/booktwo.html http://www.assassinationresearch.com/
-John Simkin:http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKindex.htm
-Michael T. Griffith: http://www.mtgriffith.com/web_documents/research.htm
-Doug Horne: http://assassinationofjfk.net/the-two-npic-zapruder-film-events-signposts-pointing-to-the-films-alteration/

Eyewitness and Photographic
-Secret Service Stand down: Limo protection removed
The Altered Zapruder Film:
The Zapruder Film I: Jack White
The Zapruder Film II: John Costella
The Zapruder Film III: David Mantik

-Badgeman photo: shooting from the Grassy Knoll
-S.M. Holland: eyewitness at the Grassy Knoll
-Tippit Shooting: Witnesses said killed at 1:06; Warren Commission at 1:16
-Oswald photo: standing in the TSBD doorway
-Faked: Oswald Backyard Photos

Medical and Autopsy
-Dr. Charles Crenshaw: JFK Entrance Wounds
-Parkland Doctors: JFK Head wounds
-Autopsy photos: faked to hide gaping head exit wound
-Magic Bullet: Ford moved JFK’s back wound up 5 inches
-JFK Back Wound: No exit, therefore no Magic Bullet

Physical
-7.65 Mauser: three witnesses of rifle on 6th floor of TSBD
-Mac Wallace (LBJ hitman): fingerprint on 6th floor of TSBD
-Acoustics: at least 4 Gunshots, one from the Grassy Knoll
-The Limo: Destruction of the evidence
-Front to Back: Bullet Hole in the Limo Windshield
-Magic Bullet: found on back seat of the Limo
-JFK Witness Deaths: Math Proof of a Conspiracy

Personal Reflections
-Jack Ruby: conspiracy from “top” of the White House
-E.Howard Hunt: it was an LBJ/CIA/FBI “Big Event”
-LBJ mistress: LBJ told her JFK would be killed next day
-Judyth Baker: Oswald girl friend, cancer researcher in New Orleans; “Me and Lee”
*********************************************************************************************************
Truthseeker Videos

Jim Garrison: Response to NBC
Jim Garrison: Interview (1988)
Mark Lane: Rush to Judgment
Mark Lane: Warren Commission Testimony
Oliver Stone: National Press Club 1992
Judyth Vary Baker: “Me and Lee”
Penn Jones: Original researcher “Strange Deaths”
Jim Marrs: “Crossfire”
Nigel Turner: “The Men Who Killed Kennedy”
Richard Belzer and David Wayne: “Hit List”
James Douglass: “JFK and the Unspeakable”
Phil Nelson: LBJ: “The Mastermind of the JFK Assassination”
Roger Stone: “The Man Who Killed Kennedy: The Case Against LBJ”
Jesse Ventura: “They Killed Our President”
James Fetzer: “Murder in Dealey Plaza”
James Fetzer: “JFK at 50: The Who, the How and the Why”
******************************************************************************************

Secret Service: removing protection

Badgeman: shooting from the Grassy Knoll
http://www.jfkfiles.com/jfk/html/badgeman_2.htm
Two Men in Dallas-Part I
Roger Craig: 7.65 Mauser on 6th floor of TSBD
S.M. Holland: eyewitness at the Grassy Knoll
The Tippit Shooting:

JFK: Did Oswald shoot Tippit? Eyewitnesses: NO; Warren Commission: YES

http://www.spartacus-educational.com/JFKStippet.htm http://www.garvandwane.com/conspiracy/oswald_and_officer_tippit.html

Oswald in the Doorway:
Altgens photo http://www.oswald-innocent.com/oswald.html http://whatreallyhappened.com/RANCHO/POLITICS/JFK/ALT_ANNOT.jpg
Faked:Oswald Backyard Photos
Mac Wallace: fingerprint on 6th floor of TSBD http://www.spartacus-educational.com/JFKwallaceM.htm

Parkland Doctors: JFK Head wounds
Parkland Doctors: Charles Crenshaw http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKcrenshawC.htm
http://www.paulseaton.com/jfk/boh/parkland_boh/parkland_wound.htm http://www.assassinationweb.com/ag6.htm http://img11.imageshack.us/img11/8804/backofheadorangesizedwo.jpg

Autopsy: How 5 Investigations Got It Wrong
http://www.history-matters.com/essays/jfkmed/How5Investigations/How5InvestigationsGotItWrong_tabfig.htm http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-xPIBrJ17k48/TsrVBRscs5I/AAAAAAAADvo/PXJq0rocmEM/s1600/JFK-autopsy.jpg

The Magic Bullet: Rep. Gerald Ford’s Forgery
Many years after the Warren Commission report, Rep. Gerald Ford stated that he had changed a draft of the Report to indicate that the bullet entered the “base of the back of [Kennedy’s] neck” rather than “his back at a point slightly above the shoulder”. Ford moved JFK’s back wound up 5 inches to match Arlen Spector’s bogus theory but claimed it was not part of a conspiracy. http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/08/HSCA-JFK-neck2-6-43.jpg JFK Back Wound: No Exit means No Magic Bullet
The original Bethesda autopsy report, included in the Warren Report, concluded from the data that the bullet had passed above the top of the lung outside the thoracic pleura and, therefore, through the president’s neck. The Commission was not shown the autopsy photographs.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/b/b6/JFK_posterior_back_wound.jpg Presidential Limousine SS-100-X: Destruction of the evidence http://ss100x.com/
Magic Bullet: Jim Garrison
http://www.kenrahn.com/JFK/Issues_and_evidence/Single-Bullet_theory/Garrison_on_the_SBT.html

Acoustic Evidence: Sounds of Silence
http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2013/10/larry-sabatos-new-book-does-not.html The conclusion of four separate shots coincides with 4 impacts visible in the Z-film. The acoustic impulses were retested in a 2001 investigation (‘Echo Correlation Analysis and the Acoustic Evidence in the Kennedy Assassination Revisited’) by D.B. Thomas, published in the Journal Science and Justice, Vol. 41, p. 21. The impulses are shown below, with the four highest amplitude peaks associated with rifle muzzle blasts.

Front to Back: Bullet Hole in the Limo Windshield http://jfkthefrontshot.blogspot.com/2013/06/the-entrance-hole-in-windshield.html
JFK Witness Deaths: Math Proof of a Conspiracy https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

Jack Ruby: Confession http://www.spartacus-educational.com/JFKruby.htm
E. Howard Hunt- Deathbed confession http://www.rense.com/general76/hunt.htm http://www.spartacus-educational.com/JFKhuntH.htm
Madeline Brown: LBJ mistress http://www.spartacus-educational.com/JFKbrownM.htm
LBJ: A Wink on Air Force One http://www.rense.com/general41/wew.htm http://www.rense.com/1.imagesE/thewink.jpg
James Corbett: a quick bio of Lee Oswald. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJFzhbNd1EI