Did the GOP actually win the House?
Nov. 21, 2018
Let’s speculate given the unlikely trend in tossups and strange anomalies.
. Long-held GOP seats in California flipped (Rohrabacher,etc.)
. Broward & Palm Beach County incompetence and/or fraud.
. Arizona GOP governor won by 328,000 votes but McSally lost the senate by 30,000 after leading in early voting.
. The Dems led by 203-194 seats on Election Day with 38 tossups. The Dems won the House by 235-200 with 32 of 38 tossups flipping to the Dems, a 1 in 100,000 probability.
. With an expected tossup split of 19 seats each, the Dems would win by 222-213. Is it inconceivable that the GOP may have won at least five more seats and a 218-217 win?
. How many races which leaned to the Dems in the polls flipped to the GOP?
. The pre-election 38 tossup 2-party poll average (50.50D-49.50R%) exactly matched the recorded tossup vote average (50.52D-49.48R%). Strange.
“Republican congressional candidate Young Kim, who just days ago was poised to be the first Korean-American woman in Congress as she led a closely contested California House race, is accusing her opponent of “harassing and intimidating” vote counters as her lead has disappeared.
Kim is vying to replace retiring Rep. Ed Royce, R-Calif., in California’s 39th District, which includes part of the state’s more Republican Orange County. Last week, she held about a 3-point lead over Democrat Gil Cisneros with about 150,000 votes counted.But since then, that lead vanished, with Cisneros taking a 941-vote as of late Thursday”.